2020 Pat (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,060.18 points

13th place

3.95 expected wins (0.329)

53-103 all-play record (0.340)

-13.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.57 112.71 Richie -3.14
2 W 128.02 82.27 Matt 45.75
3 W 82.96 74.29 Kevin 8.67
4 W 91.99 90.53 Babel 1.46
5 L 73.16 108.16 Scott -35.00
6 L 105.43 117.52 Derrek -12.09
7 L 81.00 97.55 Pulley -16.55
8 L 64.16 74.71 Rabbit -10.55
9 W 85.57 82.09 Dave 3.48
10 L 79.49 95.02 Ed -15.53
11 L 80.84 86.13 Mike R. -5.29
12 L 77.99 117.21 Rob -39.22
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923328.3%188.7100591715976372.040.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.2%30.130177514792905140.7545352235434302.6%69.77514792899409134.79903275812643111.5%109.42011834319527113.03794116778164224.2%149.0650887573964482.1117506871753730.0%188.710059171597632.7692307692307736420.3%228.3550295857988391.6060291167718459.4%268.0118.2714529637428962.9%307.64497041420117134.1978554616498270.6%347.28994082840245139.801020499730480.1%386.93491124260356141.04211257622590.0%426.5798816568048141.21551279885918100.0%466.2248520710059141.23010241221655110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307578553446812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd65.1377622377622350.816568047337284210th118.52937062937062208.2130177514793311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544128th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th65.13776223776223140.7573964497041527th118.52937062937062140.7573964497041534th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289948th225.3125874125874163.24260355029585510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544126th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124114th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289929th118.52937062937062185.7278106508876311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.668639053254412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Julio Jones WR
2.07 21 Chris Carson RB
3.08 36 Le'Veon Bell RB
4.07 49 David Montgomery RB
5.08 64 Evan Engram TE
6.07 77 Matt Ryan QB
7.08 92 Nick Chubb K RB
8.07 105 Jordan Howard RB
9.08 120 Mecole Hardman WR
10.07 133 Chase Edmonds RB
11.08 148 Darrell Henderson, Jr. RB
12.07 161 Hollywood Brown K WR
13.08 176 Adrian Peterson RB
14.07 189 Buffalo DEF
15.08 204 Drew Lock QB
16.07 217 Younghoe Koo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.88361.1230769230769280.1322424292713220.23396.25128205128203125.0663300094521430.371131.37948717948717115.5317575562979340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.274307.0205128205128122.2593700619800490.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.67725.99487179487179594.3829621625911810.00061.1230769230769219.03371562777341820.00096.25128205128203108.9018907881350530.000131.3794871794871789.8327458818266440.112166.5076923076923133.4985740621820650.605201.6358974358974599.326393649029960.202236.76410256410256127.2709868103006670.039271.89230769230767138.4988266001890380.000307.0205128205128103.2879708931908590.184342.14871794871794128.46422889323415100.200377.2769230769231127.38462891343718110.165412.4051282051282129.7938414999314612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311263.632692307692377.3254437869822522100.20320512820511130.5798816568047333136.77371794871794125.2544378698224840173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692386319.62628205128203109.2781065088757490356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312827.06217948717948598.627218934911241063.632692307692313.4201183431952720100.20320512820511119.9289940828402330136.77371794871794109.2781065088757442173.3442307692307130.5798816568047358209.9147435897435898.6272189349112464246.4852564102564119.9289940828402372283.0557692307692130.5798816568047380319.6262820512820377.3254437869822593356.19679487179485125.25443786982248101392.7673076923077135.90532544378698112429.3378205128205130.5798816568047312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.329 17.02 5-8 12th
1 994 2024 Pulley 4-8 13th 88.19 0.330 15.61 4-10 13th
2 985 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.324 17.91 5-8 12th
3 982 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.332 15.77 6-7 10th
4 974 2022 Babel 3-9 14th 86.80 0.338 16.02 3-11 14th
5 974 2022 Pulley 6-6 11th 86.36 0.322 14.40 7-7 8th
6 973 2011 Pulley 4-8 11th 88.02 0.317 16.23 5-8 10th
7 971 2019 Rob 4-8 14th 89.44 0.340 15.94 5-8 13th
8 970 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.320 16.50 2-12 14th
9 969 2013 Derrek 6-6 9th 84.02 0.333 19.96 7-6 7th
10 968 2024 Derrek 4-8 14th 87.03 0.317 18.23 4-10 14th