2014 Allen (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,033.83 points

13th place

3.99 expected wins (0.332)

48-108 all-play record (0.308)

-12.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 L 89.05 107.18 Schertz -18.13
6 L 109.12 112.15 Rob -3.03
7 W 78.02 77.73 Kevin 0.29
8 W 108.28 98.27 Dave 10.01
9 L 63.43 91.71 Mike R. -28.28
10 L 97.34 98.82 Rabbit -1.48
11 W 77.28 76.15 Pulley 1.13
12 L 69.67 108.16 Pat -38.49 Slapped Heartbeat
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923420.9%228.3550295857988387.9704620353652650.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.4%30.130177514792905140.288930862534803.2%69.77514792899409133.13510564702688111.4%109.42011834319527112.13762338872219222.5%149.0650887573964483.75108701666781327.1%188.7100591715976371.9999999999999940.0%228.3550295857988334.71015483996129510.4%268.0114.5930118166465863.4%307.64497041420117132.5879826372804870.7%347.28994082840245139.4463014794208480.1%386.93491124260356141.0050215890194690.0%426.5798816568048141.2143793289472100.0%466.2248520710059141.23016093155505110.0%505.8698224852071141.230760423857912Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.153846153846131210th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272611th332.09580419580413230.69822485207178th385.4874125874125163.24260355029585810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441210th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.41061.12307692307692112.8343134213127620.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.529131.37948717948717104.6407177851695340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.184236.76410256410256128.516923654152870.671271.8923076923076794.753854812292180.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.177377.2769230769231128.98285627701256110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.32025.994871794871795119.0732648835078210.00061.1230769230769284.4378576118562920.04196.25128205128203138.4265150476575230.000131.3794871794871768.0506663395698240.345166.5076923076923117.3799975467736550.685201.6358974358974593.7992611459453260.000236.76410256410256115.8030780775363870.000271.8923076923076748.2769403938149880.051307.0205128205128137.7105697978974590.479342.14871794871794108.04998087926518100.000377.2769230769231116.73494332325586110.098412.4051282051282134.460405648192912Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231563.6326923076923114.6035502958579920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692334136.77371794871794119.9289940828402340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692364246.4852564102564119.9289940828402377283.0557692307692103.9526627218934980319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923104392.7673076923077119.92899408284023110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312427.062179487179485119.928994082840231063.632692307692387.9763313609467421100.20320512820511135.9053254437869830136.7737179487179498.6272189349112445173.3442307692307114.6035502958579957209.91474358974358103.9526627218934960246.485256410256498.6272189349112470283.055769230769266.6745562130177581319.62628205128203135.9053254437869896356.19679487179485109.27810650887574100392.767307692307798.62721893491124110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.332 15.77 6-7 10th
1 987 2024 Pulley 4-8 13th 88.19 0.330 15.61 4-10 13th
2 986 2022 Babel 3-9 14th 86.80 0.338 16.02 3-11 14th
3 982 2013 Derrek 6-6 9th 84.02 0.333 19.96 7-6 7th
4 982 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.329 17.02 5-8 12th
5 978 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.335 18.13 7-6 7th
6 976 2022 Pulley 6-6 11th 86.36 0.322 14.40 7-7 8th
7 975 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.324 17.91 5-8 12th
8 973 2012 Kevin 4-8 12th 82.88 0.335 20.01 5-8 10th
9 971 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.320 16.50 2-12 14th
10 971 2019 Rob 4-8 14th 89.44 0.340 15.94 5-8 13th