2021 Pat (through 6 weeks)

1-5 (0.167), 592.79 points

12th place

2.58 expected wins (0.430)

32-46 all-play record (0.410)

+30.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 Babel
8 Rob
9 Matt
10 Derrek
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.23076923076923012.7%120.74725274725276116.1027741856149310.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.2307692307692330.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692361.7%47.120879120879124137.8555636575299300.0%120.7472527472527690.97477914046064132.3%194.373626373626477.26413010352972235.0%268.072.0315.7%341.6263736263736110.0510271699297542.6%415.2527472527472136.136490934721950.0%488.8791208791208141.143843543135126Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793211th246.66923076923075230.69822485207138th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958549th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876511th599.053846153846230.69822485207164th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585210th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793310th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793410th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793512th599.053846153846253.1834319526627264th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793211th246.66923076923075230.69822485207138th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958549th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876511th599.053846153846230.6982248520716Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.63843.5589743589743697.0699891047888510.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692320.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692350.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.00043.5589743589743652.9092089788084510.019113.8153846153846139.924426197571320.277184.07179487179485122.0598875845100430.778254.3282051282051387.399046127870840.578324.58461538461535101.1951974486445950.293394.8410256410256120.957559184085776Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234561045.34743589743588687.9763313609467410118.48846153846152141.2307692307692320191.62948717948714141.2307692307692330264.7705128205128141.2307692307692340337.9115384615384141.2307692307692350411.05256410256413141.230769230769236045.34743589743588634.7218934911242510118.48846153846152141.2307692307692324191.62948717948714119.92899408284023310264.770512820512887.9763313609467444337.9115384615384119.9289940828402354411.05256410256413119.928994082840236All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-5 12th 98.80 0.430 17.09 3-11 12th
1 983 2020 Babel 4-2 4th 98.90 0.431 9.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 982 2020 Pat 3-3 10th 98.52 0.423 18.11 5-8 12th
3 979 2014 Ed 3-3 7th 93.80 0.430 16.49 6-7 8th
4 975 2019 Ed 3-3 8th 97.11 0.427 22.90 5-8 11th
5 971 2023 Richie 1-5 12th 95.36 0.431 10.33 4-10 13th
6 970 2015 Schertz 4-2 4th 92.82 0.429 15.49 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 969 2014 Kevin 2-4 11th 93.32 0.432 20.46 4-9 14th
8 968 2009 Allen 2-4 11th 92.45 0.430 14.45 6-7 7th
9 967 2023 Schertz 4-2 5th 97.13 0.429 28.59 6-8 9th
10 966 2018 Richie 2-4 10th 101.74 0.422 20.22 5-8 11th