2018 Richie (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 610.45 points

10th place

2.53 expected wins (0.422)

29-49 all-play record (0.372)

+13.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 95.06 103.12 Pulley -8.06
2 L 119.04 121.51 Kevin -2.47
3 L 73.75 114.48 Rob -40.73
4 W 135.93 124.69 Babel 11.24
5 W 90.57 81.38 Ed 9.19
6 L 96.10 113.47 Matt -17.37
7 Derrek
8 Rabbit
9 Dave
10 Pat
11 Mike R.
12 Schertz
13 Scott

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.23076923076923135.2%194.373626373626472.020.0%268.0141.2307692307692330.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692361.4%47.120879120879124138.45969326367907012.9%120.74725274725276115.8099774297224410.0%194.37362637362642.7692307692307736234.3%268.073.74233272967072314.0%341.6263736263736113.6205738038833942.2%415.2527472527472136.94233865466850.1%488.8791208791208141.127944105233476Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585211th246.66923076923075230.698224852071310th364.1307692307692208.213017751479349th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876511th599.053846153846230.69822485207169th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th129.2076923076923185.7278106508876212th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272312th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272410th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793510th599.053846153846208.213017751479369th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585211th246.66923076923075230.698224852071310th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793410th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793510th599.053846153846208.21301775147936Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.11 25 Amari Cooper WR
3.04 32 Joe Mixon K RB
4.11 53 Tom Brady QB
5.04 60 Kyle Rudolph TE
6.11 81 Randall Cobb WR
7.04 88 Derrick Henry K RB
8.11 109 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Jordy Nelson WR
10.11 137 DeSean Jackson WR
11.04 144 Los Angeles DEF
12.11 165 John Brown WR
13.04 172 D'Onta Foreman RB
14.11 193 Rob Kelley RB
15.04 200 Jeremy Hill RB
16.11 221 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692320.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.839254.3282051282051383.1612779866227140.257324.58461538461535123.4133109175788150.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.33843.55897435897436117.8448478638892310.717113.815384615384691.5707936187253320.028184.07179487179485139.2777485154372830.000254.3282051282051325.09178674247617440.000324.58461538461535105.595852604388450.354394.8410256410256116.731155253151316Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692310118.48846153846152141.2307692307692320191.62948717948714141.23076923076923310264.770512820512887.9763313609467444337.9115384615384119.9289940828402350411.05256410256413141.230769230769236545.347435897435886114.6035502958579918118.4884615384615298.6272189349112421191.62948717948714135.9053254437869830264.770512820512834.7218934911242540337.911538461538498.6272189349112451411.05256410256413135.905325443786986All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Richie 2-4 10th 101.74 0.422 20.22 5-8 11th
1 981 2020 Pat 3-3 10th 98.52 0.423 18.11 5-8 12th
2 966 2019 Ed 3-3 8th 97.11 0.427 22.90 5-8 11th
3 966 2021 Pat 1-5 12th 98.80 0.430 17.09 3-11 12th
4 954 2016 Allen 3-3 9th 95.62 0.414 23.17 4-9 13th
5 952 2023 Schertz 4-2 5th 97.13 0.429 28.59 6-8 9th
6 950 2020 Babel 4-2 4th 98.90 0.431 9.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place
7 949 2024 Dave 3-3 9th 93.85 0.413 20.50 9-5 3rd
8 948 2020 Matt 3-3 8th 101.14 0.447 20.15 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 947 2014 Kevin 2-4 11th 93.32 0.432 20.46 4-9 14th
10 945 2018 Schertz 2-4 11th 100.97 0.435 7.21 6-7 10th