2023 Pat (through 13 weeks)

5-8 (0.385), 1,264.76 points

10th place

5.97 expected wins (0.459)

75-94 all-play record (0.444)

+22.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 W 91.18 79.26 Kevin 11.92
10 L 117.18 122.53 Rob -5.35
11 W 90.06 86.87 Mike R. 3.19
12 L 83.25 93.06 Richie -9.81 Slapped Heartbeat
13 L 84.00 126.28 Ed -42.28
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923421.0%212.780219780219883.1983738688007350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2165928757987400.1%65.52747252747253140.9210767955685810.9%102.34065934065934138.6092321312697224.3%139.15384615384613129.37313999953727311.8%175.96703296703296108.6410639739311840.0%212.780219780219825.165978506832246525.1%249.593406593406672.0620.3%286.406593406593485.08753990177499711.2%323.2197802197802110.3168209094797484.1%360.032967032967129.8942739945110291.0%396.8461538461538138.58944506909435100.1%433.6593406593406140.87818093145614110.0%470.4725274725274141.21029920009462120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479328th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958538th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958548th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958557th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041566th305.4118.2721893491124177th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041588th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958597th452.226923076923140.75739644970415107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585128th599.053846153846163.242603550295851314th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479327th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041538th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958549th207.5153846153846185.727810650887658th256.4576923076923163.2426035502958569th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479389th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931010th501.16923076923075208.21301775147931110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931210th599.053846153846208.21301775147931314th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th60.68846153846153253.1834319526627229th109.6307692307692185.727810650887639th158.5730769230769185.727810650887649th207.5153846153846185.727810650887658th256.4576923076923163.2426035502958567th305.4140.7573964497041578th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958588th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958597th452.226923076923140.75739644970415107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585128th599.053846153846163.2426035502958513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852140.5919643956529210.49257.069822485207105106.6592954556268520.90189.4958579881656878.5042737881806330.000121.92189349112428140.5919643956529240.000154.34792899408282140.5919643956529250.337186.7739644970414117.3489280292454360.000219.2140.5919643956529270.000251.62603550295853140.5919643956529280.344284.0520710059171116.885145028696990.000316.4781065088757140.59196439565292100.328348.9041420118343117.97107595681054110.000381.33017751479287140.59196439565292120.000413.75621301775146140.5919643956529213-0.00524.64378698224852140.911366813211110.00057.06982248520710572.7266265156007620.00089.4958579881656816.41658318070831530.395121.92189349112428113.4011166343323340.631154.3479289940828297.1234644931289850.000186.773964497041494.1058916628379360.681219.293.6959950012703270.633251.6260355029585396.9764113466135980.000284.052071005917193.1783256617408790.775316.478106508875787.19172121308969100.000348.904142011834395.35018751796815110.223381.33017751479287125.23323903857047120.237413.75621301775146124.2604259154686713Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231559.413017751479295114.6035502958579921293.1704142011834277.3254437869822530126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692357194.44260355029584103.9526627218934960228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692387295.7147928994083103.9526627218934990329.47218934911234141.23076923076923106363.2295857988165109.27810650887574110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.41301775147929587.976331360946742093.1704142011834213.4201183431952735126.92781065088758114.6035502958579947160.6852071005917103.9526627218934950194.4426035502958466.67455621301775610228.287.9763313609467474261.9573964497041119.9289940828402380295.714792899408366.6745562130177598329.4721893491123498.62721893491124100363.229585798816577.32544378698225110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923124430.74437869822486119.9289940828402313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 5-8 10th 97.29 0.459 18.10 5-9 11th
1 991 2016 Babel 7-6 6th 96.71 0.462 17.09 7-6 6th 6th place
2 990 2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.458 20.34 4-9 13th
3 988 2024 Babel 8-5 5th 98.09 0.455 18.37 9-5 4th
4 982 2021 Kevin 5-8 9th 97.22 0.456 23.87 5-9 9th
5 981 2022 Mike R. 8-5 3rd 96.00 0.455 15.21 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
6 980 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.454 18.15 7-6 8th
7 978 2024 Pat 6-7 8th 98.56 0.454 20.81 6-8 10th
8 976 2015 Mike R. 8-5 4th 93.10 0.462 16.62 8-5 4th 6th place
9 972 2016 Matt 5-8 10th 96.11 0.460 29.06 5-8 10th
10 971 2009 Dave 5-8 11th 95.98 0.452 13.72 5-8 11th