2024 Pat (through 13 weeks)

6-7 (0.462), 1,281.26 points (98.56 average)

8th place

5.86 expected wins (0.450)

75-94 all-play record (0.444)

-9.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 L 78.82 79.14 Matt -0.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 89.43 144.70 Dave -55.27
11 L 106.44 135.76 Rob -29.32
12 W 99.46 66.82 Richie 32.64
13 L 67.19 94.07 Scott -26.88 Slapped Heartbeat
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923526.4%249.593406593406672.060.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2277335069767300.1%65.52747252747253141.076595250529810.8%102.34065934065934139.2507586089263624.2%139.15384615384613130.13769192519652312.8%175.96703296703296107.65704673969583423.1%212.780219780219880.5059891463449250.0%249.59340659340662.7692307692307736619.5%286.406593406593490.0237363268729979.5%323.2197802197802116.3642280122490183.0%360.032967032967133.3399200930913790.6%396.8461538461538139.6351156876429100.1%433.6593406593406141.03653049882377110.0%470.4725274725274141.2181712960115120.0%507.2857142857143141.230452337201213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th60.68846153846153230.69822485207128th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958536th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124149th207.5153846153846185.727810650887655th256.457692307692395.786982248520764th305.473.3017751479289975th354.342307692307795.786982248520789th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876910th452.226923076923208.2130177514793108th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585118th550.1115384615384163.242603550295851211th599.053846153846230.698224852071135th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289925th109.630769230769295.786982248520733rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728447th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041554th256.457692307692373.3017751479289962nd305.428.33136094674557673rd354.342307692307750.81656804733728486th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124197th452.226923076923140.75739644970415107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415117th550.1115384615384140.75739644970415128th599.053846153846163.24260355029585137th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th60.68846153846153230.69822485207127th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041534th158.573076923076973.3017751479289948th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958554th256.457692307692373.3017751479289964th305.473.3017751479289975th354.342307692307795.786982248520787th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041597th452.226923076923140.75739644970415106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241117th550.1115384615384140.75739644970415129th599.053846153846185.727810650887613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.33724.64378698224852117.8866598618901410.20157.069822485207105127.2886696053798720.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.649121.9218934911242896.3341345079273540.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.972186.773964497041473.932738913416160.722219.291.2791059317186870.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.480381.33017751479287107.9851624546234120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485294.5425504930110510.00057.069822485207105113.346569979990520.87489.4958579881656880.712975758820130.000121.9218934911242851.43749978508546440.179154.34792899408282128.808252502372150.000186.77396449704146.63470859606297860.000219.241.3274426326681170.316251.62603550295853119.335245280578380.152284.0520710059171130.6851440314774590.312316.4781065088757119.66251584127778100.604348.904142011834399.40817981799029110.000381.3301775147928774.73955567847757120.057413.75621301775146137.2691135556743513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213725.655621301775145103.952662721893491259.413017751479295130.579881656804732093.17041420118342141.2307692307692339126.9278106508875893.3017751479289940160.6852071005917141.23076923076923513194.4426035502958472.0610228.287.9763313609467470261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923116396.9869822485207109.27810650887574120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514566.674556213017751059.413017751479295119.9289940828402321293.1704142011834277.3254437869822530126.9278106508875845.37278106508874541160.6852071005917135.9053254437869850194.442603550295842.769230769230773660228.234.7218934911242571261.9573964497041135.9053254437869880295.7147928994083141.2307692307692396329.47218934911234109.27810650887574108363.229585798816598.62721893491124110396.986982248520777.32544378698225120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 6-7 8th 98.56 0.450 20.81 6-8 10th
1 988 2024 Babel 8-5 5th 98.09 0.453 18.37 9-5 4th 4th place
2 986 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.445 21.11 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 982 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.453 24.14 6-7 10th
4 982 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.446 22.01 3-10 12th
5 978 2019 Ed 5-8 11th 97.34 0.454 26.02 5-8 11th
6 977 2021 Kevin 5-8 9th 97.22 0.456 23.87 5-9 9th
7 976 2021 Mike R. 4-9 10th 95.03 0.446 20.52 4-10 11th
8 975 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.453 18.15 7-6 8th
9 974 2009 Dave 5-8 11th 95.98 0.450 13.72 5-8 11th
10 973 2023 Pat 5-8 10th 97.29 0.459 18.10 5-9 11th