2024 Pat (through 3 weeks)

2-1 (0.667), 301.35 points

5th place

1.57 expected wins (0.523)

21-18 all-play record (0.538)

-15.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 Pulley
5 Mike R.
6 Babel
7 Rabbit
8 Derrek
9 Matt
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01230.0%74.73076923076924141.2307692307692300.0%203.5769230769231141.23076923076923141.7%332.423076923076977.4866213760101820.0%461.2692307692308141.2307692307692333.6%74.73076923076924135.77377678674645045.3%203.576923076923171.9999999999999910.0%332.423076923076913.74247352125112829.4%461.2692307692308126.909757675087363Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th305.4230.69822485207128th599.053846153846163.2426035502958535th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th305.473.3017751479289925th599.05384615384695.786982248520737th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th305.4230.69822485207127th599.053846153846140.757396449704153Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.38078.68717948717949114.92695157764110.268219.20000000000002122.6887072218654620.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692330.00078.6871794871794988.6231339245127910.000219.20000000000002104.1466452129616920.921359.712820512820577.447785963216033Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123781.9179487179487103.9526627218934912228.19999999999996130.5798816568047320374.48205128205126141.230769230769233081.917948717948766.6745562130177510228.19999999999996119.92899408284023212374.4820512820512677.325443786982253All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 2-1 5th 100.45 0.523 19.89 6-8 10th
1 977 2009 Rob 2-1 5th 98.18 0.527 17.43 8-5 3rd 4th place
2 975 2012 Ed 2-1 4th 99.84 0.532 17.79 8-5 4th 4th place
3 971 2018 Pulley 2-1 7th 104.56 0.524 14.82 9-4 3rd 6th place
4 970 2015 Rob 1-2 9th 100.49 0.531 12.89 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 968 2009 Matt 2-1 4th 99.12 0.529 12.34 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
6 966 2024 Babel 2-1 6th 100.21 0.537 22.51 9-5 4th
7 959 2013 Allen 2-1 5th 101.35 0.520 3.84 4-9 14th
8 956 2010 Mike R. 2-1 5th 96.45 0.514 15.02 4-9 11th
9 956 2008 Rob 2-1 2nd 93.72 0.527 15.43 9-4 2nd 2nd place
10 953 2014 Pat 2-1 5th 98.22 0.514 9.98 5-8 11th