2025 Pat (through 13 weeks)

4-9 (0.308), 1,085.30 points (83.48 average)

11th place

4.06 expected wins (0.312)

55-114 all-play record (0.325)

-15.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 W 134.30 67.92 Babel 66.38
6 L 59.19 141.42 Rabbit -82.23 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 55.01 88.58 Pulley -33.57 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 84.15 86.67 Dave -2.52
9 W 93.89 93.37 Derrek 0.52
10 L 73.89 93.48 Mike R. -19.59
11 L 46.75 97.82 Rob -51.07 Slapped Heartbeat
12 L 76.00 79.16 Ed -3.16
13 L 71.62 122.40 Matt -50.78
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692320.0%191.07692307692307141.23076923076923330.8%241.626373626373672.040.0%292.1758241758242141.2307692307692350.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692360.0%393.27472527472526141.2307692307692370.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.14206990298801.1%89.97802197802199138.7099298046266519.1%140.5274725274725120.80877231942367224.0%191.0769230769230787.2174933568149430.0%241.62637362637362.7692307692307736422.2%292.175824175824291.2884863443109159.7%342.7252747252747119.5244603966764562.6%393.27472527472526135.3638630250533570.4%443.8241758241758140.237978339985480.0%494.3736263736264141.1274962215746390.0%544.9230769230769141.22447971291757100.0%595.4725274725274141.23056326800508110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076595536565120.0%696.5714285714286141.230769211158213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th60.68846153846153230.69822485207124th109.630769230769273.3017751479289936th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124144th207.515384615384673.3017751479289959th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876610th305.4208.2130177514793711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.6686390532544137th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289924th109.630769230769273.3017751479289937th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041544th207.515384615384673.3017751479289958th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585610th305.4208.2130177514793712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711211th599.053846153846230.698224852071138th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th60.68846153846153230.69822485207124th109.630769230769273.3017751479289939th158.5730769230769185.727810650887645th207.515384615384695.786982248520759th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876612th305.4253.18343195266272712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.38035.88639053254438114.8884629528125610.50083.105325443787106.6203187942833520.000130.3242603550296141.2307692307692330.000177.54319526627222141.2307692307692340.943224.7621301775148275.9353966624631850.000271.9810650887574141.2307692307692360.000319.2141.2307692307692370.000366.41893491124256141.2307692307692380.435413.6378698224852111.1229530381689690.000460.85680473372776141.23076923076923100.000508.07573964497044141.23076923076923110.000555.294674556213141.23076923076923120.000602.5136094674556141.23076923076923130.00035.8863905325443888.546156674855910.00083.10532544378772.0098683577974920.893130.324260355029679.4040978018846930.132177.54319526627222132.1175462988576340.000224.7621301775148210.64002409415712750.033271.9810650887574138.9251469428985860.022319.2139.6909044622102370.255366.41893491124256123.5985500011986780.000413.637869822485281.015136845568790.152460.85680473372776130.6827977375257100.016508.07573964497044140.14681651810136110.173555.294674556213129.25705712810557120.122602.5136094674556132.7749431730895313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213636.898224852071109.278106508875741685.44852071005917109.2781065088757420133.99881656804732141.2307692307692330182.5491124260355141.23076923076923412231.0994082840236777.3254437869822550279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692387425.30059171597634103.9526627218934990473.8508875739645141.23076923076923100522.4011834319526141.23076923076923110570.9514792899408141.23076923076923120619.501775147929141.2307692307692313036.89822485207177.325443786982251085.4485207100591777.32544378698225212133.9988165680473277.3254437869822531182.5491124260355135.9053254437869840231.0994082840236713.4201183431952750279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692374376.75029585798814119.9289940828402380425.3005917159763466.6745562130177591473.8508875739645135.90532544378698100522.4011834319526141.23076923076923112570.9514792899408130.57988165680473124619.501775147929119.9289940828402313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 4-9 11th 83.48 0.312 25.13 4-10 13th
1 965 2012 Richie 1-12 14th 81.09 0.306 18.28 1-12 14th
2 958 2024 Derrek 4-9 14th 87.19 0.318 17.52 4-10 14th
3 957 2012 Pat 5-8 11th 76.74 0.304 25.34 5-8 11th
4 956 2025 Babel 3-10 14th 85.29 0.298 20.85 4-10 12th
5 949 2024 Pulley 4-9 13th 87.69 0.319 15.09 4-10 13th
6 946 2023 Kevin 3-10 14th 85.88 0.296 18.65 4-10 14th
7 943 2015 Kevin 3-10 14th 81.06 0.299 14.59 3-10 14th
8 941 2008 Dave 5-8 11th 78.07 0.328 22.84 5-8 11th
9 940 2022 Pulley 7-6 7th 86.82 0.324 13.92 7-7 8th
10 933 2021 Rob 2-11 14th 86.68 0.330 16.15 2-12 14th