2024 Derrek (through 13 weeks)

4-9 (0.308), 1,133.48 points

14th place

4.11 expected wins (0.316)

43-126 all-play record (0.254)

+0.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 75.23 90.24 Pat -15.01 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 90.67 84.50 Ed 6.17
3 L 50.69 88.17 Pulley -37.48 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 104.27 53.28 Scott 50.99
5 L 125.68 158.20 Richie -32.52
6 L 84.40 101.54 Dave -17.14
7 L 80.96 110.79 Babel -29.83
8 W 93.48 89.72 Pat 3.76
9 L 90.55 113.82 Rob -23.27
10 L 63.29 105.35 Kevin -42.06
11 L 91.99 113.09 Mike R. -21.10
12 W 93.16 90.98 Schertz 2.18
13 L 89.11 119.28 Matt -30.17
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923326.4%175.9670329670329672.040.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.2%28.71428571428572140.5999720288646702.7%65.52747252747253134.1595477206502110.5%102.34065934065934113.70618599147517221.4%139.1538461538461385.2804150524068830.0%175.967032967032962.7692307692307736421.4%212.780219780219885.20391910444317511.7%249.5934065934066110.5829928352725364.4%286.4065934065934129.8083407522843871.1%323.2197802197802138.3702926814187380.2%360.032967032967140.768442970277390.0%396.8461538461538141.18641275306362100.0%433.6593406593406141.22866309840788110.0%470.4725274725274141.2307405264094120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th60.68846153846153253.18343195266272214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544613th305.4275.6686390532544713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.153846153846131314th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071613th305.4275.6686390532544712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.153846153846131314th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th60.68846153846153253.18343195266272214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272613th305.4275.6686390532544713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Etienne, Jr. RB
2.10 24 D.J. Moore WR
3.05 33 Rachaad White RB
4.10 52 Zay Flowers WR
5.05 61 Jayden Reed WR
6.10 80 David Njoku TE
7.05 89 Ladd McConkey WR
8.10 108 C.J. Stroud K QB
9.05 117 Tank Dell K WR
10.10 136 Jaleel McLaughlin RB
11.05 145 Adonai Mitchell WR
12.10 164 Cleveland DEF
13.05 173 Tank Bigsby RB
14.10 192 Ricky Pearsall WR
15.05 201 Bryce Young QB
16.10 220 Matt Gay K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852139.4666083640548810.33757.069822485207105116.4064527675897720.00089.49585798816568139.4666083640548830.569121.92189349112428100.5758552802049340.000154.34792899408282139.4666083640548850.000186.7739644970414139.4666083640548860.000219.2139.4666083640548870.386251.62603550295853113.107944148673380.000284.0520710059171139.4666083640548890.000316.4781065088757139.46660836405488100.000348.9041420118343139.46660836405488110.382381.33017751479287113.37721015838076120.000413.75621301775146139.46660836405488130.12324.64378698224852131.0814502966467210.00057.06982248520710593.346297171124662-0.01389.49585798816568140.3486887974120530.000121.9218934911242861.6851021963549940.855154.3479289940828281.0428501593424450.244186.7739644970414122.7790816639998260.189219.2126.5263669657620870.000251.6260355029585386.7492799332917280.336284.0520710059171116.5186469383012290.021316.4781065088757138.0374888807563100.360348.9041420118343114.86939262884297110.000381.3301775147928787.28781195270666120.317413.75621301775146117.8200993185539713Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231459.413017751479295119.928994082840232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692337126.92781065088758103.9526627218934940160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692373261.9573964497041125.2544378698224880295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923115396.9869822485207114.60355029585799120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.41301775147929598.627218934911242093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.9278106508875866.6745562130177549160.685207100591793.3017751479289953194.44260355029584125.2544378698224862228.2130.5798816568047370261.9573964497041109.2781065088757484295.7147928994083119.9289940828402391329.47218934911234135.90532544378698103363.2295857988165125.25443786982248110396.986982248520787.97633136094674122430.74437869822486130.5798816568047313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Derrek 4-9 14th 87.19 0.316 17.52 4-10 14th
1 987 2024 Pulley 4-9 13th 87.69 0.319 15.09 4-10 13th
2 971 2022 Pulley 7-6 7th 86.82 0.326 13.92 7-7 8th
3 964 2021 Rob 2-11 14th 86.68 0.331 16.15 2-12 14th
4 961 2022 Babel 3-10 14th 86.73 0.332 15.39 3-11 14th
5 958 2023 Kevin 3-10 14th 85.88 0.298 18.65 4-10 14th
6 953 2018 Richie 5-8 11th 93.21 0.323 21.43 5-8 11th
7 947 2012 Richie 1-12 14th 81.09 0.302 18.28 1-12 14th
8 944 2016 Richie 5-8 12th 88.10 0.342 17.42 5-8 12th
9 941 2020 Pat 5-8 12th 89.15 0.341 16.59 5-8 12th
10 939 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.345 16.95 5-8 13th