2016 Richie (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 662.04 points

7th place

2.90 expected wins (0.414)

35-56 all-play record (0.385)

-24.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 85.25 72.19 Allen 13.06
2 L 75.70 139.75 Matt -64.05
3 W 84.08 67.22 Derrek 16.86
4 W 128.25 88.31 Rob 39.94
5 W 108.72 60.32 Mike R. 48.40
6 L 103.34 124.07 Rabbit -20.73
7 L 76.70 90.37 Kevin -13.67
8 Dave
9 Pulley
10 Babel
11 Ed
12 Pat
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923321.1%300.2115384615385100.1838206900466440.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.7%42.519230769230774139.8260045335767408.4%106.9423076923077124.84465631708471127.1%171.365384615384688.45472339832921235.6%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.211538461538559.1368721493240546.1%364.6346153846155129.3846979196201250.8%429.0576923076924139.6149077611307860.0%493.4807692307693141.147511770830367Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613311th305.4230.698224852071410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479359th501.16923076923075185.727810650887669th599.053846153846185.727810650887677th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479328th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958534th305.473.3017751479289943rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728455th501.1692307692307595.786982248520767th599.053846153846140.75739644970415712th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613310th305.4208.2130177514793410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479359th501.16923076923075185.727810650887669th599.053846153846185.72781065088767Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Rob Gronkowski K TE
2.04 18 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.11 39 Golden Tate WR
4.04 46 Matt Jones RB
5.11 67 Emmanuel Sanders WR
6.04 74 Carson Palmer QB
7.11 95 Justin Forsett RB
8.04 102 Corey Coleman WR
9.11 123 Thomas Rawls K RB
10.04 130 Tony Romo QB
11.11 151 Ladarius Green TE
12.04 158 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
13.11 179 Terrance Williams WR
14.04 186 Kendall Wright WR
15.11 207 Buffalo DEF
16.04 214 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.26638.54065934065934122.8464919378529610.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.248158.98021978021976124.051098231100130.881219.1999999999999680.2079748410299140.659279.419780219780295.640572446969650.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.00038.54065934065934104.4622146449367110.13598.76043956043955131.903767557833820.000158.98021978021976106.8714272314309730.000219.1999999999999619.18518045129057740.000279.419780219780250.0503756631699650.562339.6395604395604102.3568207423380460.148399.8593406593406130.983266522427957Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567240.12307692307692130.5798816568047310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692322165.50769230769228130.57988165680473310228.1999999999999687.9763313609467447290.8923076923077103.9526627218934950353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692119.9289940828402312102.8153846153846130.5798816568047320165.50769230769228119.9289940828402330228.1999999999999634.7218934911242540290.892307692307766.67455621301775510353.584615384615487.9763313609467462416.2769230769231130.579881656804737All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Richie 4-3 7th 94.58 0.414 18.06 5-8 12th
1 990 2019 Mike R. 4-3 8th 94.53 0.412 21.25 8-5 4th 4th place
2 987 2019 Ed 3-4 10th 95.81 0.413 21.44 5-8 11th
3 980 2014 Kevin 2-5 12th 91.10 0.412 19.71 4-9 14th
4 979 2020 Matt 3-4 11th 97.84 0.413 20.33 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 978 2021 Pulley 2-5 10th 97.18 0.412 14.58 5-9 10th
6 974 2012 Pulley 2-5 12th 91.13 0.413 13.14 4-9 12th
7 971 2024 Schertz 3-4 11th 90.75 0.409 20.01 7-7 7th
8 971 2021 Pat 1-6 12th 96.79 0.405 16.57 3-11 12th
9 968 2023 Derrek 2-5 11th 92.27 0.405 15.54 5-9 12th
10 963 2013 Rabbit 2-5 13th 94.90 0.422 27.56 5-8 11th