2016 Richie (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 662.04 points (94.58 average)

7th place

2.92 expected wins (0.417)

35-56 all-play record (0.385)

-25.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 85.25 72.19 Allen 13.06
2 L 75.70 139.75 Matt -64.05
3 W 84.08 67.22 Derrek 16.86
4 W 128.25 88.31 Rob 39.94
5 W 108.72 60.32 Mike R. 48.40
6 L 103.34 124.07 Rabbit -20.73
7 L 76.70 90.37 Kevin -13.67
8 Dave
9 Pulley
10 Babel
11 Ed
12 Pat
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923321.5%300.211538461538598.9837672792042740.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.8%42.519230769230774139.6823356266371808.4%106.9423076923077124.61200470683985126.7%171.365384615384688.77350498825042235.2%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.211538461538556.73676532763930446.5%364.6346153846155128.469404508178450.9%429.0576923076924139.380875393991360.1%493.4807692307693141.128239507111327Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613312th305.4253.18343195266272410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479359th501.16923076923075185.727810650887669th599.053846153846185.727810650887677th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479328th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958534th305.473.3017751479289943rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728455th501.1692307692307595.786982248520767th599.053846153846140.75739644970415712th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613310th305.4208.2130177514793410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479359th501.16923076923075185.727810650887669th599.053846153846185.72781065088767Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Rob Gronkowski K TE
2.04 18 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.11 39 Golden Tate WR
4.04 46 Matt Jones RB
5.11 67 Emmanuel Sanders WR
6.04 74 Carson Palmer QB
7.11 95 Justin Forsett RB
8.04 102 Corey Coleman WR
9.11 123 Thomas Rawls K RB
10.04 130 Tony Romo QB
11.11 151 Ladarius Green TE
12.04 158 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
13.11 179 Terrance Williams WR
14.04 186 Kendall Wright WR
15.11 207 Buffalo DEF
16.04 214 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.26838.54065934065934122.7028438828548410.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.252158.98021978021976123.7689118071162830.866219.1999999999999681.2718841565319840.657279.419780219780295.7786619971698550.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.00038.54065934065934104.1749185349404510.14898.76043956043955130.9718315603118420.000158.98021978021976106.3070543834633430.000219.1999999999999621.31299908229473840.000279.419780219780250.3265547635704750.562339.6395604395604102.3242394948273460.163399.8593406593406129.947531222635267Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567240.12307692307692130.5798816568047310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692322165.50769230769228130.57988165680473310228.1999999999999687.9763313609467447290.8923076923077103.9526627218934950353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692119.9289940828402312102.8153846153846130.5798816568047320165.50769230769228119.9289940828402330228.1999999999999634.7218934911242540290.892307692307766.67455621301775510353.584615384615487.9763313609467462416.2769230769231130.579881656804737All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Richie 4-3 7th 94.58 0.417 18.06 5-8 12th
1 983 2019 Ed 3-4 10th 95.81 0.414 21.44 5-8 11th
2 982 2019 Mike R. 4-3 8th 94.53 0.411 21.25 8-5 4th 4th place
3 976 2014 Kevin 2-5 12th 91.10 0.413 19.71 4-9 14th
4 974 2020 Matt 3-4 11th 97.84 0.412 20.33 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 967 2024 Schertz 3-4 11th 90.75 0.410 20.01 7-7 7th
6 966 2021 Pulley 2-5 10th 97.18 0.408 14.58 5-9 10th
7 966 2012 Pulley 2-5 12th 91.13 0.411 13.14 4-9 12th
8 964 2021 Pat 1-6 12th 96.79 0.404 16.57 3-11 12th
9 963 2023 Derrek 2-5 11th 92.27 0.405 15.54 5-9 12th
10 963 2013 Babel 0-7 14th 91.92 0.407 22.06 4-9 13th