2026 Richie

2-4 (0.333), 496.32 points (82.72 average)

12th place

1.43 expected wins (0.238)

15-63 all-play record (0.192)

-13.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 85.87 79.00 Kevin 6.87
2 L 64.88 118.63 Matt -53.75
3 L 71.91 75.02 Schertz -3.11
4 L 78.03 102.59 Rabbit -24.56 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 113.47 182.80 Pulley -69.33
6 W 82.16 64.90 Derrek 17.26
7 Ed
8 Mike R.
9 Babel
10 Pat
11 Kevin
12 Rob
13 Dave
14 Scott

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.2307692307692300.0%165.80219780219778141.23076923076923132.1%266.9010989010988690.2981696100178420.0%368.0141.2307692307692330.0%469.09890109890114141.2307692307692340.0%570.1978021978022141.2307692307692350.0%671.2967032967032141.23076923076923613.2%64.7032967032967120.22934482576339043.6%165.8021978021977872.010.0%266.9010989010988639.3655699892664529.7%368.0125.8106562573730431.4%469.09890109890114139.075561282670640.1%570.1978021978022141.1003575980273650.0%671.2967032967032141.228303645273266Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544513th599.053846153846275.668639053254467th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793212th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272312th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544512th599.053846153846253.18343195266272612th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613414th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613513th599.053846153846275.66863905325446Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Brown WR
2.04 18 Justin Jefferson WR
3.11 39 Breece Hall K RB
4.04 46 Joe Burrow QB
5.11 67 Brock Bowers K×2 TE
6.04 74 Jordyn Tyson WR
7.11 95 Blake Corum RB
8.04 102 Jakobi Meyers WR
9.11 123 Josh Downs WR
10.04 130 Tyler Allgeier RB
11.11 151 Tyler Shough QB
12.04 158 Oronde Gadsden, Jr. TE
13.11 179 Emmett Johnson RB
14.04 186 Jauan Jennings WR
15.11 207 Cleveland DEF
16.04 214 Harrison Mevis K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.25163.430769230769236123.8764717780221410.000165.73846153846154141.2307692307692320.000268.04615384615386141.2307692307692330.000370.3538461538461141.2307692307692340.000472.66153846153844141.2307692307692350.193574.9692307692308127.8837997276856760.00063.430769230769236106.5221743252750510.032165.73846153846154138.993012269673220.093268.04615384615386134.7861456964484430.151370.3538461538461130.7752298605017240.707472.6615384615384492.307179000140650.000574.9692307692308114.536830224602136Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456265.21923076923076130.5798816568047310170.41153846153844141.2307692307692320275.6038461538461141.2307692307692330380.79615384615386141.2307692307692340485.9884615384615141.2307692307692353591.1807692307692125.254437869822486065.21923076923076119.9289940828402311170.41153846153844135.9053254437869821275.6038461538461135.9053254437869830380.79615384615386141.2307692307692348485.988461538461598.6272189349112450591.1807692307692109.278106508875746All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Richie 2-4 12th 82.72 0.238 15.35
1 964 2022 Richie 3-3 10th 80.58 0.244 8.43 6-8 13th
2 927 2009 Pulley 1-5 12th 79.08 0.263 19.09 4-9 12th
3 908 2026 Rob 0-6 14th 81.23 0.202 7.99
4 906 2023 Scott 1-5 13th 83.42 0.279 20.02 8-6 7th
5 905 2016 Babel 2-4 12th 85.03 0.277 11.99 7-6 6th 6th place
6 901 2023 Kevin 1-5 14th 77.29 0.202 17.70 4-10 14th
7 901 2025 Richie 3-3 9th 78.68 0.265 29.09 8-6 6th 4th place
8 893 2012 Schertz 1-5 14th 79.12 0.273 25.79 5-8 9th
9 886 2015 Derrek 3-3 10th 81.47 0.291 16.66 7-6 7th
10 886 2017 Allen 2-4 12th 77.11 0.278 9.97 5-8 12th