2014 Schertz (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 992.21 points

9th place

4.21 expected wins (0.382)

54-89 all-play record (0.378)

-11.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 83.62 157.21 Dave -73.59
2 W 74.81 72.63 Ed 2.18
3 W 96.28 75.96 Mike R. 20.32
4 W 100.39 87.58 Babel 12.81
5 W 107.18 89.05 Allen 18.13
6 W 120.48 60.70 Kevin 59.78 Team Blangums
7 L 78.03 84.05 Matt -6.02
8 L 99.95 153.86 Rabbit -53.91
9 L 74.25 82.06 Rob -7.81
10 L 82.61 110.01 Pat -27.40
11 L 74.61 104.02 Derrek -29.41
12 Pulley
13 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923423.1%246.5256410256410283.26061627884350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.8278478967799302.0%74.73076923076923136.3045547573092318.9%117.67948717948717119.04761386531806220.5%160.6282051282051489.94328035467404327.6%203.5769230769230772.040.0%246.5256410256410225.290463326916793512.4%289.474358974359110.2187950035392164.3%332.42307692307696130.5148996114667270.9%375.3717948717949138.8596720205060880.1%418.3205128205129140.9072611184351490.0%461.26923076923083141.20603095913918100.0%504.21794871794873141.2299590744719411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479357th305.4140.7573964497041568th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958578th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958589th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721111th11.746153846153845230.698224852071111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207128th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958534th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289943rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728453rd305.450.81656804733728464th364.130769230769273.3017751479289975th422.8615384615384395.786982248520786th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124198th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585109th599.053846153846185.72781065088761111th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479357th305.4140.7573964497041568th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958578th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958588th481.59230769230766163.24260355029585910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931011th599.053846153846230.69822485207111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Matt Forte RB
2.13 27 Vincent Jackson WR
3.02 30 Pierre Garcon WR
4.13 55 Vernon Davis TE
5.02 58 Tom Brady QB
6.13 83 Ben Tate K RB
7.02 86 Terrance West RB
8.13 111 Justin Hunter WR
9.02 114 Jay Cutler QB
10.13 139 St. Louis DEF
11.02 142 Matt Prater K
12.13 167 Jonathan Grimes RB
13.02 170 Michael Crabtree K WR
14.13 195 Brandon Bostick TE
15.02 198 C.J. Anderson RB
16.13 223 Harry Douglas WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.15365.91328671328671130.6226478708422320.471104.23496503496503108.5988082829842430.536142.55664335664335104.1440378400325840.664180.8783216783216495.2913180056975250.849219.1999999999999682.4383961409568860.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.26627.59160839160839122.849528016304110.00065.91328671328671120.0145265109152220.000104.2349650349650375.9668473351992630.000142.5566433566433567.0573064492959540.000180.8783216783216449.351866780625850.000219.1999999999999623.64602305114452560.190257.5216783216783128.0770647605841470.527295.8433566433567104.7804336175971180.146334.165034965035131.0999447040156390.252372.4867132867133123.7586648413963100.151410.8083916083916130.7590183946060411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231268.61958041958042130.5798816568047325108.5146853146853114.6035502958579935148.40979020979017114.60355029585799410188.3048951048950887.97633136094674513228.272.060268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311328.724475524475523125.254437869822481068.61958041958042119.9289940828402320108.514685314685387.9763313609467430148.4097902097901787.9763313609467440188.3048951048950834.7218934911242550228.22.769230769230773665268.09510489510484114.6035502958579975307.9902097902098114.6035502958579983347.8853146853147125.2544378698224892387.7804195804196130.57988165680473101427.67552447552447135.9053254437869811All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Schertz 5-6 9th 90.20 0.382 14.85 5-8 13th
1 991 2021 Pulley 3-8 10th 91.19 0.381 16.28 5-9 10th
2 988 2016 Mike R. 3-8 13th 90.72 0.379 16.70 5-8 11th
3 978 2010 Kevin 3-8 11th 88.08 0.376 15.17 5-8 10th
4 977 2014 Richie 4-7 13th 89.51 0.377 19.86 6-7 9th
5 972 2017 Allen 4-7 11th 85.93 0.378 13.54 5-8 12th
6 968 2023 Scott 6-5 8th 90.24 0.371 19.89 8-6 7th
7 965 2012 Schertz 3-8 11th 85.76 0.381 22.04 5-8 9th
8 963 2019 Richie 4-7 13th 94.32 0.390 17.18 5-8 12th
9 963 2013 Pat 4-7 12th 87.16 0.371 16.39 5-8 12th
10 962 2015 Ed 3-8 12th 87.60 0.389 22.03 4-9 12th