2017 Allen (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 945.19 points

11th place

4.16 expected wins (0.378)

59-84 all-play record (0.413)

+0.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.93 94.71 Babel 1.22
2 L 77.41 88.46 Mike R. -11.05
3 L 68.17 93.50 Ed -25.33
4 W 82.92 60.90 Schertz 22.02
5 L 68.41 94.49 Matt -26.08
6 L 69.82 94.01 Richie -24.19
7 W 100.50 97.29 Rabbit 3.21
8 L 87.62 130.18 Dave -42.56
9 L 98.75 106.66 Pulley -7.91
10 W 109.89 77.06 Pat 32.83
11 L 85.77 103.11 Kevin -17.34
12 Rob
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923326.7%203.5769230769230771.9999999999999940.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.3%31.782051282051285140.5300002770710502.5%74.73076923076923134.6453052820910419.8%117.67948717948717115.85328872583463220.6%160.6282051282051487.6573380985324530.0%203.576923076923072.769230769230745422.2%246.5256410256410283.54453029120583512.2%289.474358974359109.52789304433764.4%332.42307692307696129.713684431340371.0%375.3717948717949138.5137953622515980.2%418.3205128205129140.8331013047581590.0%461.26923076923083141.19812757221325100.0%504.21794871794873141.2296249039072811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.7869822485207111th70.47692307692309230.698224852071212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721011th599.053846153846230.698224852071114th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th70.47692307692309185.7278106508876212th129.2076923076923253.1834319526627239th187.93846153846152185.7278106508876411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931011th599.053846153846230.698224852071115th11.74615384615384595.7869822485207111th70.47692307692309230.698224852071212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721011th599.053846153846230.69822485207111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Ezekiel Elliott K RB
2.07 21 Demaryius Thomas WR
3.08 36 Jordan Reed TE
4.07 49 Emmanuel Sanders WR
5.08 64 Eddie Lacy RB
6.07 77 Isaiah Crowell K RB
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford QB
8.07 105 Seattle DEF
9.08 120 Randall Cobb WR
10.07 133 Jamaal Williams RB
11.08 148 Zay Jones WR
12.07 161 Latavius Murray RB
13.08 176 John Ross III WR
14.07 189 Rex Burkhead RB
15.08 204 Jason Witten TE
16.07 217 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.51727.59160839160839105.4101879735497710.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.309142.55664335664335119.854099282201740.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.589257.5216783216783100.4212996458564470.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.760372.486713286713388.64797776091277100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083969.589606716330310.23765.91328671328671124.8429876098950320.146104.23496503496503131.0933032824037230.000142.5566433566433598.4774293336341940.148180.87832167832164130.956932758639950.158219.19999999999996130.2750801398207760.000257.521678321678359.6118300609436670.382295.8433566433567114.7970256926264880.560334.165034965035102.4327648713728890.000372.486713286713336.06518629105629100.354410.8083916083916116.7289414459473611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011928.72447552447552393.301775147928991068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692334148.40979020979017119.9289940828402340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692369268.0951048951048493.3017751479289970307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.23076923076923910387.780419580419687.97633136094674100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552345.3727810650887451268.61958041958042130.5798816568047323108.5146853146853125.2544378698224830148.4097902097901798.6272189349112444188.30489510489508119.9289940828402351228.2135.9053254437869860268.0951048951048445.37278106508874575307.9902097902098114.6035502958579987347.8853146853147103.9526627218934990387.780419580419634.72189349112425105427.67552447552447114.6035502958579911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Allen 4-7 11th 85.93 0.378 13.54 5-8 12th
1 983 2010 Kevin 3-8 11th 88.08 0.376 15.17 5-8 10th
2 977 2012 Schertz 3-8 11th 85.76 0.381 22.04 5-8 9th
3 975 2013 Pat 4-7 12th 87.16 0.371 16.39 5-8 12th
4 973 2016 Mike R. 3-8 13th 90.72 0.379 16.70 5-8 11th
5 972 2014 Schertz 5-6 9th 90.20 0.382 14.85 5-8 13th
6 972 2017 Richie 4-7 13th 84.14 0.375 21.05 6-7 8th
7 970 2014 Richie 4-7 13th 89.51 0.377 19.86 6-7 9th
8 968 2021 Pulley 3-8 10th 91.19 0.381 16.28 5-9 10th
9 959 2008 Katie 4-7 9th 83.51 0.390 17.37 5-8 10th
10 956 2023 Scott 6-5 8th 90.24 0.371 19.89 8-6 7th