2023 Schertz (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 882.11 points

10th place

4.10 expected wins (0.456)

56-61 all-play record (0.479)

+3.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 76.13 63.28 Scott 12.85
2 W 94.72 80.58 Kevin 14.14
3 L 74.79 129.29 Pulley -54.50
4 W 139.82 85.70 Richie 54.12 Team Blangums
5 W 131.30 100.59 Rob 30.71
6 L 66.01 92.96 Derrek -26.95 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 94.26 123.75 Rabbit -29.49
8 L 107.86 117.33 Ed -9.47
9 L 97.22 112.56 Scott -15.34
10 Matt
11 Babel
12 Dave
13 Mike R.
14 Pat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923333.2%242.2307692307692571.9999999999999940.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.177914001298700.8%87.61538461538464139.6127826347325817.1%139.15384615384616126.43090910112359222.7%190.692307692307793.916693284684930.0%242.230769230769252.769230769230745424.8%293.769230769230889.5786836703989659.5%345.3076923076923121.3920782518845461.8%396.8461538461538137.548441798152970.1%448.3846153846154140.9267589164499680.0%499.9230769230769141.222455518486569Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th85.15961538461536185.7278106508876212th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627239th231.98653846153846185.727810650887647th305.4140.7573964497041559th378.8134615384615185.727810650887669th452.226923076923185.727810650887679th525.6403846153845185.727810650887689th599.053846153846185.727810650887697th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289929th158.5730769230769185.727810650887636th231.98653846153846118.2721893491124145th305.495.786982248520755th378.813461538461595.786982248520767th452.226923076923140.7573964497041579th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876810th599.053846153846208.213017751479399th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585212th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627238th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958547th305.4140.7573964497041557th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041568th452.226923076923163.2426035502958579th525.6403846153845185.727810650887689th599.053846153846185.72781065088769Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Saquon Barkley RB
2.07 21 Najee Harris RB
3.08 36 D.J. Moore WR
4.07 49 T.J. Hockenson TE
5.08 64 Khalil Herbert RB
6.07 77 Jahan Dotson WR
7.08 92 Quentin Johnston WR
8.07 105 Treylon Burks K WR
9.08 120 Justin Fields K QB
10.07 133 Jameson Williams WR
11.08 148 San Francisco DEF
12.07 161 Tyler Bass K
13.08 176 Joshua Kelley RB
14.07 189 Matt Breida RB
15.08 204 Kareem Hunt RB
16.07 217 Chase Claypool WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.14331.84957264957265131.3366908862640810.42078.68717948717948112.1311754561918720.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.944172.3623931623931875.8566161350140440.902219.278.788582395936350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.00031.84957264957265121.4426125417589610.00078.6871794871794883.0315816816145120.128125.5247863247863132.359469814492830.000172.3623931623931810.48246303925884640.000219.216.34639556110337850.050266.03760683760686137.780198134104960.412312.8752136752136112.6766575512471770.646359.712820512820596.5167504852337480.458406.5504273504273109.517407084051859Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789533.15726495726496114.603550295857991481.9179487179487119.9289940828402320130.67863247863247141.23076923076923313179.439316239316272.0411228.282.650887573964550276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649687.976331360946741081.917948717948798.6272189349112421130.67863247863247135.9053254437869830179.43931623931622.769230769230773640228.224.07100591715975250276.96068376068376141.2307692307692367325.7213675213675103.9526627218934975374.4820512820512114.60355029585799810423.24273504273587.976331360946749All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Schertz 4-5 10th 98.01 0.456 23.62 6-8 9th
1 989 2021 Mike R. 1-8 12th 97.29 0.453 22.13 4-10 11th
2 981 2009 Pat 5-4 4th 97.70 0.448 24.57 6-7 8th
3 973 2024 Schertz 3-6 11th 95.42 0.460 19.82 7-7 7th
4 970 2019 Dave 4-5 10th 98.19 0.448 16.74 6-7 10th
5 968 2009 Ed 5-4 7th 94.37 0.455 16.47 7-6 4th 6th place
6 968 2013 Babel 1-8 14th 99.95 0.453 32.79 4-9 13th
7 965 2011 Matt 4-5 9th 98.00 0.466 16.32 7-6 6th 2nd place
8 964 2009 Dave 5-4 6th 94.74 0.454 14.28 5-8 11th
9 962 2013 Rob 5-4 5th 97.87 0.442 27.79 8-5 2nd 2nd place
10 961 2013 Schertz 5-4 6th 93.92 0.465 21.54 6-7 9th