2021 Mike R. (through 9 weeks)

1-8 (0.111), 875.60 points

12th place

4.08 expected wins (0.453)

50-67 all-play record (0.427)

+42.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 108.98 111.39 Pat -2.41
2 L 93.79 120.93 Derrek -27.14
3 L 108.74 139.14 Kevin -30.40
4 W 133.41 122.50 Pat 10.91
5 L 121.31 135.53 Richie -14.22
6 L 90.81 137.45 Schertz -46.64
7 L 85.78 153.82 Dave -68.04
8 L 75.39 75.70 Rabbit -0.31
9 L 57.39 88.40 Scott -31.01 Slapped Heartbeat
10 Pulley
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Rob
14 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692301.2%87.61538461538464138.6854994820090810.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.1%36.07692307692308141.0917965819194500.0%87.61538461538464136.1402297332489317.6%139.15384615384616125.03718261709624222.1%190.692307692307794.16753321049679332.5%242.2307692307692572.0424.8%293.769230769230888.3630142062683659.7%345.3076923076923120.4773871115020561.8%396.8461538461538137.3991996334614870.1%448.3846153846154140.9850220894841880.0%499.9230769230769141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th85.15961538461536118.2721893491124125th158.573076923076995.786982248520734th231.9865384615384673.3017751479289944th305.473.3017751479289957th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041568th452.226923076923163.2426035502958579th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876810th599.053846153846208.213017751479399th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876111th85.15961538461536230.698224852071211th158.5730769230769230.69822485207139th231.98653846153846185.727810650887649th305.4185.7278106508876511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071611th452.226923076923230.698224852071712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272812th599.053846153846253.1834319526627297th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th85.15961538461536118.2721893491124127th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041535th231.9865384615384695.786982248520746th305.4118.2721893491124157th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041568th452.226923076923163.24260355029585710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793810th599.053846153846208.21301775147939Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Kelce TE
2.10 24 David Montgomery RB
3.05 33 Chris Godwin WR
4.10 52 Robbie Chosen WR
5.05 61 Javonte Williams RB
6.10 80 Laviska Shenault, Jr. WR
7.05 89 Joe Burrow QB
8.10 108 James Robinson K RB
9.05 117 Brandon Aiyuk K WR
10.10 136 Terrace Marshall, Jr. WR
11.05 145 Jakobi Meyers WR
12.10 164 Carlos Hyde RB
13.05 173 Tyler Bass K
14.10 192 Damien Williams RB
15.05 201 Buffalo DEF
16.10 220 Kenneth Gainwell RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265139.9159267935848710.00078.68717948717948139.9159267935848720.000125.5247863247863139.9159267935848730.897172.3623931623931878.4048317496640.000219.2139.9159267935848750.000266.03760683760686139.9159267935848760.000312.8752136752136139.9159267935848770.000359.7128205128205139.9159267935848780.000406.5504273504273139.9159267935848790.64731.8495726495726595.5706813423340110.38678.68717948717948113.479446392789320.642125.524786324786395.8858575971503230.000172.3623931623931816.89373670573513740.814219.284.0892606311684650.331266.03760683760686117.2165362713255460.258312.8752136752136122.2030748743121670.115359.7128205128205131.99605136324758-0.010406.5504273504273140.573348012177069Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.67863247863247141.23076923076923312179.439316239316277.3254437869822540228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239733.15726495726496103.952662721893491681.9179487179487109.2781065088757429130.6786324786324793.3017751479289930179.439316239316213.4201183431952749228.293.3017751479289953276.96068376068376125.2544378698224863325.7213675213675125.2544378698224871374.4820512820512135.9053254437869880423.242735042735141.230769230769239All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Mike R. 1-8 12th 97.29 0.453 22.13 4-10 11th
1 989 2023 Schertz 4-5 10th 98.01 0.456 23.62 6-8 9th
2 982 2009 Pat 5-4 4th 97.70 0.448 24.57 6-7 8th
3 975 2019 Dave 4-5 10th 98.19 0.448 16.74 6-7 10th
4 975 2009 Ed 5-4 7th 94.37 0.455 16.47 7-6 4th 6th place
5 974 2024 Schertz 3-6 11th 95.42 0.460 19.82 7-7 7th
6 973 2009 Dave 5-4 6th 94.74 0.454 14.28 5-8 11th
7 967 2013 Babel 1-8 14th 99.95 0.453 32.79 4-9 13th
8 963 2013 Rob 5-4 5th 97.87 0.442 27.79 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 961 2013 Schertz 5-4 6th 93.92 0.465 21.54 6-7 9th
10 961 2012 Pulley 4-5 7th 93.56 0.451 12.46 4-9 12th