2009 Matt

9-4 (0.692), 1,378.92 points

2nd place (regular season)

Blingabowl II champion (playoffs)

7.59 expected wins (0.584)

88-55 all-play record (0.615)

-0.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 116.27 79.52 Pat 36.75 Team Blangums
2 L 87.78 108.95 Mike R. -21.17
3 W 93.31 79.29 Derrek 14.02
4 W 109.17 105.50 Babel 3.67
5 W 95.19 81.24 Rob 13.95
6 W 101.57 100.86 Ed 0.71
7 W 133.67 109.55 Allen 24.12 Team Blangums
8 W 112.98 95.55 Pulley 17.43
9 L 93.80 114.48 Rabbit -20.68
10 L 75.09 110.15 Kevin -35.06
11 W 135.06 78.92 Dave 56.14 Team Blangums
12 L 95.04 108.72 Pat -13.68
13 W 129.99 109.99 Mike R. 20.00
15 W 148.98 133.50 Rob 15.48 Semifinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.23076923076923817.3%360.03296703296792.8933852269508790.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2306727782976500.0%65.52747252747253141.2262780470114210.0%102.34065934065934141.146057983852820.3%139.15384615384613140.386285844493631.8%175.96703296703296136.2977644379217346.4%212.7802197802198123.27989089113306515.2%249.593406593406698.92051108423576623.7%286.406593406593475.10461675646735724.8%323.219780219780271.9999999999999980.0%360.03296703296744.55600122313252697.9%396.8461538461538119.26089937040165102.2%433.6593406593406135.08410523995946110.3%470.4725274725274140.29242428707545120.0%507.2857142857143141.1735709002833813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386815th60.68846153846153112.1398601398601626th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867537th158.5730769230769165.286713286713344th207.515384615384685.5664335664335756th256.4576923076923138.7132867132867562nd305.432.4195804195804371st354.34230769230775.84615384615386882nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804393rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015103rd501.1692307692307558.993006993007015113rd550.111538461538458.993006993007015121st599.0538461538465.846153846153868131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386815th60.68846153846153112.1398601398601624th109.630769230769285.5664335664335733rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701542nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804352nd256.457692307692332.4195804195804361st305.45.84615384615386871st354.34230769230775.84615384615386882nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804391st452.2269230769235.846153846153868101st501.169230769230755.846153846153868112nd550.111538461538432.41958041958043122nd599.05384615384632.41958041958043131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386815th60.68846153846153112.1398601398601626th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867537th158.5730769230769165.286713286713345th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601657th256.4576923076923165.286713286713362nd305.432.4195804195804371st354.34230769230775.84615384615386883rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701594th452.22692307692385.56643356643357101st501.169230769230755.846153846153868111st550.11153846153845.846153846153868121st599.0538461538465.84615384615386813Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Steven Jackson RB
2.12 24 Wes Welker WR
3.01 25 Pierre Thomas RB
4.12 48 Chad Ochocinco WR
5.01 49 Eddie Royal WR
6.12 72 Larry Johnson RB
7.01 73 Kevin Smith K RB
8.12 96 Philadelphia DEF
9.01 97 Chris Chambers WR
10.12 120 Aaron Rodgers K QB
11.01 121 Kevin Boss TE
12.12 144 Ricky Williams RB
13.01 145 Steve Smith WR
14.12 168 Kyle Orton QB
15.01 169 Earl Bennett WR
16.12 192 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.78124.6437869822485287.1285321325474910.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.39889.49585798816568113.6866916355526930.672121.9218934911242894.7311888323808140.434154.34792899408282111.1752011562355450.537186.7739644970414104.0384770792619560.921219.277.4689533659431170.730251.6260355029585390.7196225916615980.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.928348.904142011834376.99165653276972110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.901413.7562130177514678.87811544483598130.00024.6437869822485233.02629503432575610.31357.069822485207105119.5733525780245320.00089.4958579881656886.1426140403361630.000121.9218934911242848.2316084339923940.000154.3479289940828281.1196330817018850.000186.773964497041466.8461849277546960.000219.213.7071375011169970.000251.6260355029585340.2084759525539480.409284.0520710059171112.8911969135970390.136316.4781065088757131.81260708582795100.000348.904142011834312.752543834770222110.430381.33017751479287111.43657799344955120.000413.7562130177514616.52546165890274213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112131125.65562130177514572.01059.413017751479295141.230769230769232293.17041420118342128.6433566433566439126.9278106508875884.5874125874125946160.6852071005917103.4685314685314756194.44260355029584103.46853146853147611228.272.0710261.957396449704178.293706293706380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.230769230769231011363.229585798816572.0110396.9869822485207141.230769230769231210430.7443786982248678.293706293706313025.6556213017751452.76923076923077361359.413017751479295122.349650349650352093.17041420118342116.0559440559440530126.9278106508875827.94405594405594740160.685207100591765.7062937062937250194.4426035502958465.7062937062937260228.22.769230769230773670261.957396449704115.3566433566433685295.7147928994083109.7622377622377691329.47218934911234134.93706293706293100363.22958579881652.7692307692307736113396.9869822485207122.34965034965035120430.7443786982248615.3566433566433613All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Matt 10-4 2nd 109.14 0.611 20.55 Blingabowl II champion
1 991 2019 Derrek 7-6 6th 106.34 0.582 16.08 3rd place
2 986 2020 Schertz 6-7 9th 105.89 0.588 15.51
3 984 2016 Pulley 8-5 3rd 106.21 0.588 21.41 3rd place
4 983 2016 Rob 8-5 4th 104.57 0.579 18.82 5th place
5 975 2011 Rob 7-6 4th 109.31 0.585 23.31 4th place
6 971 2016 Dave 6-7 8th 104.86 0.573 18.85
7 966 2009 Rabbit 10-3 1st 103.60 0.575 14.39 2nd place
8 964 2019 Pulley 8-5 3rd 109.35 0.576 21.97 6th place
9 960 2022 Rob 10-4 1st 103.93 0.596 14.42 2nd place
10 960 2011 Allen 7-6 5th 105.44 0.568 15.17 5th place