2016 Matt (through 3 weeks)

1-2 (0.333), 286.30 points

10th place

1.01 expected wins (0.336)

15-24 all-play record (0.385)

+14.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 Schertz
5 Pat
6 Ed
7 Babel
8 Rabbit
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%20.0%20.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%60.0%01230.0%74.73076923076924141.23076923076923079.8%203.576923076923172.010.0%332.4230769230769141.2307692307692320.0%461.2692307692308141.2307692307692339.9%74.73076923076924132.6683957477547200.0%203.57692307692312.7692307692307736110.1%332.4230769230769132.4723332250689220.2%461.2692307692308141.04658994847773Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th305.4163.24260355029585211th599.053846153846230.698224852071313th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th305.4140.75739644970415210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793313th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th305.4140.75739644970415211th599.053846153846230.6982248520713Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.00078.68717948717949141.2307692307692310.888219.2000000000000279.729015895463720.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692330.09278.68717948717949134.8454359166768810.000219.2000000000000218.2272625601581820.026359.7128205128205139.436576883392383Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123081.9179487179487141.23076923076923113228.1999999999999672.020374.48205128205126141.230769230769233181.9179487179487135.9053254437869810228.199999999999962.769230769230773621374.48205128205126135.905325443786983All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 1-2 10th 95.43 0.336 31.46 5-8 10th
1 928 2020 Rabbit 0-3 13th 96.04 0.329 3.57 6-7 10th
2 908 2023 Ed 2-1 8th 89.29 0.351 12.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
3 905 2021 Pat 1-2 10th 90.54 0.359 16.88 3-11 12th
4 904 2011 Pulley 1-2 12th 95.58 0.369 17.75 5-8 10th
5 904 2024 Kevin 0-3 13th 86.88 0.347 12.29 5-9 11th
6 894 2009 Dave 2-1 6th 85.02 0.323 11.90 5-8 11th
7 892 2010 Kevin 0-3 11th 84.96 0.351 13.99 5-8 10th
8 890 2021 Pulley 0-3 13th 88.31 0.313 13.21 5-9 10th
9 888 2019 Richie 1-2 10th 95.21 0.382 22.22 5-8 12th
10 888 2017 Allen 1-2 12th 80.50 0.329 11.54 5-8 12th