2016 Matt (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 537.56 points

7th place

2.63 expected wins (0.526)

36-29 all-play record (0.554)

-0.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 Ed
7 Babel
8 Rabbit
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%50.0%50.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923251.0%310.9487179487179672.030.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.2%53.25641025641026140.9315041972853405.2%139.15384615384616134.1907679047996134.9%225.0512820512820493.8437270440566520.0%310.948717948717962.769230769230773638.4%396.84615384615387129.810871281650740.3%482.7435897435898140.81771143184625Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585211th305.4230.69822485207139th452.226923076923185.727810650887647th599.053846153846140.75739644970415513th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415210th305.4208.213017751479338th452.226923076923163.2426035502958547th599.053846153846140.75739644970415513th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415211th305.4230.69822485207136th452.226923076923118.2721893491124147th599.053846153846140.757396449704155Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.912134.892307692307778.103717359462620.000219.2141.2307692307692330.918303.5076923076922577.6491489469165140.636387.815384615384697.2296833173392750.11650.58461538461538133.220137380675810.000134.892307692307714.97666548815598720.049219.2137.811278347391330.000303.5076923076922514.06752866306379740.000387.815384615384653.228597403909295Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.23076923076923113140.4307692307692272.020228.20000000000002141.23076923076923313315.969230769230772.048403.738461538461598.627218934911245152.661538461538456135.9053254437869810140.430769230769222.769230769230773621228.20000000000002135.9053254437869830315.96923076923072.769230769230773640403.738461538461556.023668639053245All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 3-2 7th 107.51 0.526 30.34 5-8 10th
1 969 2020 Schertz 2-3 9th 108.01 0.528 17.66 6-7 9th
2 966 2011 Mike R. 2-3 8th 108.77 0.522 20.34 6-7 9th
3 965 2019 Rabbit 3-2 5th 108.81 0.539 28.21 6-7 7th
4 962 2015 Matt 4-1 3rd 102.32 0.532 33.21 8-5 3rd 5th place
5 960 2011 Babel 3-2 6th 105.86 0.526 14.08 7-6 7th
6 955 2010 Babel 2-3 9th 98.59 0.525 27.16 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 949 2011 Kevin 3-2 3rd 111.49 0.536 23.28 6-7 8th
8 948 2020 Mike R. 2-3 10th 105.60 0.524 9.72 6-7 11th
9 944 2020 Scott 3-2 6th 105.87 0.536 14.84 7-6 8th
10 939 2024 Scott 2-3 8th 97.95 0.532 24.63 5-9 12th