2015 Matt (through 5 weeks)

4-1 (0.800), 511.58 points

3rd place

2.66 expected wins (0.532)

36-29 all-play record (0.554)

-44.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 104.98 76.98 Pat 28.00
2 W 100.45 74.96 Babel 25.49
3 W 160.19 83.61 Rabbit 76.58 Team Blangums
4 W 58.24 57.50 Pulley 0.74
5 L 87.72 104.65 Ed -16.93
6 Dave
7 Allen
8 Derrek
9 Rob
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Kevin
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.2307692307692320.0%310.94871794871796141.23076923076923314.8%396.84615384615387115.8777474534000340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692309.3%139.15384615384616125.21935477255576134.8%225.0512820512820481.47397947712108240.3%310.9487179487179672.030.0%396.8461538461538790.5247256760308440.8%482.7435897435898139.8121869555295Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520715th158.573076923076995.786982248520723rd305.450.81656804733728436th452.226923076923118.2721893491124147th599.053846153846140.7573964497041555th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728422nd305.428.33136094674557631st452.2269230769235.84615384615381143rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728455th11.74615384615384595.786982248520715th158.573076923076995.786982248520722nd305.428.33136094674557636th452.226923076923118.2721893491124147th599.053846153846140.757396449704155Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Julio Jones WR
2.04 18 Lamar Miller RB
3.11 39 Ameer Abdullah RB
4.04 46 Cam Newton QB
5.11 67 John Brown WR
6.04 74 Brandin Cooks K WR
7.11 95 Andre Ellington K RB
8.04 102 Pierre Garcon WR
9.11 123 Kendall Wright WR
10.04 130 Roy Helu, Jr. RB
11.11 151 Kyle Rudolph TE
12.04 158 Jameis Winston QB
13.11 179 Chris Johnson RB
14.04 186 Mason Crosby K
15.11 207 Philadelphia DEF
16.04 214 Markus Wheaton WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.64550.5846153846153897.820649788307610.563134.8923076923077103.364690076472921.029219.272.030.063303.50769230769225136.9602489541597440.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.00050.5846153846153854.41053034584610.000134.892307692307765.4986109221765720.000219.22.769230769230773630.000303.50769230769225132.6897286775502240.358387.8153846153846117.125395652277565Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345952.66153846153845693.3017751479289918140.4307692307692298.62721893491124213228.2000000000000272.031315.9692307692307135.9053254437869840403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.66153846153845645.37278106508874510140.4307692307692256.0236686390532420228.200000000000022.769230769230773630315.9692307692307130.5798816568047345403.7384615384615114.603550295857995All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Matt 4-1 3rd 102.32 0.532 33.21 8-5 3rd 5th place
1 965 2024 Scott 2-3 8th 97.95 0.532 24.63 5-9 12th
2 962 2016 Matt 3-2 7th 107.51 0.526 30.34 5-8 10th
3 959 2010 Babel 2-3 9th 98.59 0.525 27.16 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 950 2022 Derrek 3-2 6th 103.53 0.544 22.20 8-6 4th 4th place
5 950 2013 Kevin 1-4 12th 104.27 0.547 39.05 6-7 8th
6 949 2019 Rabbit 3-2 5th 108.81 0.539 28.21 6-7 7th
7 946 2010 Derrek 4-1 3rd 97.68 0.531 16.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 942 2009 Mike R. 2-3 9th 98.53 0.531 12.11 5-8 10th
9 941 2020 Scott 3-2 6th 105.87 0.536 14.84 7-6 8th
10 939 2009 Rob 3-2 4th 98.80 0.540 17.88 8-5 3rd 4th place