2015 Matt (through 5 weeks)

4-1 (0.800), 511.58 points (102.32 average)

3rd place

2.64 expected wins (0.527)

36-29 all-play record (0.554)

-43.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 104.98 76.98 Pat 28.00
2 W 100.45 74.96 Babel 25.49
3 W 160.19 83.61 Rabbit 76.58 Team Blangums
4 W 58.24 57.50 Pulley 0.74
5 L 87.72 104.65 Ed -16.93
6 Dave
7 Allen
8 Derrek
9 Rob
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Kevin
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.2307692307692310.0%309.02564102564105141.2307692307692320.0%426.974358974359141.23076923076923314.7%544.9230769230769116.0594059308073340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692350.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692309.3%191.07692307692304125.24447534004896134.9%309.0256410256410581.548759530257240.5%426.97435897435972.030.0%544.923076923076990.8880426308454340.6%662.8717948717949140.173828525721435Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520715th158.573076923076995.786982248520723rd305.450.81656804733728436th452.226923076923118.2721893491124147th599.053846153846140.7573964497041555th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728422nd305.428.33136094674557631st452.2269230769235.84615384615381143rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728455th11.74615384615384595.786982248520715th158.573076923076995.786982248520722nd305.428.33136094674557636th452.226923076923118.2721893491124147th599.053846153846140.757396449704155Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Julio Jones WR
2.04 18 Lamar Miller RB
3.11 39 Ameer Abdullah RB
4.04 46 Cam Newton QB
5.11 67 John Brown WR
6.04 74 Brandin Cooks K WR
7.11 95 Andre Ellington K RB
8.04 102 Pierre Garcon WR
9.11 123 Kendall Wright WR
10.04 130 Roy Helu, Jr. RB
11.11 151 Kyle Rudolph TE
12.04 158 Jameis Winston QB
13.11 179 Chris Johnson RB
14.04 186 Mason Crosby K
15.11 207 Philadelphia DEF
16.04 214 Markus Wheaton WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.64473.6615384615384797.1980730943263310.562196.43076923076924102.8311314867922221.013319.2000000000000572.030.046441.96923076923076138.0947325175401740.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.00073.6615384615384753.1653769578834510.000196.4307692307692464.431493742815220.000319.200000000000052.769230769230773630.000441.96923076923076134.958695804311140.372564.7384615384616115.812868050732135Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345975.7384615384615293.3017751479289918201.9692307692307698.62721893491124213328.272.031454.43076923076916135.9053254437869840580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.7384615384615245.37278106508874510201.9692307692307656.0236686390532420328.22.769230769230773630454.43076923076916130.5798816568047345580.6615384615385114.603550295857995All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Matt 4-1 3rd 102.32 0.527 33.21 8-5 3rd 5th place
1 972 2016 Matt 3-2 7th 107.51 0.528 30.34 5-8 10th
2 967 2010 Babel 2-3 9th 98.59 0.524 27.16 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 954 2024 Scott 2-3 8th 97.95 0.533 24.63 5-9 12th
4 954 2013 Kevin 1-4 12th 104.27 0.541 39.05 6-7 8th
5 952 2025 Rob 3-2 5th 102.06 0.516 20.97
6 952 2025 Pat 3-2 4th 104.96 0.536 23.47
7 949 2025 Mike R. 2-3 9th 101.50 0.518 18.81
8 946 2025 Kevin 3-2 3rd 111.17 0.534 35.14
9 946 2011 Babel 3-2 6th 105.86 0.528 14.08 7-6 7th
10 945 2024 Kevin 1-4 12th 101.19 0.513 21.84 5-9 11th