2017 Matt (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 347.20 points (86.80 average)

12th place

1.67 expected wins (0.418)

22-30 all-play record (0.423)

+16.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 Allen
6 Babel
7 Ed
8 Derrek
9 Rabbit
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923040.7%164.9230769230769372.010.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692344.5%61.846153846153854133.635059062696500.0%164.923076923076932.7692307692307736139.8%268.0000000000000673.50147508940108213.6%371.0769230769231118.1359827114100431.5%474.1538461538462138.593451545869934Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272214th403.28461538461534298.1538461538461339th599.053846153846185.7278106508876412th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544214th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613312th599.053846153846253.18343195266272411th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272213th403.28461538461534275.668639053254439th599.053846153846185.72781065088764Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.890377.27692307692379.6468736115689540.27061.12307692307692122.5324839810197710.285166.5076923076923121.4936205899570920.226271.89230769230767125.5768895203015530.000377.27692307692318.0629779923686734Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.0557692307692141.23076923076923312392.7673076923076777.325443786982254363.6326923076923125.2544378698224813173.34423076923076125.2544378698224824283.0557692307692119.9289940828402330392.7673076923076713.420118343195274All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 1-3 12th 86.80 0.418 18.46 5-8 11th
1 960 2008 Allen 3-1 2nd 88.66 0.430 14.32 8-5 4th 5th place
2 954 2008 Rabbit 2-2 10th 82.59 0.426 24.28 5-8 9th
3 952 2013 Derrek 2-2 8th 96.35 0.417 22.73 7-6 7th
4 948 2008 Katie 2-2 9th 86.21 0.441 19.62 5-8 10th
5 947 2019 Richie 2-2 9th 96.22 0.425 19.33 5-8 12th
6 943 2013 Richie 3-1 4th 96.45 0.411 21.26 6-7 10th
7 943 2022 Kevin 2-2 9th 91.74 0.436 17.79 6-8 12th
8 938 2023 Schertz 3-1 6th 96.37 0.414 26.30 6-8 9th
9 938 2021 Rob 1-3 12th 94.63 0.408 13.05 2-12 14th
10 935 2008 Rob 2-2 8th 88.66 0.444 15.98 9-4 2nd 2nd place