2026 Schertz

3-1 (0.750), 381.31 points (95.33 average)

5th place

1.66 expected wins (0.415)

22-30 all-play record (0.423)

-21.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 109.16 88.85 Rabbit 20.31
2 L 84.41 123.55 Pulley -39.14
3 W 75.02 71.91 Richie 3.11
4 W 112.72 93.49 Kevin 19.23
5 Dave
6 Ed
7 Matt
8 Babel
9 Scott
10 Derrek
11 Rob
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit
14 Pat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%84.9230769230769141.2307692307692300.0%226.46153846153845141.2307692307692310.0%368.0141.23076923076923213.7%509.53846153846155119.091329530731430.0%651.0769230769231141.2307692307692348.0%84.9230769230769128.35923315678104034.3%226.4615384615384585.87639639087698142.9%368.072.020.0%509.5384615384615596.9518898306935731.2%651.0769230769231139.35125546439614Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793211th403.28461538461534230.698224852071311th599.053846153846230.69822485207144th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958526th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124135th599.05384615384695.786982248520746th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793211th403.28461538461534230.698224852071311th599.053846153846230.6982248520714Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 CeeDee Lamb WR
2.02 16 Omarion Hampton K RB
3.13 41 TreVeyon Henderson RB
4.02 44 Rome Odunze WR
5.13 69 Tony Pollard RB
6.02 72 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
7.13 97 Trevor Lawrence QB
8.02 100 Isaiah Likely TE
9.13 125 Dallas Goedert K TE
10.02 128 Jonah Coleman RB
11.13 153 Tre Tucker WR
12.02 156 Seattle DEF
13.13 181 Jalen McMillan WR
14.02 184 Cameron Dicker K
15.13 209 Ray Davis RB
16.02 212 Kayshon Boutte WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.62889.0076923076923197.7322552035893610.000242.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.122395.9307692307692132.8187195981920530.686549.392307692307793.7289851792570840.00089.0076923076923154.23374117640949510.222242.46923076923076125.8474880212115720.000395.9307692307692124.4066699656148530.000549.392307692307746.227201127744924Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234891.517307692307798.6272189349112410249.30576923076922141.2307692307692322407.09423076923076130.5798816568047339564.882692307692393.301775147928994091.517307692307756.0236686390532413249.30576923076922125.2544378698224820407.09423076923076119.9289940828402330564.882692307692345.3727810650887454All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Schertz 3-1 5th 95.33 0.415 16.01
1 978 2013 Richie 3-1 4th 96.45 0.411 21.26 6-7 10th
2 978 2021 Rob 1-3 12th 94.63 0.408 13.05 2-12 14th
3 977 2013 Derrek 2-2 8th 96.35 0.417 22.73 7-6 7th
4 974 2023 Schertz 3-1 6th 96.37 0.415 26.30 6-8 9th
5 969 2019 Richie 2-2 9th 96.22 0.425 19.33 5-8 12th
6 964 2011 Kevin 2-2 9th 100.69 0.414 9.72 6-7 8th
7 956 2014 Ed 2-2 9th 94.67 0.432 12.75 6-7 8th
8 955 2017 Matt 1-3 12th 86.80 0.418 18.46 5-8 11th
9 955 2019 Ed 2-2 10th 94.40 0.405 26.99 5-8 11th
10 954 2025 Matt 2-2 10th 92.78 0.398 14.49 4-10 11th