2009 Kevin

6-7 (0.462), 1,339.89 points (103.07 average)

6th place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

7.38 expected wins (0.568)

81-62 all-play record (0.566)

+13.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.11 98.73 Pulley 16.38
2 L 84.13 91.68 Dave -7.55
3 L 102.29 107.48 Pat -5.19
4 W 105.70 89.47 Mike R. 16.23
5 L 96.73 108.29 Derrek -11.56
6 W 122.41 106.98 Babel 15.43
7 L 118.61 119.43 Rob -0.82
8 L 81.28 108.22 Ed -26.94
9 W 94.23 89.74 Allen 4.49
10 W 110.15 75.09 Matt 35.06
11 L 113.03 119.40 Rabbit -6.37
12 L 91.55 123.89 Pulley -32.34
13 W 104.67 103.46 Dave 1.21
14 L 97.69 166.83 Rob -69.14 Quarterfinals
15 W 99.36 89.32 Ed 10.04 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923516.9%249.593406593406691.8815735754420960.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.229958498502700.0%65.52747252747253141.207924568405410.1%102.34065934065934140.954009442406820.7%139.15384615384613139.322519142499932.9%175.96703296703296132.8801878135965648.4%212.7802197802198116.7594924839122150.0%249.593406593406642.53237792011495623.7%286.406593406593472.0723.1%323.219780219780273.80505808052551815.4%360.03296703296796.3202628215340496.8%396.8461538461538121.40745730010713101.9%433.6593406593406135.76003547793056110.3%470.4725274725274140.3880342286086120.0%507.2857142857143141.1761806484154813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867524th109.630769230769285.5664335664335735th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601643rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701552nd256.457692307692332.4195804195804361st305.45.84615384615386873rd354.342307692307758.99300699300701584th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335791st452.2269230769235.846153846153868101st501.169230769230755.846153846153868112nd550.111538461538432.41958041958043123rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015132nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867527th109.6307692307692165.286713286713337th158.5730769230769165.286713286713347th207.5153846153846165.286713286713354th256.457692307692385.5664335664335766th305.4138.7132867132867578th354.3423076923077191.860139860139988th403.28461538461534191.860139860139995th452.226923076923112.13986013986016105th501.16923076923075112.13986013986016118th550.1115384615384191.8601398601399126th599.053846153846138.71328671328675132nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867524th109.630769230769285.5664335664335735th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601643rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701552nd256.457692307692332.4195804195804361st305.45.84615384615386873rd354.342307692307758.99300699300701584th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335791st452.2269230769235.846153846153868102nd501.1692307692307532.41958041958043114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357123rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Reggie Wayne WR
2.06 18 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.07 31 Brandon Jacobs K RB
4.06 42 Dallas Clark TE
5.07 55 Santonio Holmes WR
6.06 66 Derrick Mason WR
7.07 79 Beanie Wells RB
8.06 90 Minnesota DEF
9.07 103 Tom Brady K QB
10.06 114 Patrick Crayton WR
11.07 127 Jeremy Maclin WR
12.06 138 Trent Edwards QB
13.07 151 Mason Crosby K
14.06 162 Shonn Greene RB
15.07 175 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
16.06 186 Davone Bess WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.78624.6437869822485286.8262293675069510.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.625121.9218934911242897.9517995319717440.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.875186.773964497041480.6239654885070560.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.407284.0520710059171113.0646287756406890.707316.478106508875792.27370567669314100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.602413.7562130177514699.58482006647729130.00024.6437869822485232.42168950424469610.23857.069822485207105124.7421837417981920.55689.49585798816568102.7457191433558430.000121.9218934911242854.67282983317427640.461154.34792899408282109.3072998658319650.000186.773964497041420.0171617462448860.835219.283.4251534127963970.187251.62603550295853128.301020641221380.000284.052071005917184.8984883205121490.000316.478106508875743.316642122617054100.747348.904142011834389.53875102638553110.353381.33017751479287116.78044333005185120.000413.7562130177514657.9388709021853613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112131025.65562130177514578.29370629370631059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692338126.9278106508875890.8811188811188840160.6852071005917141.23076923076923510194.4426035502958478.293706293706360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692386295.7147928994083103.4685314685314796329.47218934911234103.46853146853147100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923127430.7443786982248697.1748251748251713025.65562130177514515.356643356643361159.413017751479295134.937062937062932793.1704142011834297.1748251748251730126.9278106508875840.5314685314685348160.685207100591790.8811188811188850194.4426035502958415.3566433566433669228.284.5874125874125972261.9573964497041128.6433566433566480295.714792899408365.7062937062937290329.4721893491123465.70629370629372105363.2295857988165109.76223776223776112396.9869822485207128.64335664335664120430.7443786982248653.1188811188811213All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.568 12.42 5th place
1 983 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.566 18.34
2 978 2011 Allen 7-6 5th 105.44 0.571 15.17 5th place
3 977 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.566 20.22 6th place
4 975 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.561 17.29 5th place
5 968 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.562 18.74 2nd place
6 967 2016 Dave 6-7 8th 104.86 0.574 18.85
7 963 2021 Ed 6-8 8th 102.71 0.551 13.85
8 961 2009 Rabbit 10-3 1st 103.60 0.584 14.39 2nd place
9 960 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.553 16.72
10 958 2019 Derrek 7-6 6th 106.34 0.578 16.08 3rd place