2009 Kevin

6-7 (0.462), 1,339.89 points

6th place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

7.29 expected wins (0.561)

81-62 all-play record (0.566)

+12.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.11 98.73 Pulley 16.38
2 L 84.13 91.68 Dave -7.55
3 L 102.29 107.48 Pat -5.19
4 W 105.70 89.47 Mike R. 16.23
5 L 96.73 108.29 Derrek -11.56
6 W 122.41 106.98 Babel 15.43
7 L 118.61 119.43 Rob -0.82
8 L 81.28 108.22 Ed -26.94
9 W 94.23 89.74 Allen 4.49
10 W 110.15 75.09 Matt 35.06
11 L 113.03 119.40 Rabbit -6.37
12 L 91.55 123.89 Pulley -32.34
13 W 104.67 103.46 Dave 1.21
14 L 97.69 166.83 Rob -69.14 Quarterfinals
15 W 99.36 89.32 Ed 10.04 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923517.5%249.593406593406689.6794158427210660.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2292968776661200.0%65.52747252747253141.1943028678556710.1%102.34065934065934140.8363519959539220.8%139.15384615384613138.7665163779854833.4%175.96703296703296131.3193325186733549.2%212.7802197802198114.1651683403890950.0%249.593406593406638.128062454672886623.5%286.406593406593472.0722.2%323.219780219780275.79739377248235814.6%360.03296703296798.3326327018034396.4%396.8461538461538122.31371179908636101.8%433.6593406593406135.9313148603825110.3%470.4725274725274140.38774031163175120.0%507.2857142857143141.1733597914015413Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867524th109.630769230769285.5664335664335735th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601643rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701552nd256.457692307692332.4195804195804361st305.45.84615384615386873rd354.342307692307758.99300699300701584th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335791st452.2269230769235.846153846153868101st501.169230769230755.846153846153868112nd550.111538461538432.41958041958043123rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015132nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867527th109.6307692307692165.286713286713337th158.5730769230769165.286713286713347th207.5153846153846165.286713286713354th256.457692307692385.5664335664335766th305.4138.7132867132867578th354.3423076923077191.860139860139988th403.28461538461534191.860139860139995th452.226923076923112.13986013986016105th501.16923076923075112.13986013986016118th550.1115384615384191.8601398601399126th599.053846153846138.71328671328675132nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804316th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867524th109.630769230769285.5664335664335735th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601643rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701552nd256.457692307692332.4195804195804361st305.45.84615384615386873rd354.342307692307758.99300699300701584th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335791st452.2269230769235.846153846153868102nd501.1692307692307532.41958041958043114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357123rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Reggie Wayne WR
2.06 18 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.07 31 Brandon Jacobs K RB
4.06 42 Dallas Clark TE
5.07 55 Santonio Holmes WR
6.06 66 Derrick Mason WR
7.07 79 Beanie Wells RB
8.06 90 Minnesota DEF
9.07 103 Tom Brady K QB
10.06 114 Patrick Crayton WR
11.07 127 Jeremy Maclin WR
12.06 138 Trent Edwards QB
13.07 151 Mason Crosby K
14.06 162 Shonn Greene RB
15.07 175 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
16.06 186 Davone Bess WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.76324.6437869822485288.4013236876765210.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.613121.9218934911242898.7654834937273440.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.845186.773964497041482.6964901102231260.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.416284.0520710059171112.4252642907372990.689316.478106508875793.51521832882003100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.592413.75621301775146100.23146662418847130.00024.6437869822485235.57187814458383510.25557.069822485207105123.550826187802820.54989.49585798816568103.22025393667930.000121.9218934911242856.3001977566854640.456154.34792899408282109.6296685535788550.000186.773964497041424.1622109896770260.806219.285.4352647958133170.211251.62603550295853126.6532556034298680.000284.052071005917183.6197593507053590.000316.478106508875745.79966742687081100.730348.904142011834390.67416575040697110.366381.33017751479287115.87998422608756120.000413.7562130177514659.23216401760771513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112131025.65562130177514578.29370629370631059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692338126.9278106508875890.8811188811188840160.6852071005917141.23076923076923510194.4426035502958478.293706293706360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692386295.7147928994083103.4685314685314796329.47218934911234103.46853146853147100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923127430.7443786982248697.1748251748251713025.65562130177514515.356643356643361159.413017751479295134.937062937062932793.1704142011834297.1748251748251730126.9278106508875840.5314685314685348160.685207100591790.8811188811188850194.4426035502958415.3566433566433669228.284.5874125874125972261.9573964497041128.6433566433566480295.714792899408365.7062937062937290329.4721893491123465.70629370629372105363.2295857988165109.76223776223776112396.9869822485207128.64335664335664120430.7443786982248653.1188811188811213All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Kevin 7-8 6th 102.46 0.551 11.67 5th place
1 988 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.560 17.29 5th place
2 984 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.563 18.34
3 980 2021 Ed 6-8 8th 102.71 0.553 13.85
4 976 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.560 18.74 2nd place
5 975 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.555 16.72
6 975 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.564 20.22 6th place
7 972 2020 Babel 8-5 3rd 104.19 0.555 17.75 3rd place
8 972 2011 Allen 7-6 5th 105.44 0.568 15.17 5th place
9 971 2020 Pulley 8-5 4th 104.06 0.553 17.06 4th place
10 970 2020 Matt 8-5 2nd 104.39 0.558 21.15 2nd place