2012 Kevin (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 488.54 points

5th place

2.50 expected wins (0.500)

34-31 all-play record (0.523)

+2.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 92.76 79.19 Schertz 13.57
2 W 117.87 81.41 Babel 36.46
3 L 75.79 115.57 Mike R. -39.78
4 L 103.90 134.65 Rabbit -30.75
5 W 98.22 90.31 Richie 7.91
6 Allen
7 Pulley
8 Derrek
9 Matt
10 Pat
11 Ed
12 Rob
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923234.3%310.9487179487179672.030.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692351.8%53.25641025641026137.65569347044533014.0%139.15384615384616112.89439754983378134.2%225.0512820512820472.1950334686528220.0%310.948717948717962.7692307692307736314.0%396.84615384615387112.9084317050314241.7%482.7435897435898137.850079546671285Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887615th158.573076923076995.786982248520727th305.4140.7573964497041536th452.226923076923118.2721893491124147th599.053846153846140.7573964497041556th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728426th305.4118.2721893491124136th452.226923076923118.2721893491124145th599.05384615384695.786982248520759th11.746153846153845185.727810650887616th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124127th305.4140.7573964497041536th452.226923076923118.2721893491124146th599.053846153846118.272189349112415Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Tom Brady QB
2.12 26 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
3.03 31 Jonathan Stewart RB
4.12 54 Vernon Davis K TE
5.03 59 Peyton Hillis RB
6.12 82 Michael Bush RB
7.03 87 David Wilson RB
8.12 110 Vincent Brown WR
9.03 115 Victor Cruz K WR
10.12 138 Baltimore DEF
11.03 143 Mario Manningham WR
12.12 166 Matt Cassel QB
13.03 171 LaMichael James RB
14.12 194 Jordan Cameron TE
15.03 199 Matt Prater K
16.12 222 Mark Sanchez QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.41150.58461538461538112.7460513878767310.819134.892307692307784.5514455997056220.000219.2141.2307692307692330.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.502387.8153846153846106.4502788741134150.00050.5846153846153884.2613335449842410.000134.892307692307727.87212196864200620.165219.2129.8264594892959830.601303.5076923076922599.6431168962357440.000387.815384615384671.669788517457595Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345552.661538461538456114.60355029585799111140.4307692307692282.650887573964520228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.9692307692307141.2307692307692347403.7384615384615103.952662721893495052.66153846153845687.9763313609467410140.4307692307692224.07100591715975223228.20000000000002125.2544378698224838315.969230769230798.6272189349112440403.738461538461566.674556213017755All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Kevin 3-2 5th 97.71 0.500 13.78 5-8 10th
1 977 2012 Derrek 3-2 6th 96.13 0.501 20.59 8-5 5th 5th place
2 970 2015 Ed 3-2 4th 97.50 0.494 23.53 4-9 12th
3 964 2013 Mike R. 3-2 7th 99.04 0.496 25.77 7-6 6th 5th place
4 961 2016 Ed 2-3 9th 101.22 0.507 18.51 6-7 9th
5 957 2020 Matt 3-2 5th 106.15 0.500 18.35 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 956 2009 Allen 2-3 10th 94.47 0.485 15.04 6-7 7th
7 955 2019 Scott 2-3 9th 100.83 0.507 22.21 4-9 14th
8 955 2008 Allen 4-1 2nd 93.09 0.511 15.58 8-5 4th 5th place
9 947 2014 Kevin 2-3 10th 99.85 0.520 15.72 4-9 14th
10 941 2024 Kevin 1-4 12th 101.19 0.514 21.84 5-9 11th