2012 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 480.67 points

6th place

2.51 expected wins (0.501)

37-28 all-play record (0.569)

+12.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 118.79 109.62 Pulley 9.17
2 L 59.84 89.85 Rob -30.01 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 91.61 125.00 Ed -33.39
4 W 98.01 92.45 Dave 5.56
5 W 112.42 94.96 Babel 17.46
6 Matt
7 Pat
8 Kevin
9 Mike R.
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Rabbit
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923237.4%310.9487179487179672.030.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692351.3%53.25641025641026138.86989436924597012.1%139.15384615384616118.88802589556775135.6%225.0512820512820475.2933260433720520.0%310.948717948717962.7692307692307736313.1%396.84615384615387116.9370235633585540.5%482.7435897435898140.241527598383535Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557619th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876210th305.4208.213017751479338th452.226923076923163.2426035502958546th599.053846153846118.2721893491124152nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557619th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876211th305.4230.69822485207138th452.226923076923163.2426035502958546th599.053846153846118.2721893491124152nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793211th305.4230.69822485207139th452.226923076923185.727810650887647th599.053846153846140.757396449704155Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Adrian Peterson RB
2.06 20 Larry Fitzgerald K WR
3.09 37 Dez Bryant WR
4.06 48 Percy Harvin WR
5.09 65 Jermichael Finley TE
6.06 76 Kevin Smith RB
7.09 93 Darren McFadden K RB
8.06 104 Alex Smith QB
9.09 121 Houston DEF
10.06 132 Owen Daniels TE
11.09 149 Rueben Randle WR
12.06 160 Ronnie Brown RB
13.09 177 Leonard Hankerson WR
14.06 188 Dan Bailey K
15.09 205 John Skelton QB
16.06 216 Brandon Jacobs RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.83050.5846153846153883.7445866674363110.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.499303.50769230769225106.7002915010137740.743387.815384615384689.8017107646129250.00050.5846153846153826.2584041041033910.045134.8923076923077138.145061438889420.390219.2114.2574913595924830.000303.5076923076922572.1698137712582940.000387.815384615384638.372652298456635Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123451252.66153846153845677.3254437869822510140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.2307692307692336315.9692307692307109.27810650887574411403.738461538461582.65088757396455052.66153846153845613.4201183431952710140.43076923076922141.2307692307692328228.2000000000000298.6272189349112430315.969230769230777.3254437869822540403.738461538461524.0710059171597525All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Derrek 3-2 6th 96.13 0.501 20.59 8-5 5th 5th place
1 977 2012 Kevin 3-2 5th 97.71 0.500 13.78 5-8 10th
2 975 2015 Ed 3-2 4th 97.50 0.494 23.53 4-9 12th
3 968 2013 Mike R. 3-2 7th 99.04 0.496 25.77 7-6 6th 5th place
4 966 2019 Scott 2-3 9th 100.83 0.507 22.21 4-9 14th
5 964 2016 Ed 2-3 9th 101.22 0.507 18.51 6-7 9th
6 958 2008 Allen 4-1 2nd 93.09 0.511 15.58 8-5 4th 5th place
7 953 2020 Matt 3-2 5th 106.15 0.500 18.35 8-5 2nd 2nd place
8 951 2024 Kevin 1-4 12th 101.19 0.514 21.84 5-9 11th
9 950 2009 Allen 2-3 10th 94.47 0.485 15.04 6-7 7th
10 946 2017 Schertz 2-3 7th 92.90 0.522 20.33 5-8 10th