2018 Kevin (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,355.68 points

7th place

7.27 expected wins (0.606)

93-63 all-play record (0.596)

+12.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 108.58 76.15 Pat 32.43
2 W 121.51 119.04 Richie 2.47
3 L 101.62 140.04 Rabbit -38.42
4 L 137.38 160.96 Mike R. -23.58
5 L 100.96 114.08 Pulley -13.12
6 W 113.22 111.11 Schertz 2.11
7 W 127.24 83.57 Ed 43.67
8 W 107.18 66.27 Matt 40.91
9 L 105.26 126.61 Derrek -21.35
10 W 118.39 104.00 Scott 14.39
11 L 116.90 152.01 Babel -35.11
12 L 97.44 121.01 Rob -23.57
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923517.6%268.089.84738202371460.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.229144013639600.0%69.77514792899409141.1918276240632510.1%109.42011834319527140.8210722556078720.9%149.06508875739644138.7240645945829633.4%188.71005917159763131.2847790741658449.3%228.35502958579883114.2445846378015250.0%268.038.46399481665877623.7%307.6449704142011772.0722.5%347.2899408284024575.67368859451508814.6%386.9349112426035698.6480706107664496.2%426.5798816568048123.20657387336065101.5%466.2248520710059136.76333905646624110.2%505.8698224852071140.740017803150712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289913rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728426th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124133rd171.9209790209790250.81656804733728444th225.312587412587473.3017751479289955th278.704195804195895.786982248520762nd332.0958041958041328.33136094674557673rd385.487412587412550.81656804733728484th438.8790209790209473.3017751479289994th492.2706293706293673.30177514792899103rd545.662237762237750.816568047337284114th599.05384615384673.30177514792899124th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289926th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124135th171.9209790209790295.786982248520746th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124156th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124166th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124175th385.487412587412595.786982248520786th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124196th492.27062937062936118.27218934911241106th545.6622377622377118.27218934911241117th599.053846153846140.75739644970415124th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289926th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124133rd171.9209790209790250.81656804733728445th225.312587412587495.786982248520755th278.704195804195895.786982248520764th332.0958041958041373.3017751479289974th385.487412587412573.3017751479289985th438.8790209790209495.786982248520794th492.2706293706293673.30177514792899104th545.662237762237773.30177514792899116th599.053846153846118.2721893491124112Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Devonta Freeman RB
2.04 18 Stefon Diggs WR
3.11 39 Keenan Allen K WR
4.04 46 Marquise Goodwin WR
5.11 67 Trey Burton TE
6.04 74 Sterling Shepard WR
7.11 95 Ben Roethlisberger QB
8.04 102 Marlon Mack RB
9.11 123 Jack Doyle TE
10.04 130 Tyrell Williams WR
11.11 151 Alex Smith QB
12.04 158 John Ross III WR
13.11 179 Chris Ivory RB
14.04 186 Alvin Kamara K RB
15.11 207 Harrison Butker K
16.04 214 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.56625.994871794871795102.01653222024210.74261.1230769230769289.8681913949477920.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.638201.6358974358974597.0276438925486860.785236.7641025641025686.8907682927709370.547271.89230769230767103.3575090372529580.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.707342.1487179487179492.30013240206937100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179562.80229520971478510.00061.1230769230769238.5056135591263620.44196.25128205128203110.6760604792449830.843131.3794871794871782.8905662623653440.428166.5076923076923111.5851973043371650.000201.6358974358974552.8245185543281460.000236.7641025641025632.5507673547726270.000271.8923076923076765.484248843736780.507307.0205128205128106.1190121434704690.000342.1487179487179443.369495573369505100.691377.276923076923193.41382501280728110.370412.4051282051282115.5853993347427312Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121027.06217948717948587.976331360946741963.632692307692393.3017751479289920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692358209.9147435897435898.62721893491124610246.485256410256487.9763313609467476283.0557692307692109.2781065088757480319.62628205128203141.2307692307692398356.1967948717948598.62721893491124100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948534.721893491124251063.632692307692345.37278106508874527100.20320512820511103.95266272189349311136.7737179487179482.650887573964546173.3442307692307109.2781065088757450209.9147435897435856.0236686390532460246.485256410256434.7218934911242570283.055769230769277.3254437869822588319.6262820512820398.6272189349112490356.1967948717948556.02366863905324107392.7673076923077103.95266272189349113429.3378205128205125.2544378698224812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Kevin 6-6 7th 112.97 0.606 11.34 7-6 6th 3rd place
1 974 2018 Scott 5-7 8th 115.56 0.605 18.61 6-7 8th
2 957 2020 Rob 7-5 1st 113.08 0.604 30.58 7-6 6th 6th place
3 951 2022 Scott 6-6 6th 107.75 0.602 21.79 6-8 10th
4 948 2022 Rob 8-4 1st 105.24 0.612 15.15 10-4 1st 2nd place
5 947 2020 Schertz 6-6 8th 107.89 0.619 14.45 6-7 9th
6 945 2019 Pulley 8-4 2nd 110.54 0.594 22.46 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 944 2022 Derrek 7-5 2nd 107.59 0.615 19.40 8-6 4th 4th place
8 939 2016 Pulley 8-4 3rd 108.82 0.619 20.21 8-5 3rd 3rd place
9 939 2023 Babel 8-4 3rd 108.95 0.593 21.92 9-5 3rd 5th place
10 937 2008 Rob 8-4 3rd 100.41 0.605 16.87 9-4 2nd 2nd place