2018 Kevin (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,355.68 points (112.97 average)

7th place

7.19 expected wins (0.599)

93-63 all-play record (0.596)

+13.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 108.58 76.15 Pat 32.43
2 W 121.51 119.04 Richie 2.47
3 L 101.62 140.04 Rabbit -38.42
4 L 137.38 160.96 Mike R. -23.58
5 L 100.96 114.08 Pulley -13.12
6 W 113.22 111.11 Schertz 2.11
7 W 127.24 83.57 Ed 43.67
8 W 107.18 66.27 Matt 40.91
9 L 105.26 126.61 Derrek -21.35
10 W 118.39 104.00 Scott 14.39
11 L 116.90 152.01 Babel -35.11
12 L 97.44 121.01 Rob -23.57
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923518.3%268.088.375175879134160.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.228900069082200.0%69.77514792899409141.186202384715210.2%109.42011834319527140.7678521370352821.0%149.06508875739644138.450429682822833.7%188.71005917159763130.4459029129255649.9%228.35502958579883112.7040709670882850.0%268.035.51958252749898623.9%307.6449704142011772.0722.0%347.2899408284024577.5199706379141813.9%386.93491124260356101.0044713011833295.7%426.5798816568048124.66983938274578101.4%466.2248520710059137.23458365586305110.1%505.8698224852071140.8028865399792812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289926th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124132nd171.9209790209790228.33136094674557644th225.312587412587473.3017751479289955th278.704195804195895.786982248520762nd332.0958041958041328.33136094674557674th385.487412587412573.3017751479289984th438.8790209790209473.3017751479289994th492.2706293706293673.30177514792899103rd545.662237762237750.816568047337284115th599.05384615384695.7869822485207124th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289926th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124135th171.9209790209790295.786982248520746th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124156th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124166th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124175th385.487412587412595.786982248520786th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124196th492.27062937062936118.27218934911241106th545.6622377622377118.27218934911241117th599.053846153846140.75739644970415124th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289926th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124133rd171.9209790209790250.81656804733728445th225.312587412587495.786982248520755th278.704195804195895.786982248520764th332.0958041958041373.3017751479289974th385.487412587412573.3017751479289985th438.8790209790209495.786982248520794th492.2706293706293673.30177514792899104th545.662237762237773.30177514792899116th599.053846153846118.2721893491124112Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Devonta Freeman RB
2.04 18 Stefon Diggs WR
3.11 39 Keenan Allen K WR
4.04 46 Marquise Goodwin WR
5.11 67 Trey Burton TE
6.04 74 Sterling Shepard WR
7.11 95 Ben Roethlisberger QB
8.04 102 Marlon Mack RB
9.11 123 Jack Doyle TE
10.04 130 Tyrell Williams WR
11.11 151 Alex Smith QB
12.04 158 John Ross III WR
13.11 179 Chris Ivory RB
14.04 186 Alvin Kamara K RB
15.11 207 Harrison Butker K
16.04 214 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.55425.994871794871795102.8451425604879110.73561.1230769230769290.3472411631625820.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.617201.6358974358974598.5280347514841660.787236.7641025641025686.7656901512920570.539271.89230769230767103.8858705898380880.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.696342.1487179487179493.04448917258634100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179564.4595158902066210.00061.1230769230769239.4637130955559320.43696.25128205128203111.0696558910873430.854131.3794871794871782.1185168658848340.424166.5076923076923111.9068951483058450.000201.6358974358974555.8253002721990960.000236.7641025641025632.3006110718148770.000271.8923076923076766.5409719489069480.502307.0205128205128106.4694224989472590.000342.1487179487179444.85820911440344100.680377.276923076923194.17996395219865110.370412.4051282051282115.6085206364889812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121027.06217948717948587.976331360946741963.632692307692393.3017751479289920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692358209.9147435897435898.62721893491124610246.485256410256487.9763313609467476283.0557692307692109.2781065088757480319.62628205128203141.2307692307692398356.1967948717948598.62721893491124100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948534.721893491124251063.632692307692345.37278106508874527100.20320512820511103.95266272189349311136.7737179487179482.650887573964546173.3442307692307109.2781065088757450209.9147435897435856.0236686390532460246.485256410256434.7218934911242570283.055769230769277.3254437869822588319.6262820512820398.6272189349112490356.1967948717948556.02366863905324107392.7673076923077103.95266272189349113429.3378205128205125.2544378698224812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Kevin 6-6 7th 112.97 0.599 11.34 7-6 6th 3rd place
1 966 2018 Scott 5-7 8th 115.56 0.604 18.61 6-7 8th
2 965 2019 Pulley 8-4 2nd 110.54 0.598 22.46 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 954 2022 Scott 6-6 6th 107.75 0.602 21.79 6-8 10th
4 946 2020 Rob 7-5 1st 113.08 0.607 30.58 7-6 6th 6th place
5 946 2023 Babel 8-4 3rd 108.95 0.591 21.92 9-5 3rd 5th place
6 941 2022 Rob 8-4 1st 105.24 0.610 15.15 10-4 1st 2nd place
7 939 2015 Dave 5-7 8th 104.95 0.601 23.91 6-7 8th
8 938 2011 Allen 6-6 6th 106.03 0.587 15.65 7-6 5th 5th place
9 937 2020 Schertz 6-6 8th 107.89 0.618 14.45 6-7 9th
10 932 2016 Schertz 6-6 6th 106.29 0.588 20.06 7-6 5th 4th place