2019 Kevin (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 943.98 points (104.89 average)

6th place

4.20 expected wins (0.467)

57-60 all-play record (0.487)

+9.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 121.30 111.03 Derrek 10.27
2 L 75.97 87.25 Pat -11.28
3 W 181.71 119.30 Scott 62.41 Team Blangums
4 L 93.76 119.19 Matt -25.43
5 W 86.28 83.38 Rob 2.90
6 L 71.94 121.13 Rabbit -49.19
7 W 97.47 87.98 Ed 9.49
8 L 102.05 144.54 Mike R. -42.49
9 W 113.50 85.70 Richie 27.80
10 Schertz
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.23076923076923425.8%293.769230769230885.1836435629461250.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.1982884581590800.8%87.61538461538464139.466900101062416.6%139.15384615384616126.94562468474234220.8%190.692307692307796.03097343272282331.9%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.769230769230829.136517895123006511.2%345.3076923076923116.8702870819610562.5%396.8461538461538135.8084042361181870.3%448.3846153846154140.6848026307198280.0%499.9230769230769141.211412417196249Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th85.15961538461536185.727810650887624th158.573076923076973.3017751479289934th231.9865384615384673.3017751479289947th305.4140.7573964497041559th378.8134615384615185.727810650887668th452.226923076923163.24260355029585710th525.6403846153845208.213017751479386th599.053846153846118.2721893491124195th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th85.15961538461536185.727810650887623rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728435th231.9865384615384695.786982248520744th305.473.3017751479289957th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041565th452.22692307692395.786982248520777th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041586th599.053846153846118.2721893491124195th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th85.15961538461536185.727810650887623rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728434th231.9865384615384673.3017751479289944th305.473.3017751479289957th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041565th452.22692307692395.786982248520775th525.640384615384595.786982248520785th599.05384615384695.78698224852079Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Mike Evans WR
2.03 17 Keenan Allen WR
3.12 40 Matt Ryan QB
4.03 45 Hunter Henry TE
5.12 68 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7.12 96 Matt Breida RB
8.03 101 Marlon Mack K RB
9.12 124 Jamison Crowder WR
10.03 129 Kyle Rudolph TE
11.12 152 Josh Allen QB
12.03 157 Alvin Kamara K RB
13.12 180 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.03 185 Mike Davis RB
15.12 208 Marquise Goodwin WR
16.03 213 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.79931.8495726495726585.9434341506515810.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.978125.524786324786373.4971738215439430.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.256219.2123.5060932119688950.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.426312.8752136752136111.7130373628415570.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.689406.550427350427393.5207792837841590.00031.8495726495726530.6560990705339410.11178.68717948717948133.5247607127611820.000125.52478632478635.76357841231865130.368172.36239316239318115.7714459017079640.000219.2105.7814171931685550.074266.03760683760686136.1151908252829260.000312.875213675213682.1953054949138770.502359.7128205128205106.4787123325582280.000406.550427350427345.810789336799069Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789933.1572649572649693.301775147928991081.9179487179487141.23076923076923213130.6786324786324772.030179.4393162393162141.2307692307692343228.2125.2544378698224850276.96068376068376141.2307692307692367325.7213675213675103.9526627218934970374.4820512820512141.23076923076923810423.24273504273587.976331360946749033.1572649572649645.3727810650887451381.9179487179487125.2544378698224820130.678632478632472.769230769230773636179.4393162393162109.2781065088757440228.2109.2781065088757452276.96068376068376130.5798816568047360325.721367521367566.6745562130177574374.4820512820512119.9289940828402380423.24273504273534.721893491124259All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Kevin 5-4 6th 104.89 0.467 31.09 6-7 8th
1 977 2021 Matt 7-2 5th 103.67 0.472 26.60 11-3 2nd 4th place
2 957 2013 Babel 1-8 14th 99.95 0.457 32.79 4-9 13th
3 952 2019 Pat 4-5 9th 100.16 0.467 17.10 6-7 9th
4 951 2020 Rabbit 4-5 9th 101.38 0.477 23.48 6-7 10th
5 951 2022 Rabbit 5-4 6th 96.86 0.472 27.77 8-6 5th 5th place
6 950 2011 Kevin 4-5 8th 103.36 0.486 27.68 6-7 8th
7 948 2024 Kevin 2-7 14th 99.14 0.466 18.15 5-9 11th
8 947 2023 Schertz 4-5 10th 98.01 0.462 23.62 6-8 9th
9 941 2011 Matt 4-5 9th 98.00 0.468 16.32 7-6 6th 2nd place
10 941 2019 Mike R. 6-3 4th 101.43 0.483 24.45 8-5 4th 4th place