2024 Kevin (through 13 weeks)

4-9 (0.308), 1,329.22 points

12th place

6.66 expected wins (0.512)

78-91 all-play record (0.462)

+1.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.49 87.90 Richie -2.41
2 L 72.58 82.85 Pat -10.27 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 102.58 115.58 Scott -13.00
4 W 136.75 112.42 Rob 24.33
5 L 108.57 148.27 Rabbit -39.70
6 L 83.91 92.29 Ed -8.38
7 W 103.65 59.68 Pulley 43.97
8 L 86.99 106.30 Matt -19.31 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 111.70 129.65 Richie -17.95
10 W 105.35 63.29 Derrek 42.06
11 L 104.73 140.65 Schertz -35.92
12 W 137.15 89.26 Babel 47.89
13 L 89.77 102.22 Mike R. -12.45
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692336.2%175.96703296703296123.8120576525562340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2291999191263600.0%65.52747252747253141.1761715280164310.3%102.34065934065934140.5153008189367421.6%139.15384615384613136.5966411047635330.0%175.96703296703296106.39334607434324414.7%212.780219780219899.81778919275813523.1%249.593406593406676.0746068850483624.6%286.406593406593472.0717.7%323.219780219780291.4194549766810188.5%360.032967032967117.2657247759592492.7%396.8461538461538133.74920353825166100.5%433.6593406593406139.80177956546868110.1%470.4725274725274141.08276533919855120.0%507.2857142857143141.2246713706516613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207139th158.5730769230769185.727810650887647th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041559th256.4576923076923185.727810650887669th305.4185.7278106508876711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479398th452.226923076923163.24260355029585106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241127th599.053846153846140.757396449704151312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711212th599.053846153846253.183431952662721312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207138th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958547th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041559th256.4576923076923185.727810650887669th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479398th452.226923076923163.24260355029585107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241126th599.053846153846118.2721893491124113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ja'Marr Chase WR
2.13 27 Jahmyr Gibbs K RB
3.02 30 Patrick Mahomes II QB
4.13 55 DeVonta Smith K WR
5.02 58 Zamir White RB
6.13 83 Zack Moss RB
7.02 86 Hollywood Brown WR
8.13 111 Pat Freiermuth TE
9.02 114 Jordan Addison WR
10.13 139 Dalton Schultz TE
11.02 142 San Francisco DEF
12.13 167 Deshaun Watson QB
13.02 170 Michael Wilson WR
14.13 195 Roschon Johnson RB
15.02 198 Jason Sanders K
16.13 223 Tim Patrick WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.921121.9218934911242877.4732409617757440.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.558219.2102.5995099652607570.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.592316.4781065088757100.24711843033475100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.924381.3301775147928777.28004938644365120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.26224.64378698224852123.1005453710893410.09657.069822485207105134.5783977878780620.53989.49585798816568103.8950299410171130.000121.9218934911242813.71571269278226240.647154.3479289940828296.4060153443203150.236186.7739644970414124.8619979697054360.000219.263.9682506997522970.284251.62603550295853121.5663769787462980.696284.052071005917193.0535733017929190.000316.478106508875759.263467629900276100.579348.9041420118343101.16761946574059110.000381.3301775147928713.329329542118074120.324413.75621301775146118.7707812415878413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.23076923076923312126.9278106508875877.3254437869822540160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692366228.2109.2781065088757470261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692399329.4721893491123493.30177514792899100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231112396.986982248520777.32544378698225120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313225.655621301775145130.579881656804731059.413017751479295141.230769230769232993.1704142011834293.3017751479289930126.9278106508875813.4201183431952747160.6852071005917103.9526627218934952194.44260355029584130.5798816568047360228.277.3254437869822570261.9573964497041141.2307692307692389295.714792899408393.3017751479289990329.4721893491123445.372781065088745107363.2295857988165103.95266272189349110396.986982248520713.42011834319527123430.74437869822486125.2544378698224813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Kevin 4-9 12th 102.25 0.512 18.48 5-9 11th
1 993 2023 Ed 10-3 1st 101.94 0.515 19.03 11-3 1st 2nd place
2 989 2011 Ed 9-4 1st 102.13 0.508 17.79 9-4 1st 3rd place
3 989 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.509 17.48 6-7 9th
4 988 2009 Mike R. 5-8 10th 100.81 0.515 19.33 5-8 10th
5 979 2010 Derrek 7-6 5th 97.31 0.512 18.37 7-6 5th 3rd place
6 975 2011 Babel 7-6 7th 102.34 0.523 17.34 7-6 7th
7 974 2011 Kevin 6-7 8th 103.99 0.509 24.96 6-7 8th
8 972 2020 Mike R. 6-7 11th 99.43 0.509 13.61 6-7 11th
9 972 2015 Schertz 9-4 2nd 101.30 0.509 27.25 9-4 2nd 2nd place
10 972 2019 Mike R. 8-5 4th 102.54 0.522 22.23 8-5 4th 4th place