2024 Kevin (through 13 weeks)

4-9 (0.308), 1,329.22 points (102.25 average)

12th place

6.60 expected wins (0.508)

78-91 all-play record (0.462)

+2.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.49 87.90 Richie -2.41
2 L 72.58 82.85 Pat -10.27 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 102.58 115.58 Scott -13.00
4 W 136.75 112.42 Rob 24.33
5 L 108.57 148.27 Rabbit -39.70
6 L 83.91 92.29 Ed -8.38
7 W 103.65 59.68 Pulley 43.97
8 L 86.99 106.30 Matt -19.31 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 111.70 129.65 Richie -17.95
10 W 105.35 63.29 Derrek 42.06
11 L 104.73 140.65 Schertz -35.92
12 W 137.15 89.26 Babel 47.89
13 L 89.77 102.22 Mike R. -12.45
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692336.5%175.96703296703296123.0876849936796640.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2296344050644400.0%65.52747252747253141.1838308927843310.2%102.34065934065934140.5350504997330221.7%139.15384615384613136.4853679829505530.0%175.96703296703296104.94460075659009415.3%212.780219780219898.18629361337148523.7%249.593406593406674.4877859359956624.6%286.406593406593471.99999999999999717.2%323.219780219780292.996766886266587.9%360.032967032967118.9235951948319592.4%396.8461538461538134.57917598191455100.4%433.6593406593406140.02320601919521110.0%470.4725274725274141.1121636773898120.0%507.2857142857143141.2261202945265413Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207139th158.5730769230769185.727810650887647th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041559th256.4576923076923185.727810650887669th305.4185.7278106508876712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479398th452.226923076923163.24260355029585107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241127th599.053846153846140.757396449704151312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711212th599.053846153846253.183431952662721312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207138th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958547th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041559th256.4576923076923185.727810650887669th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479398th452.226923076923163.24260355029585107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241126th599.053846153846118.2721893491124113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ja'Marr Chase WR
2.13 27 Jahmyr Gibbs K RB
3.02 30 Patrick Mahomes II QB
4.13 55 DeVonta Smith K WR
5.02 58 Zamir White RB
6.13 83 Zack Moss RB
7.02 86 Hollywood Brown WR
8.13 111 Pat Freiermuth TE
9.02 114 Jordan Addison WR
10.13 139 Dalton Schultz TE
11.02 142 San Francisco DEF
12.13 167 Deshaun Watson QB
13.02 170 Michael Wilson WR
14.13 195 Roschon Johnson RB
15.02 198 Jason Sanders K
16.13 223 Tim Patrick WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.936121.9218934911242876.4589010619565240.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.550219.2103.1278981629428370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.582316.4781065088757100.91340486063405100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.941381.3301775147928776.05816966558925120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.24424.64378698224852124.3379275128081410.09457.069822485207105134.751494655309620.53289.49585798816568104.4231125158788830.000121.9218934911242811.68703289314382240.651154.3479289940828296.1567267589762850.217186.7739644970414126.2177236380137860.000219.265.0250270951164370.268251.62603550295853122.6457904929671780.695284.052071005917193.1176990212836190.000316.478106508875760.596040490498865100.572348.9041420118343101.62343649038321110.000381.3301775147928710.885570100409268120.320413.75621301775146119.0690876383877413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.23076923076923312126.9278106508875877.3254437869822540160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692366228.2109.2781065088757470261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692399329.4721893491123493.30177514792899100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231112396.986982248520777.32544378698225120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313225.655621301775145130.579881656804731059.413017751479295141.230769230769232993.1704142011834293.3017751479289930126.9278106508875813.4201183431952747160.6852071005917103.9526627218934952194.44260355029584130.5798816568047360228.277.3254437869822570261.9573964497041141.2307692307692389295.714792899408393.3017751479289990329.4721893491123445.372781065088745107363.2295857988165103.95266272189349110396.986982248520713.42011834319527123430.74437869822486125.2544378698224813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Kevin 4-9 12th 102.25 0.508 18.48 5-9 11th
1 994 2011 Ed 9-4 1st 102.13 0.506 17.79 9-4 1st 3rd place
2 990 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.505 17.48 6-7 9th
3 981 2023 Ed 10-3 1st 101.94 0.516 19.03 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 981 2009 Mike R. 5-8 10th 100.81 0.514 19.33 5-8 10th
5 978 2009 Rob 8-5 3rd 99.30 0.506 14.74 8-5 3rd 4th place
6 976 2018 Ed 6-7 9th 106.23 0.504 18.23 6-7 9th
7 976 2020 Mike R. 6-7 11th 99.43 0.506 13.61 6-7 11th
8 975 2019 Rabbit 6-7 7th 102.30 0.507 29.97 6-7 7th
9 974 2011 Kevin 6-7 8th 103.99 0.505 24.96 6-7 8th
10 971 2013 Rob 8-5 2nd 99.12 0.506 24.52 8-5 2nd 2nd place