2024 Kevin (through 5 weeks)

1-4 (0.200), 505.97 points (101.19 average)

12th place

2.57 expected wins (0.513)

30-35 all-play record (0.462)

+21.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.49 87.90 Richie -2.41
2 L 72.58 82.85 Pat -10.27 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 102.58 115.58 Scott -13.00
4 W 136.75 112.42 Rob 24.33
5 L 108.57 148.27 Rabbit -39.70
6 Ed
7 Pulley
8 Matt
9 Richie
10 Derrek
11 Schertz
12 Babel
13 Mike R.
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.23076923076923010.7%191.07692307692304122.0896184813166510.0%309.02564102564105141.2307692307692320.0%426.974358974359141.2307692307692330.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692350.4%73.12820512820512140.4814955769364500.0%191.07692307692304102.94846773186407136.0%309.0256410256410576.8892111235986238.7%426.97435897435972.0313.0%544.9230769230769117.8968942920678341.2%662.8717948717949139.149235609316755Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613211th305.4230.69822485207139th452.226923076923185.727810650887647th599.053846153846140.75739644970415512th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613213th305.4275.6686390532544312th452.226923076923253.18343195266272412th599.053846153846253.18343195266272512th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613211th305.4230.69822485207138th452.226923076923163.2426035502958547th599.053846153846140.757396449704155Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ja'Marr Chase WR
2.13 27 Jahmyr Gibbs K RB
3.02 30 Patrick Mahomes II QB
4.13 55 DeVonta Smith K WR
5.02 58 Zamir White RB
6.13 83 Zack Moss RB
7.02 86 Hollywood Brown WR
8.13 111 Pat Freiermuth TE
9.02 114 Jordan Addison WR
10.13 139 Dalton Schultz TE
11.02 142 San Francisco DEF
12.13 167 Deshaun Watson QB
13.02 170 Michael Wilson WR
14.13 195 Roschon Johnson RB
15.02 198 Jason Sanders K
16.13 223 Tim Patrick WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00073.66153846153847141.2307692307692310.000196.43076923076924141.2307692307692320.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692330.956441.9692307692307675.0366560993627640.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.26873.66153846153847122.6758845321779710.123196.43076923076924132.7111998340735720.553319.20000000000005102.9325240622057230.000441.969230769230768.84254296795629140.667564.738461538461695.051426378851625Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345075.73846153846152141.2307692307692310201.96923076923076141.2307692307692320328.2141.23076923076923312454.4307692307691677.3254437869822540580.6615384615385141.230769230769235275.73846153846152130.5798816568047310201.96923076923076141.2307692307692329328.293.3017751479289930454.4307692307691613.4201183431952747580.6615384615385103.952662721893495All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Kevin 1-4 12th 101.19 0.513 21.84 5-9 11th
1 989 2025 Rob 3-2 5th 102.06 0.516 20.97
2 984 2025 Mike R. 2-3 9th 101.50 0.518 18.81
3 978 2019 Scott 2-3 9th 100.83 0.504 22.21 4-9 14th
4 972 2016 Ed 2-3 9th 101.22 0.503 18.51 6-7 9th
5 969 2014 Kevin 2-3 10th 99.85 0.520 15.72 4-9 14th
6 957 2010 Babel 2-3 9th 98.59 0.524 27.16 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 957 2011 Mike R. 2-3 8th 108.77 0.518 20.34 6-7 9th
8 956 2017 Schertz 2-3 7th 92.90 0.517 20.33 5-8 10th
9 952 2012 Derrek 3-2 6th 96.13 0.501 20.59 8-5 5th 5th place
10 947 2020 Matt 3-2 5th 106.15 0.500 18.35 8-5 2nd 2nd place