2009 Dave

5-8 (0.385), 1,247.70 points

11th place

5.88 expected wins (0.452)

60-83 all-play record (0.420)

+8.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 W 121.28 77.40 Rob 43.88 Team Blangums
9 L 111.26 121.30 Ed -10.04
10 L 110.58 128.82 Allen -18.24
11 L 78.92 135.06 Matt -56.14
12 L 102.11 105.95 Rabbit -3.84
13 L 103.46 104.67 Kevin -1.21

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923421.2%212.780219780219880.1449133069218450.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.1958099561722400.2%65.52747252747253140.6585536298745211.4%102.34065934065934137.295547979334225.3%139.15384615384613126.00147609063384312.9%175.96703296703296103.9768839905157940.0%212.780219780219819.059057383074446524.1%249.593406593406672.0619.1%286.406593406593486.30268600860839710.6%323.2197802197802110.7759280972376584.0%360.032967032967129.6276167516553591.0%396.8461538461538138.30154729809612100.2%433.6593406593406140.7729228949347110.0%470.4725274725274141.19194855130723120.0%507.2857142857143141.229479132827313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196211th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196311th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196611th305.4271.5804195804196710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.006993006993910th452.226923076923245.0069930069931010th501.16923076923075245.0069930069931110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931210th599.053846153846245.0069930069931312th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th60.68846153846153245.00699300699326th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867534th158.573076923076985.5664335664335746th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867553rd256.457692307692358.99300699300701565th305.4112.1398601398601674th354.342307692307785.5664335664335786th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867598th452.226923076923191.86013986013991010th501.16923076923075245.0069930069931110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.58041958041961312th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196211th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196311th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196610th305.4245.006993006993710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.006993006993910th452.226923076923245.0069930069931011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961210th599.053846153846245.00699300699313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.36857.069822485207105115.7322494920100820.43289.49585798816568111.35702852125430.370121.92189349112428115.6072431785599140.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.454186.7739644970414109.8114959185972760.000219.2141.2307692307692370.836251.6260355029585383.3328858877876580.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.07524.64378698224852136.0400933225065810.00057.06982248520710590.2337297532509420.00089.4958579881656881.4832878117387630.000121.9218934911242889.983717126350640.408154.34792899408282112.993474806419950.000186.773964497041478.3922226064253460.237219.2124.7895251119908870.000251.6260355029585325.43500254480606880.705284.052071005917192.3901615077684590.694316.478106508875793.1629278090968100.181348.9041420118343128.67608503925993110.546381.33017751479287103.44753814295206120.570413.75621301775146101.7429065959042213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231459.413017751479295116.055944055944052493.17041420118342116.0559440559440535126.92781065088758109.7622377622377640160.6852071005917141.2307692307692353194.44260355029584122.3496503496503560228.2141.23076923076923711261.957396449704172.080295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.41301775147929590.88111888111892093.1704142011834290.881118881118930126.9278106508875878.2937062937063144160.6852071005917116.0559440559440550194.44260355029584103.4685314685314763228.2122.3496503496503570261.95739644970412.769230769230773687295.714792899408397.1748251748251797329.4721893491123497.17482517482517101363.2295857988165134.93706293706293116396.9869822485207103.46853146853147125430.74437869822486109.7622377622377613All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 5-8 11th 95.98 0.452 13.72
1 984 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.454 18.15
2 979 2019 Pat 6-7 9th 97.81 0.446 14.73
3 976 2022 Mike R. 9-5 2nd 94.74 0.444 15.34 Blingabowl XV champion
4 975 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.452 24.14
5 973 2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.458 20.34
6 972 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01
7 971 2016 Babel 7-6 6th 96.71 0.462 17.09 6th place
8 970 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 6th place
9 969 2008 Allen 8-5 4th 90.27 0.449 12.36 5th place
10 967 2010 Rob 6-7 7th 92.49 0.455 20.45