2010 Dave (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,187.45 points (107.95 average)

6th place

7.20 expected wins (0.654)

80-41 all-play record (0.661)

+22.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.17 80.52 Pulley 34.65
2 W 137.10 95.82 Pat 41.28
3 L 128.55 143.94 Babel -15.39
4 L 63.68 94.19 Allen -30.51
5 W 138.35 106.65 Mike R. 31.70
6 W 113.91 102.53 Rabbit 11.38
7 L 99.27 120.79 Kevin -21.52
8 L 80.75 86.18 Ed -5.43
9 L 100.78 109.77 Derrek -8.99
10 W 122.15 116.09 Rob 6.06
11 L 87.74 98.01 Matt -10.27
12 Pulley
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692346.5%246.52564102564102127.2449393232664550.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307673310970700.0%74.73076923076923141.2305303504356610.0%117.67948717948717141.2198258706791620.1%160.62820512820514140.9995123337130331.1%203.57692307692307138.7597056216263540.0%246.52564102564102113.25910941576367519.7%289.47435897435998.58933246563987632.0%332.4230769230769671.99999999999999727.2%375.371794871794982.44027354809882811.3%418.3205128205129116.7006094946990292.0%461.26923076923083136.8501767138434100.1%504.21794871794873141.0031195891482411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st70.476923076923095.84615384615386821st129.20769230769235.84615384615386832nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804341st246.669230769230755.84615384615386851st305.45.84615384615386861st364.13076923076925.84615384615386872nd422.8615384615384332.4195804195804382nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804392nd540.323076923076932.41958041958043102nd599.05384615384632.41958041958043112nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st70.476923076923095.84615384615386823rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701536th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867544th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335753rd305.458.99300699300701565th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601675th422.86153846153843112.1398601398601686th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867596th540.3230769230769138.71328671328675106th599.053846153846138.71328671328675112nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st70.476923076923095.84615384615386821st129.20769230769235.84615384615386832nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804341st246.669230769230755.84615384615386851st305.45.84615384615386861st364.13076923076925.84615384615386872nd422.8615384615384332.4195804195804382nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804392nd540.323076923076932.41958041958043102nd599.05384615384632.4195804195804311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 DeSean Jackson WR
3.06 30 Hines Ward WR
4.07 43 Jermichael Finley TE
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin WR
6.07 67 Cadillac Williams RB
7.06 78 Matt Forte K RB
8.07 91 Philip Rivers K QB
9.06 102 New York DEF
10.07 115 Montario Hardesty RB
11.06 126 Kenny Britt WR
12.07 139 Mike Williams WR
13.06 150 Garrett Hartley K
14.07 163 Demaryius Thomas WR
15.06 174 Mewelde Moore RB
16.07 187 Jeremy Shockey TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.82427.5916083916083984.1782434012247610.97465.9132867132867173.7801332021132320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.980180.8783216783216473.3758719237076350.800219.1999999999999685.8637377014384560.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.902372.486713286713378.8126206476784100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083927.12571757168028310.00065.913286713286716.32949717345724120.945104.2349650349650375.7911339763835930.078142.55664335664335135.8135947420618740.000180.878321678321645.52097461664604350.000219.1999999999999630.49670617210769360.544257.5216783216783103.5724026673984870.230295.8433566433567125.3212808719070680.568334.165034965035101.8768895476948790.000372.486713286713316.394472064587575100.353410.8083916083916116.820322094675511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111028.72447552447552378.293706293706311068.6195804195804278.293706293706320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923410188.3048951048950878.2937062937063510228.278.293706293706360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692398387.780419580419690.88111888111888100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552315.356643356643361068.6195804195804215.35664335664336210108.514685314685378.293706293706332148.40979020979017128.6433566433566440188.3048951048950815.3566433566433650228.215.3566433566433665268.09510489510484109.7622377622377674307.9902097902098116.0559440559440589347.885314685314784.5874125874125990387.780419580419640.53146853146853102427.67552447552447128.6433566433566411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Dave 5-6 6th 107.95 0.654 22.81 5-8 8th
1 976 2023 Matt 6-5 6th 109.69 0.652 16.56 9-5 2nd 3rd place
2 970 2017 Pulley 9-2 1st 105.88 0.644 23.12 11-2 1st 3rd place
3 960 2023 Rabbit 7-4 5th 108.55 0.637 24.09 8-6 6th 4th place
4 955 2014 Rabbit 9-2 1st 112.43 0.667 21.57 10-3 1st 2nd place
5 955 2024 Mike R. 6-5 6th 112.02 0.642 20.46 9-5 2nd 3rd place
6 951 2022 Dave 6-5 2nd 108.36 0.633 20.89 8-6 3rd 3rd place
7 949 2015 Matt 7-4 4th 106.81 0.634 26.18 8-5 3rd 5th place
8 945 2022 Schertz 5-6 9th 111.92 0.638 26.60 6-8 9th
9 941 2021 Derrek 9-2 2nd 111.49 0.676 23.38 12-2 1st 3rd place
10 940 2021 Richie 7-4 5th 114.42 0.670 21.32 9-5 5th 6th place