2010 Dave (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,187.45 points

6th place

7.17 expected wins (0.652)

80-41 all-play record (0.661)

+22.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.17 80.52 Pulley 34.65
2 W 137.10 95.82 Pat 41.28
3 L 128.55 143.94 Babel -15.39
4 L 63.68 94.19 Allen -30.51
5 W 138.35 106.65 Mike R. 31.70
6 W 113.91 102.53 Rabbit 11.38
7 L 99.27 120.79 Kevin -21.52
8 L 80.75 86.18 Ed -5.43
9 L 100.78 109.77 Derrek -8.99
10 W 122.15 116.09 Rob 6.06
11 L 87.74 98.01 Matt -10.27
12 Pulley
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692346.9%246.52564102564102126.1651371867055550.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.230767740646800.0%74.73076923076923141.23053026645810.0%117.67948717948717141.218081097207120.1%160.62820512820514140.958492195684431.3%203.57692307692307138.4304899516403440.0%246.52564102564102111.09950514264187520.1%289.47435897435997.3171852370493631.7%332.4230769230769672.0726.6%375.371794871794983.16768241261772811.2%418.3205128205129116.8412049624894692.0%461.26923076923083136.7576461990178100.1%504.21794871794873140.9895765326831511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st70.476923076923095.84615384615386821st129.20769230769235.84615384615386832nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804341st246.669230769230755.84615384615386851st305.45.84615384615386861st364.13076923076925.84615384615386872nd422.8615384615384332.4195804195804382nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804392nd540.323076923076932.41958041958043102nd599.05384615384632.41958041958043112nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st70.476923076923095.84615384615386823rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701536th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867544th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335753rd305.458.99300699300701565th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601675th422.86153846153843112.1398601398601686th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867596th540.3230769230769138.71328671328675106th599.053846153846138.71328671328675112nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st70.476923076923095.84615384615386821st129.20769230769235.84615384615386832nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804341st246.669230769230755.84615384615386851st305.45.84615384615386861st364.13076923076925.84615384615386872nd422.8615384615384332.4195804195804382nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804392nd540.323076923076932.41958041958043102nd599.05384615384632.4195804195804311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 DeSean Jackson WR
3.06 30 Hines Ward WR
4.07 43 Jermichael Finley TE
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin WR
6.07 67 Cadillac Williams RB
7.06 78 Matt Forte K RB
8.07 91 Philip Rivers K QB
9.06 102 New York DEF
10.07 115 Montario Hardesty RB
11.06 126 Kenny Britt WR
12.07 139 Mike Williams WR
13.06 150 Garrett Hartley K
14.07 163 Demaryius Thomas WR
15.06 174 Mewelde Moore RB
16.07 187 Jeremy Shockey TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.80827.5916083916083985.2648744886105310.98165.9132867132867173.3210894489620720.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.987180.8783216783216472.9006136673569450.791219.1999999999999686.4581165715440260.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.886372.486713286713379.90096722056668100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083929.2989797464518510.00065.913286713286715.411409667154913420.933104.2349650349650376.6508030708621530.081142.55664335664335135.5969619677761740.000180.878321678321644.57045810394464550.000219.1999999999999631.6854639123188160.540257.5216783216783103.8453583514318870.245295.8433566433567124.2782084953785580.565334.165034965035102.1293625940704190.000372.486713286713318.571165210364157100.355410.8083916083916116.6528233749179211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111028.72447552447552378.293706293706311068.6195804195804278.293706293706320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923410188.3048951048950878.2937062937063510228.278.293706293706360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692398387.780419580419690.88111888111888100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552315.356643356643361068.6195804195804215.35664335664336210108.514685314685378.293706293706332148.40979020979017128.6433566433566440188.3048951048950815.3566433566433650228.215.3566433566433665268.09510489510484109.7622377622377674307.9902097902098116.0559440559440589347.885314685314784.5874125874125990387.780419580419640.53146853146853102427.67552447552447128.6433566433566411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Dave 5-6 6th 107.95 0.652 22.81 5-8 8th
1 975 2017 Pulley 9-2 1st 105.88 0.644 23.12 11-2 1st 3rd place
2 970 2023 Matt 6-5 6th 109.69 0.657 16.56 9-5 2nd 3rd place
3 962 2023 Rabbit 7-4 5th 108.55 0.636 24.09 8-6 6th 4th place
4 962 2022 Dave 6-5 2nd 108.36 0.636 20.89 8-6 3rd 3rd place
5 962 2015 Matt 7-4 4th 106.81 0.639 26.18 8-5 3rd 5th place
6 954 2024 Mike R. 6-5 6th 112.02 0.639 20.46 9-5 2nd
7 946 2013 Ed 6-5 5th 106.20 0.637 14.46 7-6 4th 6th place
8 945 2015 Richie 6-5 6th 106.16 0.631 20.04 7-6 6th 4th place
9 945 2022 Schertz 5-6 9th 111.92 0.636 26.60 6-8 9th
10 945 2008 Kevin 7-4 3rd 105.09 0.669 18.33 8-5 3rd 6th place