2021 Dave (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 469.33 points (93.87 average)

8th place

2.04 expected wins (0.408)

27-38 all-play record (0.415)

-14.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 127.82 109.60 Ed 18.22
2 W 103.20 70.04 Pat 33.16
3 L 52.91 145.54 Richie -92.63 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 64.75 103.15 Schertz -38.40
5 W 120.65 76.54 Scott 44.11
6 Rabbit
7 Mike R.
8 Pulley
9 Ed
10 Babel
11 Rob
12 Matt
13 Derrek
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.2307692307692310.0%309.02564102564105141.23076923076923231.7%426.97435897435995.5093375494495330.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692352.0%73.12820512820512138.30353383853958018.3%191.07692307692304114.78848110127083148.0%309.0256410256410572.020.0%426.97435897435949.78790586812982630.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.230769230769235Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th158.573076923076973.3017751479289929th305.4185.7278106508876312th452.226923076923253.18343195266272411th599.053846153846230.69822485207153rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728428th305.4163.2426035502958538th452.226923076923163.2426035502958548th599.053846153846163.2426035502958553rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728429th305.4185.7278106508876313th452.226923076923275.6686390532544411th599.053846153846230.6982248520715Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Alvin Kamara RB
2.13 27 Amari Cooper WR
3.02 30 Kyle Pitts TE
4.13 55 Jerry Jeudy WR
5.02 58 Damien Harris RB
6.13 83 CeeDee Lamb K WR
7.02 86 Jaylen Waddle WR
8.13 111 Justin Fields QB
9.02 114 Chase Claypool K WR
10.13 139 Kirk Cousins QB
11.02 142 Elijah Moore WR
12.13 167 New England DEF
13.02 170 Greg Zuerlein K
14.13 195 Tevin Coleman RB
15.02 198 Cole Kmet TE
16.13 223 Salvon Ahmed RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.82673.6615384615384780.6395597224715210.500196.43076923076924102.2280871463876520.000319.20000000000005135.38606665290630.000441.96923076923076135.38606665290640.767564.738461538461684.5057697534849450.00073.6615384615384725.8930527920370110.000196.4307692307692469.07010763986932-0.044319.20000000000005138.30841794183763-0.007441.96923076923076135.8810192750788440.000564.738461538461633.625472854063865Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123451175.7384615384615282.650887573964517201.96923076923076103.9526627218934920328.2141.2307692307692330454.43076923076916141.2307692307692348580.661538461538598.627218934911245075.7384615384615224.07100591715975210201.9692307692307666.6745562130177520328.2141.2307692307692331454.43076923076916135.9053254437869840580.661538461538556.023668639053245All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Dave 3-2 8th 93.87 0.408 29.94 10-4 4th Blingabowl XIV champion
1 983 2019 Mike R. 2-3 10th 94.40 0.409 23.38 8-5 4th 4th place
2 967 2016 Richie 4-1 3rd 96.40 0.407 19.34 5-8 12th
3 957 2014 Schertz 4-1 3rd 92.46 0.409 11.69 5-8 13th
4 956 2022 Kevin 3-2 8th 91.54 0.412 15.92 6-8 12th
5 952 2011 Pat 2-3 10th 93.98 0.391 23.66 5-8 11th
6 952 2012 Pat 2-3 9th 89.10 0.404 19.92 5-8 11th
7 950 2024 Derrek 2-3 11th 89.31 0.397 25.45 4-10 14th
8 943 2014 Mike R. 2-3 11th 94.84 0.434 29.03 6-7 7th
9 943 2012 Rob 2-3 8th 91.82 0.416 13.46 3-10 13th
10 942 2024 Dave 2-3 10th 92.31 0.390 22.14 9-5 3rd Blingabowl XVII champion