2024 Dave (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 461.53 points

10th place

1.95 expected wins (0.390)

24-41 all-play record (0.369)

+16.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.63 89.93 Schertz -2.30
2 W 131.40 107.38 Scott 24.02
3 W 73.72 60.07 Matt 13.65
4 L 69.73 136.88 Mike R. -67.15
5 L 99.05 135.05 Babel -36.00
6 Derrek
7 Ed
8 Rob
9 Schertz
10 Pat
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Richie
14 Kevin
16 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923144.3%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692352.3%53.25641025641026137.6188862138319028.8%139.1538461538461696.2393106224553210.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736221.0%310.94871794871796108.3775004234808533.4%396.84615384615387135.9916840357059340.2%482.7435897435898140.970651876537775Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th158.573076923076995.786982248520729th305.4185.7278106508876310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793412th599.053846153846253.18343195266272511th11.746153846153845230.69822485207117th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041527th305.4140.7573964497041539th452.226923076923185.7278106508876410th599.053846153846208.2130177514793511th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th158.573076923076995.786982248520729th305.4185.7278106508876310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793411th599.053846153846230.6982248520715Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Justin Jefferson K WR
2.11 25 Bijan Robinson K RB
3.04 32 Mark Andrews TE
4.11 53 George Pickens WR
5.04 60 Kyler Murray QB
6.11 81 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
7.04 88 Nick Chubb RB
8.11 109 Joshua Palmer WR
9.04 116 Ty Chandler RB
10.11 137 Khalil Herbert RB
11.04 144 Justin Tucker K
12.11 165 Kansas City DEF
13.04 172 Xavier Legette WR
14.11 193 Dameon Pierce RB
15.04 200 Troy Franklin WR
16.11 221 Will Levis QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.915134.892307692307777.8913689724589320.127219.2132.439578477989530.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.31650.58461538461538119.3707366172894710.000134.892307692307714.55196871414864320.000219.2123.6483877252097930.091303.50769230769225134.93970474699340.500387.8153846153846106.6428210659995Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.23076923076923112140.4307692307692277.3254437869822523228.20000000000002125.2544378698224830315.9692307692307141.2307692307692340403.7384615384615141.230769230769235352.661538461538456125.2544378698224810140.4307692307692213.4201183431952720228.20000000000002109.2781065088757432315.9692307692307130.5798816568047344403.7384615384615119.928994082840235All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Dave 2-3 10th 92.31 0.390 22.14 9-5 3rd
1 980 2011 Pat 2-3 10th 93.98 0.395 23.66 5-8 11th
2 971 2020 Derrek 2-3 11th 97.19 0.393 20.30 8-5 5th 5th place
3 971 2019 Ed 2-3 11th 94.32 0.381 24.14 5-8 11th
4 970 2024 Derrek 2-3 11th 89.31 0.395 25.45 4-10 14th
5 970 2012 Babel 1-4 12th 90.87 0.390 10.11 6-7 6th 2nd place
6 964 2015 Kevin 2-3 10th 89.09 0.392 12.78 3-10 14th
7 963 2013 Derrek 3-2 9th 92.44 0.372 21.78 7-6 7th
8 955 2012 Pat 2-3 9th 89.10 0.404 19.92 5-8 11th
9 954 2020 Pat 3-2 8th 97.14 0.379 19.55 5-8 12th
10 952 2019 Mike R. 2-3 10th 94.40 0.408 23.38 8-5 4th 4th place