2020 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 485.97 points

11th place

1.96 expected wins (0.393)

27-38 all-play record (0.415)

-1.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 L 72.78 94.18 Babel -21.40
6 Pat
7 Dave
8 Kevin
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923146.9%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692353.7%53.25641025641026135.8433277509867024.1%139.15384615384616105.6200531527432410.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736222.9%310.94871794871796107.4344823645513732.3%396.84615384615387137.769526872571640.1%482.7435897435898141.148770932366355Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557625th305.495.7869822485207310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793412th599.053846153846253.1834319526627252nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st158.57307692307695.84615384615381125th305.495.786982248520738th452.226923076923163.24260355029585411th599.053846153846230.69822485207152nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728425th305.495.7869822485207310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793412th599.053846153846253.183431952662725Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.74750.5846153846153889.4867597930631410.749134.892307692307789.3503892692993120.000219.2141.2307692307692330.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.00050.5846153846153837.7427503553570610.000134.892307692307737.470009307829420.348219.2117.1699761171199230.086303.50769230769225135.3072557777088340.033387.8153846153846138.921074657450225Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123451252.66153846153845677.3254437869822519140.4307692307692293.3017751479289920228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.9692307692307141.2307692307692340403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.66153846153845613.4201183431952710140.4307692307692245.37278106508874524228.20000000000002119.9289940828402331315.9692307692307135.9053254437869841403.7384615384615135.905325443786985All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 2-3 11th 97.19 0.393 20.30 8-5 5th 5th place
1 977 2011 Pat 2-3 10th 93.98 0.395 23.66 5-8 11th
2 971 2020 Pat 3-2 8th 97.14 0.379 19.55 5-8 12th
3 971 2024 Dave 2-3 10th 92.31 0.390 22.14 9-5 3rd
4 966 2016 Richie 4-1 3rd 96.40 0.407 19.34 5-8 12th
5 957 2019 Ed 2-3 11th 94.32 0.381 24.14 5-8 11th
6 953 2024 Derrek 2-3 11th 89.31 0.395 25.45 4-10 14th
7 952 2019 Mike R. 2-3 10th 94.40 0.408 23.38 8-5 4th 4th place
8 951 2015 Kevin 2-3 10th 89.09 0.392 12.78 3-10 14th
9 949 2012 Babel 1-4 12th 90.87 0.390 10.11 6-7 6th 2nd place
10 945 2012 Pat 2-3 9th 89.10 0.404 19.92 5-8 11th