2026 Dave

2-3 (0.400), 456.42 points (91.28 average)

10th place

1.78 expected wins (0.356)

25-40 all-play record (0.385)

+31.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 145.51 133.88 Pulley 11.63 Team Blangums
2 L 59.58 100.47 Pat -40.89 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 66.60 134.30 Mike R. -67.70 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 128.97 115.95 Ed 13.02
5 L 55.76 90.94 Schertz -35.18 Slapped Heartbeat
6 Babel
7 Scott
8 Derrek
9 Rabbit
10 Rob
11 Matt
12 Pulley
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%20.0%20.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%60.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.23076923076923177.8%309.0256410256410571.9999999999999920.0%426.974358974359141.2307692307692330.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692350.9%73.12820512820512140.40590537337096019.2%191.07692307692304124.1250735893812310.0%309.025641025641052.76923076923074522.1%426.974358974359139.353287212919630.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.230769230769235Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381119th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876210th305.4208.2130177514793310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793412th599.053846153846253.1834319526627251st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381117th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415210th305.4208.213017751479339th452.226923076923185.7278106508876410th599.053846153846208.213017751479351st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381118th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585210th305.4208.2130177514793310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793412th599.053846153846253.183431952662725Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Ashton Jeanty RB
2.07 21 Nico Collins WR
3.08 36 Tetairoa McMillan WR
4.07 49 D.J. Moore K WR
5.08 64 David Montgomery K RB
5.10 66 Caleb Williams QB
7.08 92 Kyle Monangai RB
9.08 120 Brandon Aubrey K
10.05 131 Houston DEF
10.07 133 T.J. Hockenson TE
11.08 148 Tank Bigsby RB
12.07 161 Malik Willis QB
13.08 176 Adonai Mitchell WR
14.07 189 Terrance Ferguson TE
15.08 204 Jalen Nailor WR
16.07 217 Jaydon Blue RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.93873.6615384615384774.8742117642820110.000196.43076923076924138.614486117342520.000319.20000000000005138.614486117342530.845441.9692307692307681.1899359605621840.000564.7384615384616138.614486117342550.00073.6615384615384711.1339374112215241-0.009196.43076923076924139.2361192844575720.027319.20000000000005136.8092735777581230.000441.9692307692307623.7653858037818684-0.019564.7384615384616139.922627674055865Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123451375.7384615384615272.010201.96923076923076141.2307692307692320328.2141.23076923076923312454.4307692307691677.3254437869822540580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.738461538461522.769230769230773610201.96923076923076141.2307692307692320328.2141.2307692307692330454.4307692307691613.4201183431952740580.6615384615385141.230769230769235All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Dave 2-3 10th 91.28 0.356 38.04
1 970 2025 Babel 2-3 12th 93.37 0.355 28.26 4-10 12th
2 948 2026 Kevin 2-3 9th 92.41 0.357 14.78
3 945 2025 Derrek 2-3 13th 91.16 0.364 18.37 3-11 14th
4 943 2013 Allen 2-3 11th 89.44 0.359 16.12 4-9 14th
5 940 2008 Mike R. 1-4 12th 84.36 0.359 24.37 5-8 8th
6 939 2016 Derrek 2-3 10th 90.78 0.344 20.96 3-10 14th
7 935 2012 Dave 2-3 10th 87.81 0.368 23.91 6-7 7th
8 932 2013 Derrek 3-2 9th 92.44 0.372 21.78 7-6 7th
9 929 2018 Dave 2-3 13th 95.86 0.347 21.75 4-9 13th
10 923 2010 Pulley 3-2 6th 84.68 0.361 17.68 8-5 4th 5th place