2009 Mike R. (through 3 weeks)

1-2 (0.333), 288.05 points

10th place

1.45 expected wins (0.483)

17-16 all-play record (0.515)

+18.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 82.27 101.19 Allen -18.92
2 W 108.95 87.78 Matt 21.17
3 L 96.83 121.92 Rabbit -25.09
4 Kevin
5 Dave
6 Pat
7 Pulley
8 Derrek
9 Babel
10 Rob
11 Ed
12 Allen
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01230.0%74.73076923076924141.23076923076923041.3%203.576923076923172.010.0%332.4230769230769141.2307692307692320.0%461.2692307692308141.23076923076923311.4%74.73076923076924122.2214913823184800.0%203.57692307692312.7692307692307736138.4%332.423076923076976.8771306243066928.9%461.2692307692308126.384474591907453Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664519th305.4218.4335664335664529th599.053846153846218.4335664335664539th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th305.4191.8601398601399210th599.053846153846245.00699300699339th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th305.4191.860139860139929th599.053846153846218.433566433566453Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Calvin Johnson WR
2.10 22 Joseph Addai RB
3.03 27 Braylon Edwards WR
4.10 46 Michael Turner K RB
5.03 51 Hines Ward WR
6.10 70 John Carlson TE
7.03 75 Matt Schaub QB
8.10 94 Darren Sproles RB
9.03 99 Baltimore DEF
10.10 118 Sammy Morris RB
11.03 123 Michael Jenkins WR
12.10 142 Chad Pennington QB
13.03 147 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.10 166 Greg Camarillo WR
15.03 171 Leon Washington RB
16.10 190 Donald Lee TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.00078.68717948717949141.2307692307692310.700219.2000000000000292.7545204303247620.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692330.25978.68717948717949123.3015177534218910.000219.2000000000000244.27827162988029420.489359.7128205128205107.380259103995143Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123081.9179487179487141.2307692307692319228.1999999999999684.5874125874125920374.48205128205126141.230769230769233381.9179487179487122.3496503496503510228.1999999999999627.94405594405594725374.48205128205126109.762237762237763All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Mike R. 1-2 10th 96.02 0.483 10.91 5-8 10th
1 981 2012 Kevin 2-1 6th 95.47 0.485 17.29 5-8 10th
2 976 2024 Richie 2-1 8th 95.58 0.475 7.85 8-6 5th
3 971 2008 Derrek 2-1 4th 90.99 0.487 11.67 6-7 7th
4 970 2021 Matt 2-1 7th 99.05 0.477 13.46 11-3 2nd 4th place
5 965 2012 Dave 2-1 5th 97.28 0.487 22.19 6-7 7th
6 964 2008 Babel 1-2 9th 91.50 0.488 7.13 11-2 1st 4th place
7 963 2019 Rob 2-1 6th 99.82 0.475 13.82 5-8 13th
8 960 2024 Dave 2-1 7th 97.58 0.480 24.58 9-5 3rd
9 960 2019 Derrek 1-2 9th 100.82 0.490 7.39 7-6 6th 3rd place
10 958 2009 Derrek 1-2 9th 96.93 0.499 13.96 7-6 5th 3rd place