2011 Mike R. (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,240.29 points (103.36 average)

8th place

6.25 expected wins (0.520)

73-59 all-play record (0.553)

+6.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 103.67 117.88 Babel -14.21
2 W 145.29 113.62 Dave 31.67 Team Blangums
3 L 108.58 123.82 Ed -15.24
4 L 82.65 112.60 Matt -29.95
5 W 103.64 83.53 Pulley 20.11
6 W 113.43 109.16 Allen 4.27
7 W 75.32 56.28 Kevin 19.04
8 W 113.31 97.69 Rabbit 15.62
9 L 94.19 105.35 Derrek -11.16
10 W 112.20 52.13 Pat 60.07
11 L 107.37 113.84 Rob -6.47
12 L 80.64 116.01 Pat -35.37
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923525.6%268.072.060.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.225979933823400.1%69.77514792899409141.0936418545563210.5%109.42011834319527139.8354397553079622.8%149.06508875739644133.7789824133810238.9%188.71005917159763117.1449995539891418.6%228.3550295857988391.02599648644750.0%268.02.7692307692307736623.4%307.6449704142011778.01013099001594713.9%347.28994082840245103.740327072602385.1%386.93491124260356127.3699779195643891.1%426.5798816568048138.23989219409853100.1%466.2248520710059140.8933566003313110.0%505.8698224852071141.2156429470391612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867513rd65.1377622377622358.99300699300701522nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804335th171.92097902097902112.1398601398601647th225.3125874125874165.286713286713354th278.704195804195885.5664335664335767th332.09580419580413165.286713286713374th385.487412587412585.5664335664335785th438.87902097902094112.1398601398601694th492.2706293706293685.56643356643357104th545.662237762237785.56643356643357116th599.053846153846138.71328671328675127th11.746153846153845165.286713286713313rd65.1377622377622358.99300699300701527th118.52937062937062165.2867132867133310th171.92097902097902245.00699300699348th225.3125874125874191.860139860139956th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867564th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335773rd385.487412587412558.99300699300701584th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335794th492.2706293706293685.56643356643357105th545.6622377622377112.13986013986016118th599.053846153846191.8601398601399126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867511st65.137762237762235.84615384615386821st118.529370629370625.84615384615386833rd171.9209790209790258.99300699300701545th225.3125874125874112.1398601398601653rd278.704195804195858.99300699300701566th332.09580419580413138.7132867132867575th385.4874125874125112.1398601398601685th438.87902097902094112.1398601398601694th492.2706293706293685.56643356643357103rd545.662237762237758.993006993007015115th599.053846153846112.1398601398601612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Adrian Peterson RB
2.12 24 Tony Romo QB
3.01 25 Ryan Grant RB
4.12 48 Hakeem Nicks K WR
5.01 49 Fred Jackson RB
6.12 72 Kellen Winslow II TE
7.01 73 Miles Austin K WR
8.12 96 Hines Ward WR
9.01 97 LaDainian Tomlinson RB
10.12 120 Dallas DEF
11.01 121 Jordy Nelson WR
12.12 144 Marion Barber III RB
13.01 145 Mark Sanchez QB
14.12 168 Aaron Hernandez TE
15.01 169 Eddie Royal WR
16.12 192 Billy Cundiff K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.93661.1230769230769276.4615267785131620.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.540166.5076923076923103.8155502590638550.716201.6358974358974591.6541991850388560.117236.76410256410256133.137534456390670.712271.8923076923076791.9642755324095380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.692342.1487179487179493.30284003782816100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.54325.994871794871795103.6468249128940610.00061.1230769230769211.69228432625709520.63596.2512820512820397.2516738982523630.204131.37948717948717127.0927554660826140.000166.507692307692366.4003312873584750.000201.6358974358974542.0776291393084760.000236.76410256410256125.0442996820119470.000271.8923076923076742.69778183404983580.367307.0205128205128115.8565397043966590.000342.1487179487179445.3749108448871100.615377.276923076923198.64067701457012110.169412.4051282051282129.5363209376080212Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311163.632692307692372.020100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692346173.3442307692307103.46853146853147510209.9147435897435878.293706293706365246.4852564102564109.76223776223776710283.055769230769278.293706293706380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692397356.1967948717948597.17482517482517100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312627.062179487179485103.468531468531471063.63269230769232.769230769230773626100.20320512820511103.4685314685314731136.77371794871794134.9370629370629340173.344230769230765.7062937062937250209.9147435897435815.3566433566433660246.485256410256478.2937062937063170283.055769230769215.3566433566433683319.62628205128203122.3496503496503590356.1967948717948553.11888111888112107392.767307692307797.17482517482517111429.3378205128205134.9370629370629312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Mike R. 6-6 8th 103.36 0.520 18.02 6-7 9th
1 989 2024 Kevin 4-8 11th 103.29 0.525 18.87 5-9 11th
2 987 2020 Babel 7-5 5th 101.67 0.522 16.08 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 981 2020 Pulley 7-5 4th 102.06 0.525 16.22 8-5 4th 4th place
4 981 2009 Allen 6-6 5th 99.99 0.521 16.04 6-7 7th
5 976 2014 Matt 6-6 6th 100.98 0.526 19.67 7-6 6th 4th place
6 976 2022 Matt 6-6 8th 100.68 0.517 21.63 6-8 11th
7 970 2016 Ed 6-6 8th 99.54 0.514 17.79 6-7 9th
8 966 2021 Matt 10-2 2nd 103.20 0.509 23.43 11-3 2nd 4th place
9 964 2009 Derrek 6-6 6th 99.39 0.512 16.40 7-6 5th 3rd place
10 963 2019 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 101.77 0.510 22.97 8-5 4th 4th place