2021 Matt (through 12 weeks)

10-2 (0.833), 1,238.43 points

2nd place

6.11 expected wins (0.509)

83-73 all-play record (0.532)

-33.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 W 89.05 52.19 Derrek 36.86
8 W 104.54 102.26 Kevin 2.28
9 W 101.27 91.70 Pat 9.57
10 W 100.77 98.77 Richie 2.00
11 W 92.08 72.46 Schertz 19.62
12 W 112.51 74.27 Dave 38.24
13 Rabbit
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692391.1%426.5798816568048138.26453871559727100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2294877937011700.1%69.77514792899409141.0809901755481210.7%109.42011834319527139.4417212058589823.5%149.06508875739644131.72175410819693310.6%188.71005917159763112.43403369994918420.1%228.3550295857988386.29662170435266525.4%268.072.0621.5%307.6449704142011782.46314345347324712.3%347.28994082840245107.6679345305629984.6%386.93491124260356128.6138727926530790.0%426.5798816568048135.2983082004253100.1%466.2248520710059140.83943949379864110.0%505.8698224852071141.208885865762912Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958527th118.52937062937062140.75739644970415311th171.92097902097902230.69822485207148th225.3125874125874163.24260355029585510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793710th385.4874125874125208.213017751479389th438.87902097902094185.727810650887699th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876118th599.053846153846163.242603550295851213th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th65.13776223776223140.7573964497041527th118.52937062937062140.7573964497041537th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041547th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041556th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124167th332.09580419580413140.7573964497041576th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124185th438.8790209790209495.786982248520794th492.2706293706293673.30177514792899104th545.662237762237773.30177514792899112nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455761213th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958528th118.52937062937062163.24260355029585311th171.92097902097902230.69822485207148th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958558th278.7041958041958163.2426035502958569th332.09580419580413185.727810650887679th385.4874125874125185.727810650887688th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415115th599.05384615384695.786982248520712Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.76161.1230769230769288.545613775587520.51796.25128205128203105.4555587223019930.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.990166.507692307692372.6584477571017450.355201.63589743589745116.649305881249460.333236.76410256410256118.1948384839061170.592271.89230769230767100.2507503986492780.534307.0205128205128104.2282240084275690.524342.14871794871794104.9555334685013100.380377.2769230769231114.93331012388794110.725412.405128205128291.05710425490466120.22325.994871794871795125.7974951837394410.00061.1230769230769235.8604583204057820.00096.2512820512820369.6803482138347530.171131.37948717948717129.3658572222262340.000166.50769230769234.08612628343425450.000201.6358974358974592.067842531729660.000236.7641025641025695.15890773704370.000271.8923076923076759.27073156652933580.000307.020512820512867.2256787860858890.000342.1487179487179468.68029770623336100.000377.276923076923188.63585101700663110.000412.405128205128240.88343927904007612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311063.632692307692387.9763313609467426100.20320512820511109.2781065088757430136.77371794871794141.23076923076923413173.344230769230772.052209.91474358974358130.5798816568047364246.4852564102564119.9289940828402379283.055769230769293.30177514792899810319.6262820512820387.9763313609467499356.1967948717948593.30177514792899105392.7673076923077114.603550295857991112429.337820512820577.3254437869822512127.062179487179485135.905325443786981063.632692307692334.7218934911242520100.2032051282051177.3254437869822532136.77371794871794130.5798816568047340173.34423076923072.769230769230773650209.91474358974358119.9289940828402360246.485256410256498.6272189349112470283.055769230769245.37278106508874580319.6262820512820334.7218934911242590356.1967948717948545.372781065088745100392.767307692307787.97633136094674110429.337820512820513.4201183431952712All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 10-2 2nd 103.20 0.509 23.43 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 988 2020 Richie 6-6 9th 103.13 0.510 27.99 7-6 7th
2 988 2019 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 101.77 0.512 22.97 8-5 4th 4th place
3 986 2009 Ed 7-5 3rd 102.94 0.512 26.13 7-6 4th 6th place
4 980 2024 Matt 7-5 6th 100.07 0.507 21.16 8-6 6th
5 975 2022 Matt 6-6 8th 100.68 0.514 21.63 6-8 11th
6 970 2009 Derrek 6-6 6th 99.39 0.509 16.40 7-6 5th 3rd place
7 968 2009 Mike R. 5-7 9th 100.04 0.502 19.93 5-8 10th
8 967 2011 Kevin 5-7 9th 103.00 0.495 25.73 6-7 8th
9 967 2018 Ed 5-7 9th 106.91 0.504 18.82 6-7 9th
10 964 2011 Ed 8-4 1st 101.41 0.499 18.33 9-4 1st 3rd place