2021 Matt (through 12 weeks)

10-2 (0.833), 1,238.43 points (103.20 average)

2nd place

6.11 expected wins (0.509)

83-73 all-play record (0.532)

-33.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 W 89.05 52.19 Derrek 36.86
8 W 104.54 102.26 Kevin 2.28
9 W 101.27 91.70 Pat 9.57
10 W 100.77 98.77 Richie 2.00
11 W 92.08 72.46 Schertz 19.62
12 W 112.51 74.27 Dave 38.24
13 Rabbit
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692391.1%426.5798816568048138.2475357614424100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.1%69.77514792899409141.0942696188250810.6%109.42011834319527139.4970807520017523.4%149.06508875739644131.8419815960504310.5%188.71005917159763112.58134589478222420.1%228.3550295857988386.39147014401883525.4%268.071.99999999999999621.6%307.6449704142011782.39154076784601712.3%347.28994082840245107.5844736631978384.6%386.93491124260356128.5633461805016490.0%426.5798816568048135.26430229211562100.1%466.2248520710059140.83650751078272110.0%505.8698224852071141.2086854388953712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958528th118.52937062937062163.24260355029585311th171.92097902097902230.69822485207148th225.3125874125874163.24260355029585510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793710th385.4874125874125208.213017751479389th438.87902097902094185.727810650887699th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876118th599.053846153846163.242603550295851213th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th65.13776223776223140.7573964497041527th118.52937062937062140.7573964497041537th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041547th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041556th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124167th332.09580419580413140.7573964497041576th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124185th438.8790209790209495.786982248520794th492.2706293706293673.30177514792899104th545.662237762237773.30177514792899112nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455761213th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958528th118.52937062937062163.24260355029585311th171.92097902097902230.69822485207148th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958558th278.7041958041958163.2426035502958569th332.09580419580413185.727810650887679th385.4874125874125185.727810650887688th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415115th599.05384615384695.786982248520712Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.75961.1230769230769288.8004777582591520.51296.25128205128203105.8535207847699730.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692341.002166.507692307692372.050.357201.63589743589745116.6073475579778760.337236.76410256410256117.9775283324756770.589271.89230769230767100.5313741180390480.528307.0205128205128104.77442152029590.523342.14871794871794105.09381476978706100.385377.2769230769231114.61989413746929110.727412.405128205128290.98793942388542120.22225.994871794871795125.9133626136121510.00061.1230769230769236.3701862857490720.00096.2512820512820370.4762723387707130.172131.37948717948717129.376156890235240.000166.50769230769232.769230769230773650.000201.6358974358974591.9839258851865260.000236.7641025641025694.7242874341821270.000271.8923076923076759.8319790053088580.000307.020512820512868.3180738098207790.000342.1487179487179468.9568603088049100.000377.276923076923188.00901904416936110.000412.405128205128240.7451096170016212Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311063.632692307692387.9763313609467426100.20320512820511109.2781065088757430136.77371794871794141.23076923076923413173.344230769230772.052209.91474358974358130.5798816568047364246.4852564102564119.9289940828402379283.055769230769293.30177514792899810319.6262820512820387.9763313609467499356.1967948717948593.30177514792899105392.7673076923077114.603550295857991112429.337820512820577.3254437869822512127.062179487179485135.905325443786981063.632692307692334.7218934911242520100.2032051282051177.3254437869822532136.77371794871794130.5798816568047340173.34423076923072.769230769230773650209.91474358974358119.9289940828402360246.485256410256498.6272189349112470283.055769230769245.37278106508874580319.6262820512820334.7218934911242590356.1967948717948545.372781065088745100392.767307692307787.97633136094674110429.337820512820513.4201183431952712All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 10-2 2nd 103.20 0.509 23.43 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 992 2019 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 101.77 0.510 22.97 8-5 4th 4th place
2 992 2009 Ed 7-5 3rd 102.94 0.510 26.13 7-6 4th 6th place
3 986 2020 Richie 6-6 9th 103.13 0.512 27.99 7-6 7th
4 978 2024 Matt 7-5 6th 100.07 0.507 21.16 8-6 6th 6th place
5 971 2022 Matt 6-6 8th 100.68 0.517 21.63 6-8 11th
6 970 2019 Rabbit 6-6 8th 102.03 0.504 31.18 6-7 7th
7 966 2011 Mike R. 6-6 8th 103.36 0.520 18.02 6-7 9th
8 966 2016 Ed 6-6 8th 99.54 0.514 17.79 6-7 9th
9 965 2009 Derrek 6-6 6th 99.39 0.512 16.40 7-6 5th 3rd place
10 962 2009 Mike R. 5-7 9th 100.04 0.500 19.93 5-8 10th