2021 Mike R. (through 13 weeks)

4-9 (0.308), 1,235.42 points (95.03 average)

10th place

5.79 expected wins (0.446)

73-96 all-play record (0.432)

+26.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 108.98 111.39 Pat -2.41
2 L 93.79 120.93 Derrek -27.14
3 L 108.74 139.14 Kevin -30.40
4 W 133.41 122.50 Pat 10.91
5 L 121.31 135.53 Richie -14.22
6 L 90.81 137.45 Schertz -46.64
7 L 85.78 153.82 Dave -68.04
8 L 75.39 75.70 Rabbit -0.31
9 L 57.39 88.40 Scott -31.01 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 102.45 64.27 Pulley 38.18
11 L 68.21 117.58 Ed -49.37
12 W 83.56 82.04 Babel 1.52
13 W 105.60 97.33 Rob 8.27
14 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923313.2%175.96703296703296106.2475710443767140.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2205548246628800.1%65.52747252747253140.964414266084811.0%102.34065934065934138.676116028639324.7%139.15384615384613128.8292426442803830.0%175.9670329670329671.2643728579842423.2%212.780219780219879.84133393611707526.2%249.593406593406672.0619.2%286.406593406593490.5257861667966579.1%323.2197802197802117.2669590037773782.7%360.032967032967134.0986756424776490.5%396.8461538461538139.95772578021513100.0%433.6593406593406141.10588808470624110.0%470.4725274725274141.22500792746482120.0%507.2857142857143141.2306826804418213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124125th109.630769230769295.786982248520734th158.573076923076973.3017751479289944th207.515384615384673.3017751479289957th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041568th305.4163.2426035502958579th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711211th599.053846153846230.698224852071139th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876111th60.68846153846153230.698224852071211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207139th158.5730769230769185.727810650887649th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071611th305.4230.698224852071712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793137th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124127th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041535th158.573076923076995.786982248520746th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124157th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041568th305.4163.24260355029585710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711211th599.053846153846230.69822485207113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Kelce TE
2.10 24 David Montgomery RB
3.05 33 Chris Godwin WR
4.10 52 Robbie Chosen WR
5.05 61 Javonte Williams RB
6.10 80 Laviska Shenault, Jr. WR
7.05 89 Joe Burrow QB
8.10 108 James Robinson K RB
9.05 117 Brandon Aiyuk K WR
10.10 136 Terrace Marshall, Jr. WR
11.05 145 Jakobi Meyers WR
12.10 164 Carlos Hyde RB
13.05 173 Tyler Bass K
14.10 192 Damien Williams RB
15.05 201 Buffalo DEF
16.10 220 Kenneth Gainwell RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.922121.9218934911242877.411230330709440.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.549316.4781065088757103.23535878984768100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.249381.33017751479287123.96328119142345120.604413.7562130177514699.38866317555815130.66924.6437869822485294.9278485982832510.41657.069822485207105112.4454666587888720.66689.4958579881656895.144695994470430.000121.9218934911242813.59169143064957640.840154.3479289940828283.0539078233504150.360186.7739644970414116.3258476041643560.284219.2121.5773753390355470.131251.62603550295853132.1478014709498280.027284.0520710059171139.3881019242781590.000316.478106508875765.23994834892612100.077348.9041420118343135.8670927028718110.000381.33017751479287106.69579315207767120.000413.7562130177514657.54655712034707413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.23076923076923312126.9278106508875877.3254437869822540160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923910329.4721893491123487.97633136094674100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923114396.9869822485207119.92899408284023128430.7443786982248698.6272189349112413725.655621301775145103.952662721893491659.413017751479295109.278106508875742993.1704142011834293.3017751479289930126.9278106508875813.4201183431952749160.685207100591793.3017751479289953194.44260355029584125.2544378698224863228.2125.2544378698224871261.9573964497041135.9053254437869880295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.4721893491123434.72189349112425101363.2295857988165135.90532544378698110396.986982248520798.62721893491124120430.7443786982248656.0236686390532413All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Mike R. 4-9 10th 95.03 0.446 20.52 4-10 11th
1 993 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.444 21.78 6-7 8th
2 989 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.446 22.01 3-10 12th
3 987 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.445 21.11 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 980 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.453 18.15 7-6 8th
5 976 2024 Pat 6-7 8th 98.56 0.450 20.81 6-8 10th
6 975 2009 Dave 5-8 11th 95.98 0.450 13.72 5-8 11th
7 974 2012 Schertz 5-8 9th 91.61 0.444 25.21 5-8 9th
8 973 2019 Pat 6-7 9th 97.81 0.444 14.73 6-7 9th
9 973 2019 Scott 4-9 14th 94.50 0.434 20.89 4-9 14th
10 972 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.453 24.14 6-7 10th