2021 Mike R. (through 13 weeks)

4-9 (0.308), 1,235.42 points

10th place

5.81 expected wins (0.447)

73-96 all-play record (0.432)

+26.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 108.98 111.39 Pat -2.41
2 L 93.79 120.93 Derrek -27.14
3 L 108.74 139.14 Kevin -30.40
4 W 133.41 122.50 Pat 10.91
5 L 121.31 135.53 Richie -14.22
6 L 90.81 137.45 Schertz -46.64
7 L 85.78 153.82 Dave -68.04
8 L 75.39 75.70 Rabbit -0.31
9 L 57.39 88.40 Scott -31.01 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 102.45 64.27 Pulley 38.18
11 L 68.21 117.58 Ed -49.37
12 W 83.56 82.04 Babel 1.52
13 W 105.60 97.33 Rob 8.27
14 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923313.1%175.96703296703296106.8175282380010540.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2211414079225700.1%65.52747252747253140.976879917925110.9%102.34065934065934138.7704168352311224.6%139.15384615384613129.1578513677503430.0%175.9670329670329672.40428724523285423.2%212.780219780219880.28247988981695526.3%249.593406593406672.0619.4%286.406593406593490.2906383642293879.2%323.2197802197802117.1168126038485782.7%360.032967032967134.0707213759082290.5%396.8461538461538139.96480908404365100.0%433.6593406593406141.1099462684532110.0%470.4725274725274141.2256447147148120.0%507.2857142857143141.230712241333113Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124125th109.630769230769295.786982248520734th158.573076923076973.3017751479289944th207.515384615384673.3017751479289957th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041568th305.4163.2426035502958579th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711211th599.053846153846230.698224852071139th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876111th60.68846153846153230.698224852071211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207139th158.5730769230769185.727810650887649th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071611th305.4230.698224852071712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793137th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124127th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041535th158.573076923076995.786982248520746th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124157th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041568th305.4163.24260355029585710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711211th599.053846153846230.69822485207113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Kelce TE
2.10 24 David Montgomery RB
3.05 33 Chris Godwin WR
4.10 52 Robbie Chosen WR
5.05 61 Javonte Williams RB
6.10 80 Laviska Shenault, Jr. WR
7.05 89 Joe Burrow QB
8.10 108 James Robinson K RB
9.05 117 Brandon Aiyuk K WR
10.10 136 Terrace Marshall, Jr. WR
11.05 145 Jakobi Meyers WR
12.10 164 Carlos Hyde RB
13.05 173 Tyler Bass K
14.10 192 Damien Williams RB
15.05 201 Buffalo DEF
16.10 220 Kenneth Gainwell RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.923121.9218934911242877.3377446080360340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.555316.4781065088757102.80493992093062100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.247381.33017751479287124.14692688996946120.614413.7562130177514698.69109578738852130.67324.6437869822485294.6681653363556610.41157.069822485207105112.7486239453763120.66889.4958579881656894.9863632251379230.000121.9218934911242813.4447199853028440.840154.3479289940828283.076670816430450.357186.7739644970414116.5215417695088460.284219.2121.5558869384567570.141251.62603550295853131.4427499113341880.016284.0520710059171140.1022781703371790.000316.478106508875764.37911061109203100.077348.9041420118343135.9088845645995110.000381.33017751479287107.0630845491697120.000413.7562130177514656.1514223440078313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.23076923076923312126.9278106508875877.3254437869822540160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923910329.4721893491123487.97633136094674100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923114396.9869822485207119.92899408284023128430.7443786982248698.6272189349112413725.655621301775145103.952662721893491659.413017751479295109.278106508875742993.1704142011834293.3017751479289930126.9278106508875813.4201183431952749160.685207100591793.3017751479289953194.44260355029584125.2544378698224863228.2125.2544378698224871261.9573964497041135.9053254437869880295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.4721893491123434.72189349112425101363.2295857988165135.90532544378698110396.986982248520798.62721893491124120430.7443786982248656.0236686390532413All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Mike R. 4-9 10th 95.03 0.447 20.52 4-10 11th
1 988 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78 6-7 8th
2 987 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01 3-10 12th
3 985 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 981 2010 Matt 5-8 9th 95.98 0.440 21.33 5-8 9th
5 981 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.454 18.15 7-6 8th
6 976 2019 Pat 6-7 9th 97.81 0.446 14.73 6-7 9th
7 975 2012 Schertz 5-8 9th 91.61 0.446 25.21 5-8 9th
8 975 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.452 24.14 6-7 10th
9 974 2019 Ed 5-8 11th 97.34 0.450 26.02 5-8 11th
10 973 2014 Kevin 4-9 14th 92.81 0.440 23.07 4-9 14th