2009 Pulley

4-9 (0.308), 1,146.59 points (88.20 average)

12th place

4.51 expected wins (0.347)

45-98 all-play record (0.315)

+0.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.73 115.11 Kevin -16.38
2 L 86.69 115.60 Rob -28.91
3 L 42.13 95.08 Dave -52.95 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 68.02 73.75 Ed -5.73 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 93.89 113.92 Pat -20.03
6 W 85.04 82.35 Allen 2.69
7 L 83.43 105.17 Mike R. -21.74
8 L 95.55 112.98 Matt -17.43
9 L 82.90 115.93 Derrek -33.03 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 91.15 72.05 Rabbit 19.10
11 W 113.72 86.50 Babel 27.22
12 W 123.89 91.55 Kevin 32.34
13 L 81.45 102.43 Rob -20.98

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923325.7%175.9670329670329672.040.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572141.025637923360201.2%65.52747252747253138.029715723432516.4%102.34065934065934123.98035027810404216.8%139.1538461538461395.8346260261851330.0%175.967032967032962.7692307692307736424.8%212.780219780219874.43623731920837515.8%249.593406593406698.585212790563166.8%286.4065934065934122.8783586686773572.0%323.2197802197802135.9228592792693580.4%360.032967032967140.2258684628540790.0%396.8461538461538141.11366245299777100.0%433.6593406593406141.22341523560135110.0%470.4725274725274141.23059367633186120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.2867132867133110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993212th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613312th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613412th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613512th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131212th599.053846153846298.15384615384613137th11.746153846153845165.2867132867133111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196212th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613312th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613412th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613512th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131212th599.053846153846298.15384615384613137th11.746153846153845165.2867132867133110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993212th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613312th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613412th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613512th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131212th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Clinton Portis RB
2.01 13 Drew Brees K QB
3.12 36 Tony Gonzalez TE
4.01 37 Steve Smith, Sr. K WR
5.12 60 Lance Moore WR
6.01 61 Pittsburgh DEF
7.12 84 Jamal Lewis RB
8.01 85 Domenik Hixon WR
9.12 108 Donald Brown RB
10.01 109 Jake Delhomme QB
11.12 132 Jeremy Shockey TE
12.01 133 Rob Bironas K
13.12 156 Jamaal Charles RB
14.01 157 Deion Branch WR
15.12 180 Maurice Morris RB
16.01 181 T.J. Duckett RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852137.9556745938874710.00057.069822485207105137.9556745938874720.00089.49585798816568137.9556745938874730.000121.92189349112428137.9556745938874740.000154.34792899408282137.9556745938874750.254186.7739644970414120.7554794663292360.000219.2137.9556745938874770.000251.62603550295853137.9556745938874780.000284.0520710059171137.9556745938874790.347316.4781065088757114.48605250224954100.762348.904142011834386.44895420145289110.888381.3301775147928777.96069714158591120.000413.75621301775146137.95567459388747130.49024.64378698224852104.851312838327810.28357.069822485207105118.814585808485872-0.02489.49585798816568139.5932219123283530.051121.92189349112428134.5383257817191540.399154.34792899408282110.9568257684470950.000186.7739644970414103.55528433877160.222219.2122.9801571316779670.436251.62603550295853108.5061842807403180.212284.0520710059171123.5947085992768690.000316.478106508875791.0164304106116100.000348.904142011834334.94223380901833110.000381.3301775147928717.965719689284356120.190413.75621301775146125.1287903804081613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692351194.44260355029584134.9370629370629360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692394329.47218934911234116.05594405594405106363.2295857988165103.468531468531471110396.986982248520778.2937062937063120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313525.655621301775145109.762237762237761259.413017751479295128.643356643356642093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692345160.6852071005917109.7622377622377650194.44260355029584128.6433566433566464228.2116.0559440559440576261.9573964497041103.4685314685314780295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.4721893491123490.8811188811189100363.229585798816565.70629370629372110396.986982248520715.35664335664336122430.74437869822486128.6433566433566413All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.347 19.15
1 989 2016 Richie 5-8 12th 88.10 0.343 17.42
2 986 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.350 16.95
3 984 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.352 18.70
4 981 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.351 14.97
5 977 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
6 976 2020 Pat 5-8 12th 89.15 0.340 16.59
7 969 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.352 20.89
8 967 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
9 958 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
10 958 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.359 16.28