2009 Babel

5-8 (0.385), 1,326.73 points (102.06 average)

9th place

6.95 expected wins (0.535)

76-67 all-play record (0.531)

+9.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.24 74.36 Rob 28.88
2 W 101.26 100.92 Ed 0.34
3 L 98.81 107.45 Allen -8.64
4 L 105.50 109.17 Matt -3.67
5 L 93.00 95.32 Rabbit -2.32
6 L 106.98 122.41 Kevin -15.43
7 W 100.36 83.04 Dave 17.32
8 L 62.71 89.08 Pat -26.37 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 83.64 145.25 Mike R. -61.61
10 L 116.97 121.13 Derrek -4.16
11 L 86.50 113.72 Pulley -27.22
12 W 132.65 95.83 Rob 36.82 Team Blangums
13 W 135.11 87.65 Ed 47.46 Team Blangums

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923411.7%212.7802197802198109.5384483387269450.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2302221802632400.0%65.52747252747253141.2087595137779210.1%102.34065934065934140.892571861294321.0%139.15384615384613138.6295700816308534.2%175.96703296703296129.7404463912696740.0%212.780219780219877.84612744668466521.1%249.593406593406683.98752760670078625.6%286.406593406593472.0720.7%323.219780219780285.08059338948757811.1%360.032967032967111.2823262951142793.7%396.8461538461538131.2188979123653100.7%433.6593406593406139.33243749249277110.1%470.4725274725274141.07039799131695120.0%507.2857142857143141.2291177120902113Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek5th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601615th60.68846153846153112.1398601398601623rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701534th158.573076923076985.5664335664335745th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601655th256.4576923076923112.1398601398601666th305.4138.7132867132867577th354.3423076923077165.286713286713388th403.28461538461534191.860139860139998th452.226923076923191.8601398601399109th501.16923076923075218.43356643356645118th550.1115384615384191.8601398601399125th599.053846153846112.13986013986016135th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601612nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804323rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701536th158.5730769230769138.7132867132867548th207.5153846153846191.860139860139959th256.4576923076923218.4335664335664568th305.4191.8601398601399711th354.3423076923077271.5804195804196811th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196911th452.226923076923271.58041958041961011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961111th550.1115384615384271.5804195804196129th599.053846153846218.43356643356645135th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601614th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335723rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701534th158.573076923076985.5664335664335744th207.515384615384685.5664335664335755th256.4576923076923112.1398601398601666th305.4138.7132867132867579th354.3423076923077218.4335664335664589th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664599th452.226923076923218.433566433566451010th501.16923076923075245.006993006993118th550.1115384615384191.8601398601399124th599.05384615384685.5664335664335713Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.04 16 Anquan Boldin WR
3.09 33 Thomas Jones RB
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Kevin Walter WR
6.04 64 Ryan Grant RB
7.09 81 Torry Holt WR
8.04 88 Josh Morgan WR
9.09 105 Eli Manning QB
10.04 112 Kevin Curtis WR
11.09 129 Ryan Longwell K
12.04 136 Percy Harvin WR
13.09 153 Kurt Warner K QB
14.04 160 Darrius Heyward-Bey WR
15.09 177 Willis McGahee RB
16.04 184 Washington DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.57224.64378698224852101.6637402657727210.53457.069822485207105104.2936062089630720.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.513219.2105.6910004059407370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.924381.3301775147928777.27224211494037120.934413.7562130177514676.55002234646021130.00024.6437869822485262.0967113007762110.00057.06982248520710567.3564431871569320.49289.49585798816568107.1408057439388430.621121.9218934911242898.2071892816636240.377154.34792899408282115.1055088025342350.648186.773964497041496.345410848098660.000219.270.1512315811122370.012251.62603550295853140.419082828623380.225284.0520710059171125.6428923259312790.822316.478106508875784.35106048065106100.278348.9041420118343121.98546749125394110.000381.3301775147928713.313714999111511120.000413.7562130177514611.86927546215119413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213725.65562130177514597.174825174825171759.41301775147929597.174825174825172093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692366228.2103.4685314685314770261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231111396.986982248520772.01211430.7443786982248672.013025.65562130177514553.118881118881121059.41301775147929553.118881118881122693.17041420118342103.4685314685314737126.9278106508875897.1748251748251743160.6852071005917122.3496503496503557194.4426035502958497.1748251748251760228.265.7062937062937270261.9573964497041141.2307692307692381295.7147928994083134.9370629370629398329.4721893491123490.88111888111888102363.2295857988165128.64335664335664110396.98698224852072.7692307692307736120430.744378698224862.769230769230773613All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Babel 5-8 9th 102.06 0.535 18.63
1 991 2014 Matt 7-6 6th 101.65 0.538 19.04 4th place
2 990 2023 Ed 11-3 1st 102.55 0.531 18.47 2nd place
3 987 2024 Rabbit 6-8 8th 103.28 0.531 18.31
4 986 2009 Derrek 7-6 5th 101.26 0.539 17.03 3rd place
5 983 2013 Mike R. 7-6 6th 98.75 0.536 19.77 5th place
6 982 2024 Matt 8-6 6th 101.70 0.528 20.21 6th place
7 977 2011 Babel 7-6 7th 102.34 0.525 17.34
8 976 2020 Derrek 8-5 5th 101.08 0.541 22.60 5th place
9 976 2017 Rob 8-5 4th 99.11 0.540 19.53 5th place
10 972 2023 Mike R. 7-7 8th 103.81 0.543 16.55