2009 Derrek

7-6 (0.538), 1,316.34 points (101.26 average)

5th place (regular season)

3rd place (playoffs)

7.00 expected wins (0.539)

75-68 all-play record (0.524)

-15.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 W 115.93 82.90 Pulley 33.03
10 W 121.13 116.97 Babel 4.16
11 L 76.86 114.41 Rob -37.55 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 105.29 96.63 Ed 8.66
13 W 123.66 72.70 Allen 50.96
14 W 129.47 95.21 Ed 34.26 Quarterfinals
15 L 89.44 134.40 Rabbit -44.96 Semifinals
16 W 131.77 111.94 Rob 19.83 Third-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923626.9%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2302057448889600.0%65.52747252747253141.2124553466441310.1%102.34065934065934140.978168614111320.8%139.15384615384613139.2917333705211733.5%175.96703296703296132.08895461880576410.7%212.7802197802198113.61544086592973521.0%249.593406593406686.9667739135603960.0%286.40659340659342.7692307692307736721.9%323.219780219780284.76056917363883811.1%360.032967032967112.6016166719759693.4%396.8461538461538132.57760406834828100.6%433.6593406593406139.7542623032865110.1%470.4725274725274141.10128029749416120.0%507.2857142857143141.2262662047986613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804328th109.6307692307692191.860139860139933rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701542nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804353rd256.457692307692358.99300699300701567th305.4165.286713286713378th354.3423076923077191.860139860139985th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601693rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015108th501.16923076923075191.8601398601399115th550.1115384615384112.13986013986016124th599.05384615384685.56643356643357138th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd60.6884615384615358.99300699300701529th109.6307692307692218.4335664335664535th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601643rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701556th256.4576923076923138.7132867132867569th305.4218.43356643356645710th354.3423076923077245.00699300699389th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664597th452.226923076923165.2867132867133108th501.16923076923075191.8601398601399116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675125th599.053846153846112.13986013986016138th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804328th109.6307692307692191.860139860139933rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701542nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804354th256.457692307692385.5664335664335768th305.4191.860139860139978th354.3423076923077191.860139860139985th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601696th452.226923076923138.71328671328675108th501.16923076923075191.8601398601399117th550.1115384615384165.2867132867133126th599.053846153846138.7132867132867513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.75557.06982248520710588.9416711162690620.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.840121.9218934911242883.08930861854740.670154.3479289940828294.853494362531950.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.807284.052071005917185.3590264720229290.861316.478106508875781.62542005101278100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.613381.3301775147928798.76662865699272120.884413.7562130177514680.00148461161095130.48224.64378698224852107.8546011515046510.00057.06982248520710536.652573001768920.15589.49585798816568130.4874220448196530.000121.9218934911242824.94784800632474740.000154.3479289940828248.476219494294650.446186.7739644970414110.3309689512041760.100219.2134.2803879728415470.262251.62603550295853123.1088008691888180.000284.052071005917129.4872837132766190.000316.478106508875722.02007087125635100.124348.9041420118343132.62755606965828110.000381.3301775147928756.30248808321622120.000413.7562130177514618.77219999245265613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311059.41301775147929578.29370629370632093.17041420118342141.23076923076923311126.9278106508875872.049160.685207100591784.5874125874125950194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692389295.714792899408384.5874125874125999329.4721893491123484.58741258741259100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923117396.986982248520797.17482517482517129430.7443786982248684.5874125874125913425.655621301775145116.055944055944051059.41301775147929515.356643356643362193.17041420118342134.9370629370629330126.927810650887582.769230769230773640160.685207100591727.94405594405594752194.44260355029584128.6433566433566461228.2134.9370629370629373261.9573964497041122.3496503496503580295.714792899408327.94405594405594790329.4721893491123427.944055944055947100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.986982248520753.11888111888112120430.7443786982248627.94405594405594713All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 7-6 5th 101.26 0.539 17.03 3rd place
1 993 2014 Matt 7-6 6th 101.65 0.538 19.04 4th place
2 986 2009 Babel 5-8 9th 102.06 0.535 18.63
3 984 2020 Derrek 8-5 5th 101.08 0.541 22.60 5th place
4 983 2017 Rob 8-5 4th 99.11 0.540 19.53 5th place
5 979 2023 Mike R. 7-7 8th 103.81 0.543 16.55
6 978 2013 Mike R. 7-6 6th 98.75 0.536 19.77 5th place
7 977 2023 Ed 11-3 1st 102.55 0.531 18.47 2nd place
8 977 2017 Derrek 8-5 5th 98.51 0.541 20.67 Blingabowl X champion
9 974 2024 Rabbit 6-8 8th 103.28 0.531 18.31
10 971 2024 Matt 8-6 6th 101.70 0.528 20.21 6th place