2009 Derrek

7-6 (0.538), 1,316.34 points

5th place (regular season)

3rd place (playoffs)

6.94 expected wins (0.534)

75-68 all-play record (0.524)

-14.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 W 115.93 82.90 Pulley 33.03
10 W 121.13 116.97 Babel 4.16
11 L 76.86 114.41 Rob -37.55 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 105.29 96.63 Ed 8.66
13 W 123.66 72.70 Allen 50.96
14 W 129.47 95.21 Ed 34.26 Quarterfinals
15 L 89.44 134.40 Rabbit -44.96 Semifinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923625.9%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.229574081099200.0%65.52747252747253141.1976172526329410.1%102.34065934065934140.8353141541857721.0%139.15384615384613138.5652667196568234.2%175.96703296703296130.00134009766194411.6%212.7802197802198110.30472341257999521.2%249.593406593406684.5474475142638560.0%286.40659340659342.7692307692307736720.9%323.219780219780285.52443925289882810.8%360.032967032967112.3723080609311293.5%396.8461538461538131.94501758292748100.7%433.6593406593406139.4723610152684110.1%470.4725274725274141.0536034135796120.0%507.2857142857143141.2235079151401513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804328th109.6307692307692191.860139860139933rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701542nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804353rd256.457692307692358.99300699300701567th305.4165.286713286713378th354.3423076923077191.860139860139985th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601694th452.22692307692385.56643356643357108th501.16923076923075191.8601398601399116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675125th599.053846153846112.13986013986016138th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd60.6884615384615358.99300699300701529th109.6307692307692218.4335664335664535th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601643rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701556th256.4576923076923138.7132867132867569th305.4218.43356643356645710th354.3423076923077245.00699300699389th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664597th452.226923076923165.2867132867133108th501.16923076923075191.8601398601399116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675125th599.053846153846112.13986013986016138th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804328th109.6307692307692191.860139860139933rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701542nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804354th256.457692307692385.5664335664335768th305.4191.860139860139978th354.3423076923077191.860139860139985th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601696th452.226923076923138.71328671328675108th501.16923076923075191.8601398601399117th550.1115384615384165.2867132867133126th599.053846153846138.7132867132867513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.73957.06982248520710590.094591024410720.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.812121.9218934911242885.0261532245218340.657154.3479289940828295.7198751296685550.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.776284.052071005917187.50355107289890.835316.478106508875783.3897069393559100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.604381.3301775147928799.42460769191918120.856413.7562130177514681.94645222952208130.47824.64378698224852108.1523212128040710.00057.06982248520710538.95841281805219620.18589.49585798816568128.426072412359630.000121.9218934911242828.8215372182744340.000154.3479289940828250.2089810285678850.448186.7739644970414110.2433359105160760.122219.2132.7672007521747470.272251.62603550295853122.3916767358102880.000284.052071005917133.776332915026890.000316.478106508875725.54864464794258100.156348.9041420118343130.40344500693507110.000381.3301775147928757.61844615306913120.000413.7562130177514622.66213522827493413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311059.41301775147929578.29370629370632093.17041420118342141.23076923076923311126.9278106508875872.049160.685207100591784.5874125874125950194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692389295.714792899408384.5874125874125999329.4721893491123484.58741258741259100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923117396.986982248520797.17482517482517129430.7443786982248684.5874125874125913425.655621301775145116.055944055944051059.41301775147929515.356643356643362193.17041420118342134.9370629370629330126.927810650887582.769230769230773640160.685207100591727.94405594405594752194.44260355029584128.6433566433566461228.2134.9370629370629373261.9573964497041122.3496503496503580295.714792899408327.94405594405594790329.4721893491123427.944055944055947100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.986982248520753.11888111888112120430.7443786982248627.94405594405594713All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 8-7 5th 102.35 0.545 17.68 3rd place
1 993 2014 Matt 7-6 6th 101.65 0.533 19.04 4th place
2 993 2009 Babel 5-8 9th 102.06 0.534 18.63
3 986 2024 Rabbit 6-8 8th 103.28 0.532 18.31
4 984 2023 Ed 11-3 1st 102.55 0.530 18.47 2nd place
5 982 2024 Matt 8-6 6th 101.70 0.529 20.21
6 980 2017 Rob 8-5 4th 99.11 0.537 19.53 5th place
7 974 2011 Babel 7-6 7th 102.34 0.523 17.34
8 973 2020 Derrek 8-5 5th 101.08 0.541 22.60 5th place
9 972 2013 Mike R. 7-6 6th 98.75 0.540 19.77 5th place
10 969 2023 Mike R. 7-7 8th 103.81 0.544 16.55