2009 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 773.47 points (96.68 average)

10th place

3.94 expected wins (0.492)

41-47 all-play record (0.466)

-15.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 Pulley
10 Babel
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923224.5%210.7350427350427389.0638483156785730.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944140.9930629663970801.7%96.20512820512818137.6028483204197519.4%153.47008547008548121.1657230310908320.0%210.7350427350427336.89692740058793332.5%268.072.0422.5%325.264957264957393.1743377608628857.9%382.52991452991455124.2761019186829461.3%439.79487179487177138.4324438512357570.1%497.05982905982904141.06192954314878Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd95.6472527472527232.4195804195804328th179.54835164835166191.860139860139933rd263.4494505494505558.99300699300701542nd347.350549450549432.4195804195804353rd431.251648351648358.99300699300701567th515.1527472527472165.286713286713378th599.053846153846191.860139860139988th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd95.6472527472527258.99300699300701529th179.54835164835166218.4335664335664535th263.44945054945055112.1398601398601643rd347.350549450549458.99300699300701556th431.2516483516483138.7132867132867569th515.1527472527472218.43356643356645710th599.053846153846245.00699300699388th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd95.6472527472527232.4195804195804328th179.54835164835166191.860139860139933rd263.4494505494505558.99300699300701542nd347.350549450549432.4195804195804354th431.251648351648385.5664335664335768th515.1527472527472191.860139860139978th599.053846153846191.86013986013998Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.78487.4692307692307686.9700080573603620.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.868192.8538461538461881.117645559638340.698245.5461538461538692.8818313036232250.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.51134.776923076923076105.8829380925959810.00087.4692307692307632.7092468839515120.184140.16153846153844128.5157589859109630.000192.8538461538461821.00452188850738440.000245.5461538461538644.5328933764772250.475298.2384615384615108.3593058922954760.129350.93076923076916132.3087249139328570.290403.6230769230769121.137137810280128Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311091.0605769230769278.293706293706320145.91634615384615141.23076923076923311200.7721153846153872.049255.627884615384684.5874125874125950310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238436.20480769230769116.055944055944051091.0605769230769215.3566433566433621145.91634615384615134.9370629370629330200.772115384615382.769230769230773640255.627884615384627.94405594405594752310.48365384615386128.6433566433566461365.3394230769231134.9370629370629373420.1951923076923122.349650349650358All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 3-5 10th 96.68 0.492 15.33 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 981 2009 Babel 3-5 11th 96.48 0.500 13.38 5-8 9th
2 975 2011 Matt 4-4 7th 99.50 0.498 16.72 7-6 6th 2nd place
3 969 2017 Schertz 3-5 9th 93.67 0.501 16.54 5-8 10th
4 969 2023 Rob 4-4 8th 100.76 0.491 21.93 8-6 5th Blingabowl XVI champion
5 967 2010 Matt 3-5 8th 98.54 0.490 26.46 5-8 9th
6 966 2020 Richie 4-4 8th 99.78 0.500 18.97 7-6 7th
7 965 2017 Ed 3-5 8th 95.19 0.502 20.17 4-9 13th
8 965 2021 Mike R. 1-7 12th 102.28 0.489 18.09 4-10 11th
9 964 2010 Pulley 6-2 3rd 93.73 0.499 20.94 8-5 4th 5th place
10 963 2022 Kevin 4-4 8th 99.30 0.501 20.03 6-8 12th