2009 Derrek (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 889.40 points

9th place

4.69 expected wins (0.521)

50-49 all-play record (0.505)

-19.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 W 115.93 82.90 Pulley 33.03
10 Babel
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923326.3%242.2307692307692579.6748770992092840.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.1539906543716300.6%87.61538461538464139.9261135636980413.8%139.15384615384616132.34982605309608213.3%190.6923076923077109.9735073271102730.0%242.2307692307692518.11898496764934429.6%293.769230769230871.99999999999999518.8%345.307692307692397.1852306102643766.5%396.8461538461538126.0537814498100371.1%448.3846153846154138.6543481732190380.1%499.9230769230769141.06496281401119Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd85.1596153846153632.4195804195804328th158.5730769230769191.860139860139933rd231.9865384615384658.99300699300701542nd305.432.4195804195804353rd378.813461538461558.99300699300701567th452.226923076923165.286713286713378th525.6403846153845191.860139860139985th599.053846153846112.1398601398601698th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd85.1596153846153658.99300699300701529th158.5730769230769218.4335664335664535th231.98653846153846112.1398601398601643rd305.458.99300699300701556th378.8134615384615138.7132867132867569th452.226923076923218.43356643356645710th525.6403846153845245.00699300699389th599.053846153846218.4335664335664598th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd85.1596153846153632.4195804195804328th158.5730769230769191.860139860139933rd231.9865384615384658.99300699300701542nd305.432.4195804195804354th378.813461538461585.5664335664335768th452.226923076923191.860139860139978th525.6403846153845191.860139860139985th599.053846153846112.139860139860169Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.76178.6871794871794888.575226863309620.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.834172.3623931623931883.5067890634207140.679219.294.2005109685674450.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.798406.550427350427385.9841869117968890.50031.84957264957265106.6329570517029510.00078.6871794871794835.91968449584996420.207125.5247863247863126.9067082512584830.000172.3623931623931825.78280889607219740.000219.247.17025270636564550.470266.03760683760686108.7239717494149460.144312.8752136752136131.2478365910736270.294359.7128205128205120.8723125747091680.000406.550427350427330.7376045928245539Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789033.15726495726496141.2307692307692311081.917948717948778.293706293706320130.67863247863247141.23076923076923311179.439316239316272.049228.284.5874125874125950276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692389423.24273504273584.587412587412599433.15726495726496116.055944055944051081.917948717948715.3566433566433621130.67863247863247134.9370629370629330179.43931623931622.769230769230773640228.227.94405594405594752276.96068376068376128.6433566433566461325.7213675213675134.9370629370629373374.4820512820512122.3496503496503580423.24273504273527.9440559440559479All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 4-5 9th 98.82 0.521 15.66 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 985 2011 Babel 5-4 5th 101.47 0.520 16.90 7-6 7th
2 981 2017 Ed 3-6 9th 96.21 0.520 19.24 4-9 13th
3 976 2012 Derrek 6-3 5th 97.89 0.529 17.43 8-5 5th 5th place
4 973 2010 Babel 5-4 5th 97.33 0.526 20.95 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 967 2008 Rob 5-4 6th 93.81 0.525 13.59 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 965 2024 Scott 4-5 10th 99.49 0.514 25.16 5-9 12th
7 965 2011 Dave 3-6 11th 100.69 0.516 24.53 3-10 12th
8 955 2024 Dave 5-4 5th 102.25 0.511 22.11 9-5 3rd
9 953 2011 Mike R. 5-4 4th 104.45 0.530 19.07 6-7 9th
10 953 2022 Matt 4-5 9th 100.73 0.510 24.65 6-8 11th