2010 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

7-5 (0.583), 1,152.13 points

5th place

5.86 expected wins (0.488)

67-65 all-play record (0.508)

-1.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 W 109.77 100.78 Dave 8.99
10 L 73.18 106.97 Allen -33.79 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 122.53 119.70 Pat 2.83
12 L 86.08 118.23 Rob -32.15
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.23076923076923619.9%307.6449704142011789.5852266987229570.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2245280703315300.1%69.77514792899409141.0454286671063610.8%109.42011834319527139.2115107266006624.2%149.06508875739644130.46841580589734312.5%188.71005917159763108.80036206808299423.0%228.3550295857988381.66416296936198526.7%268.072.060.0%307.6449704142011737.93968416667665679.5%347.28994082840245116.5897063707883382.8%386.93491124260356133.8999690186877890.5%426.5798816568048139.95012051733022100.0%466.2248520710059141.1151514645834110.0%505.8698224852071141.2268276977305812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th65.13776223776223191.860139860139927th118.52937062937062165.286713286713334th171.9209790209790285.5664335664335745th225.3125874125874112.1398601398601654th278.704195804195885.5664335664335764th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335775th385.4874125874125112.1398601398601684th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335796th492.27062937062936138.71328671328675106th545.6622377622377138.71328671328675116th599.053846153846138.71328671328675126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335722nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804331st171.920979020979025.84615384615386843rd225.312587412587458.99300699300701552nd278.704195804195832.4195804195804363rd332.0958041958041358.99300699300701574th385.487412587412585.5664335664335784th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335795th492.27062937062936112.13986013986016104th545.662237762237785.56643356643357115th599.053846153846112.13986013986016127th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th65.13776223776223191.860139860139927th118.52937062937062165.286713286713336th171.92097902097902138.7132867132867547th225.3125874125874165.286713286713355th278.7041958041958112.1398601398601665th332.09580419580413112.1398601398601676th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867586th438.87902097902094138.7132867132867597th492.27062937062936165.2867132867133107th545.6622377622377165.2867132867133117th599.053846153846165.286713286713312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.36325.994871794871795116.1018170109601510.57361.12307692307692101.5897204404262820.31696.25128205128203119.3747095812919830.927131.3794871794871777.0316619526238640.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.622201.6358974358974598.1577289257033160.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.721307.020512820512891.2937458962573890.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.883377.276923076923180.0886345269963110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179590.9728647911510710.00061.1230769230769261.9486716500833420.00096.2512820512820397.5186499318147430.000131.3794871794871712.83255467447850240.283166.5076923076923121.6248232233951150.000201.6358974358974555.08468862063739460.622236.7641025641025698.1577289257033170.073271.89230769230767136.1482840042426480.000307.020512820512841.3567225617455490.152342.14871794871794130.71619147431687100.000377.276923076923118.946499823223377110.321412.4051282051282119.0110548512551112Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112527.062179487179485109.762237762237761763.632692307692397.1748251748251725100.20320512820511109.76223776223776310136.7737179487179478.293706293706340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692358209.9147435897435890.8811188811188860246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.23076923076923810319.6262820512820378.293706293706390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923109392.767307692307784.58741258741259110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948578.293706293706311063.632692307692353.1188811188811220100.2032051282051178.2937062937063130136.7737179487179415.3566433566433643173.3442307692307122.3496503496503550209.9147435897435840.5314685314685366246.4852564102564103.4685314685314772283.0557692307692128.6433566433566480319.6262820512820315.3566433566433690356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.767307692307727.944055944055947112429.3378205128205128.6433566433566412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 7-5 5th 96.01 0.488 18.54 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 985 2014 Mike R. 6-6 7th 97.62 0.490 21.23 6-7 7th
2 984 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.488 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
3 983 2017 Ed 4-8 11th 94.99 0.494 19.33 4-9 13th
4 977 2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.488 19.50 6-8 10th
5 976 2024 Ed 6-6 8th 100.05 0.487 15.64 6-8 9th
6 975 2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th
7 974 2019 Babel 7-5 5th 100.25 0.485 17.32 8-5 5th 5th place
8 974 2015 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 95.00 0.497 15.89 8-5 4th 6th place
9 973 2020 Scott 7-5 7th 98.63 0.492 13.90 7-6 8th
10 972 2020 Rabbit 6-6 10th 100.95 0.488 22.33 6-7 10th