2023 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,180.76 points (98.40 average)

10th place

5.76 expected wins (0.480)

71-85 all-play record (0.455)

+18.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 W 91.18 79.26 Kevin 11.92
10 L 117.18 122.53 Rob -5.35
11 W 90.06 86.87 Mike R. 3.19
12 L 83.25 93.06 Richie -9.81 Slapped Heartbeat
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923423.0%228.3550295857988379.0144881407078750.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.214702600208100.1%69.77514792899409140.8603014994001211.2%109.42011834319527138.0913974185646725.1%149.06508875739644127.33911392388644313.6%188.71005917159763104.4414382267691640.0%228.3550295857988316.798207050646496525.6%268.072.0618.9%307.6449704142011790.1915497465876479.1%347.28994082840245116.6670311892124882.7%386.93491124260356133.8485022389614690.5%426.5798816568048139.97869655490433100.0%466.2248520710059141.13901413260922110.0%505.8698224852071141.2305155495078312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th65.13776223776223208.213017751479328th118.52937062937062163.2426035502958538th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958548th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958557th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041566th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124176th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124188th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415118th599.053846153846163.242603550295851214th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th65.13776223776223208.213017751479327th118.52937062937062140.7573964497041538th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.727810650887658th278.7041958041958163.2426035502958569th332.09580419580413185.7278106508876710th385.4874125874125208.213017751479389th438.87902097902094185.7278106508876910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.21301775147931214th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th65.13776223776223253.1834319526627229th118.52937062937062185.727810650887639th171.92097902097902185.727810650887649th225.3125874125874185.727810650887658th278.7041958041958163.2426035502958567th332.09580419580413140.7573964497041578th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958588th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415118th599.053846153846163.2426035502958512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.49761.12307692307692106.829831439125720.91696.2512820512820377.8357634836022230.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.348201.63589743589745117.1249392154737460.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.355307.0205128205128116.6380152207466290.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.334377.2769230769231118.1120461436975110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00325.994871794871795141.0322520097488710.00061.1230769230769272.4288936474821720.00096.2512820512820314.44075773643521630.416131.37948717948717112.4348578011406140.617166.507692307692398.5113087542622550.000201.6358974358974593.0191092001782560.677236.7641025641025694.3634019796041870.623271.8923076923076798.1198595416869680.000307.020512820512892.0452612107240290.766342.1487179487179488.16784254909048100.000377.276923076923194.99332305662577110.210412.4051282051282126.6755313052382512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231563.6326923076923114.60355029585799212100.2032051282051177.3254437869822530136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692357209.91474358974358103.9526627218934960246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692387319.62628205128203103.9526627218934990356.19679487179485141.23076923076923106392.7673076923077109.27810650887574110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.632692307692387.9763313609467420100.2032051282051113.4201183431952735136.77371794871794114.6035502958579947173.3442307692307103.9526627218934950209.9147435897435866.67455621301775610246.485256410256487.9763313609467474283.0557692307692119.9289940828402380319.6262820512820366.6745562130177598356.1967948717948598.62721893491124100392.767307692307777.32544378698225110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th
1 991 2016 Allen 4-8 12th 98.00 0.478 20.44 4-9 13th
2 990 2019 Babel 7-5 5th 100.25 0.480 17.32 8-5 5th 5th place
3 989 2024 Schertz 5-7 9th 98.37 0.482 21.46 7-7 7th
4 982 2015 Schertz 8-4 2nd 97.00 0.479 23.75 9-4 2nd 2nd place
5 981 2021 Kevin 5-7 9th 98.61 0.477 24.33 5-9 9th
6 981 2024 Ed 6-6 8th 100.05 0.484 15.64 6-8 9th
7 980 2019 Ed 5-7 9th 98.70 0.479 26.64 5-8 11th
8 978 2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.485 19.50 6-8 10th
9 975 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.490 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 972 2016 Matt 5-7 10th 98.23 0.483 29.27 5-8 10th