2010 Derrek

7-6 (0.538), 1,264.98 points

5th place (regular season)

3rd place (playoffs)

6.65 expected wins (0.512)

76-67 all-play record (0.531)

+4.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 W 109.77 100.78 Dave 8.99
10 L 73.18 106.97 Allen -33.79 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 122.53 119.70 Pat 2.83
12 L 86.08 118.23 Rob -32.15
13 L 112.85 117.81 Allen -4.96
14 W 116.45 113.28 Pulley 3.17 Quarterfinals
15 L 98.71 109.47 Rabbit -10.76 Semifinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923625.2%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.229361408495800.0%65.52747252747253141.1833783225702610.2%102.34065934065934140.6156836653091221.5%139.15384615384613137.1042877593791635.9%175.96703296703296124.95879864637514414.7%212.7802197802198100.91074463757381523.7%249.593406593406676.2238253181354460.0%286.40659340659342.7692307692307736717.8%323.219780219780292.4908751982447188.2%360.032967032967118.8277068599910392.4%396.8461538461538134.71390410762234100.4%433.6593406593406140.10473313290618110.0%470.4725274725274141.12918307955294120.0%507.2857142857143141.2272711794987613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th60.68846153846153191.860139860139927th109.6307692307692165.286713286713334th158.573076923076985.5664335664335745th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601654th256.457692307692385.5664335664335764th305.485.5664335664335775th354.3423076923077112.1398601398601684th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335796th452.226923076923138.71328671328675106th501.16923076923075138.71328671328675116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675125th599.053846153846112.13986013986016136th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335722nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804331st158.57307692307695.84615384615386843rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701552nd256.457692307692332.4195804195804363rd305.458.99300699300701574th354.342307692307785.5664335664335784th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335795th452.226923076923112.13986013986016104th501.1692307692307585.56643356643357115th550.1115384615384112.13986013986016125th599.053846153846112.13986013986016137th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th60.68846153846153191.860139860139927th109.6307692307692165.286713286713336th158.5730769230769138.7132867132867547th207.5153846153846165.286713286713355th256.4576923076923112.1398601398601665th305.4112.1398601398601676th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867586th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867597th452.226923076923165.2867132867133107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133117th550.1115384615384165.2867132867133125th599.053846153846112.1398601398601613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.36524.64378698224852115.9515933205639710.57557.069822485207105101.4394967500301220.31889.49585798816568119.224485890895830.929121.9218934911242876.881438262227740.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.624186.773964497041498.0075052353071460.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.723284.052071005917191.1435222058612290.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.885348.904142011834379.93841083660013110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485290.6724174103587210.00057.06982248520710561.6482242692909920.00089.4958579881656897.2182025510223930.000121.9218934911242812.53210729368618140.285154.34792899408282121.4745995329989550.000186.773964497041454.78424123984504560.624219.298.0075052353071470.076251.62603550295853135.9980603138464580.000284.052071005917141.0562751809531990.154316.4781065088757130.5659677839207100.000348.904142011834318.646052442431042110.323381.33017751479287118.86083116085894120.767413.7562130177514688.1547348933706913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213525.655621301775145109.762237762237761759.41301775147929597.174825174825172593.17041420118342109.76223776223776310126.9278106508875878.293706293706340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692358194.4426035502958490.8811188811188860228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.23076923076923810295.714792899408378.293706293706390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923109363.229585798816584.58741258741259110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514578.293706293706311059.41301775147929553.118881118881122093.1704142011834278.2937062937063130126.9278106508875815.3566433566433643160.6852071005917122.3496503496503550194.4426035502958440.5314685314685366228.2103.4685314685314772261.9573964497041128.6433566433566480295.714792899408315.3566433566433690329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.229585798816527.944055944055947112396.9869822485207128.64335664335664129430.7443786982248684.5874125874125913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 8-7 5th 98.68 0.533 17.75 3rd place
1 985 2010 Pulley 8-5 4th 96.94 0.508 21.32 5th place
2 978 2009 Mike R. 5-8 10th 100.81 0.515 19.33
3 977 2017 Ed 4-9 13th 95.86 0.503 18.82
4 977 2020 Mike R. 6-7 11th 99.43 0.509 13.61
5 972 2011 Ed 9-4 1st 102.13 0.508 17.79 3rd place
6 971 2016 Ed 6-7 9th 98.03 0.499 17.88
7 971 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.509 17.48
8 970 2008 Ed 6-7 6th 93.93 0.515 13.67 3rd place
9 969 2009 Rob 8-5 3rd 99.30 0.504 14.74 4th place
10 966 2015 Babel 5-8 10th 98.55 0.505 26.13