2010 Derrek (through 9 weeks)

6-3 (0.667), 870.34 points

4th place

4.88 expected wins (0.542)

56-43 all-play record (0.566)

-12.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 W 109.77 100.78 Dave 8.99
10 Allen
11 Pat
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.23076923076923521.5%345.307692307692391.7382979951143860.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.2143037951230400.3%87.61538461538464140.5328241285177512.7%139.15384615384616134.92019664692072211.1%190.6923076923077115.69596256314335324.1%242.2307692307692585.62888765677212430.0%293.769230769230871.9999999999999950.0%345.307692307692342.2458267594595568.5%396.8461538461538121.7089122408192371.6%448.3846153846154137.4555035910299280.1%499.9230769230769140.978551510662219Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th85.15961538461536191.860139860139927th158.5730769230769165.286713286713334th231.9865384615384685.5664335664335745th305.4112.1398601398601654th378.813461538461585.5664335664335764th452.22692307692385.5664335664335775th525.6403846153845112.1398601398601684th599.05384615384685.5664335664335796th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335722nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804331st231.986538461538465.84615384615386843rd305.458.99300699300701552nd378.813461538461532.4195804195804363rd452.22692307692358.99300699300701574th525.640384615384585.5664335664335784th599.05384615384685.5664335664335797th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th85.15961538461536191.860139860139927th158.5730769230769165.286713286713336th231.98653846153846138.7132867132867547th305.4165.286713286713355th378.8134615384615112.1398601398601665th452.226923076923112.1398601398601676th525.6403846153845138.7132867132867586th599.053846153846138.713286713286759Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.40531.84957264957265113.1836877283364510.61578.6871794871794898.6715911578025820.358125.5247863247863116.4565802986682930.969172.3623931623931874.1135326700001740.000219.2141.2307692307692350.664266.0376068376068695.2395996430796160.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.763406.550427350427388.3756166136336890.00031.8495726495726585.1366062259036610.00078.6871794871794856.11241308483593620.000125.524786324786391.6823913665673430.000172.362393162393186.996296109231110440.325219.2118.7066939407714250.000266.0376068376068649.2484300553960.664312.875213675213695.2395996430796170.116359.7128205128205133.2301547216189380.000406.550427350427335.520463996498149Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789533.15726495726496109.762237762237761781.917948717948797.1748251748251725130.67863247863247109.76223776223776310179.439316239316278.293706293706340228.2141.2307692307692358276.9606837606837690.8811188811188860325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.23076923076923810423.24273504273578.29370629370639033.1572649572649678.293706293706311081.917948717948753.1188811188811220130.6786324786324778.2937062937063130179.439316239316215.3566433566433643228.2122.3496503496503550276.9606837606837640.5314685314685366325.7213675213675103.4685314685314772374.4820512820512128.6433566433566480423.24273504273515.356643356643369All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 6-3 4th 96.70 0.542 17.63 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 973 2015 Mike R. 7-2 2nd 100.28 0.541 12.71 8-5 4th 6th place
2 970 2013 Mike R. 5-4 4th 99.89 0.545 23.33 7-6 6th 5th place
3 968 2012 Derrek 6-3 5th 97.89 0.529 17.43 8-5 5th 5th place
4 966 2014 Rob 6-3 4th 101.41 0.546 14.29 8-5 3rd 5th place
5 966 2024 Babel 7-2 2nd 103.81 0.541 19.04 9-5 4th
6 961 2011 Ed 6-3 2nd 104.74 0.544 19.01 9-4 1st 3rd place
7 960 2022 Kevin 5-4 5th 102.53 0.547 20.98 6-8 12th
8 958 2010 Babel 5-4 5th 97.33 0.526 20.95 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 957 2017 Kevin 6-3 4th 95.91 0.560 19.18 10-3 2nd 4th place
10 955 2021 Ed 3-6 9th 103.10 0.536 13.80 6-8 8th