2012 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

7-5 (0.583), 1,156.13 points

5th place

6.30 expected wins (0.525)

90-66 all-play record (0.577)

+8.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 118.79 109.62 Pulley 9.17
2 L 59.84 89.85 Rob -30.01 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 91.61 125.00 Ed -33.39
4 W 98.01 92.45 Dave 5.56
5 W 112.42 94.96 Babel 17.46
6 W 111.83 104.58 Matt 7.25
7 W 97.03 41.41 Pat 55.62
8 W 109.75 75.73 Kevin 34.02
9 L 81.69 109.17 Mike R. -27.48
10 W 108.23 105.32 Richie 2.91
11 L 59.05 100.04 Schertz -40.99
12 L 107.88 118.55 Rabbit -10.67
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.23076923076923624.5%307.6449704142011775.7277053578811670.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2253446199048600.0%69.77514792899409141.1089142798155610.4%109.42011834319527140.0583407902660722.4%149.06508875739644134.86479677054138.1%188.71005917159763119.65133544220487417.8%228.3550295857988393.5988079177104525.9%268.072.060.0%307.6449704142011710.2246414849931714.6%347.28994082840245102.2541939243138285.1%386.93491124260356127.5860230505898390.9%426.5798816568048138.74176129659176100.1%466.2248520710059141.0397418781031110.0%505.8698224852071141.2257439826613612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557619th65.13776223776223185.7278106508876210th118.52937062937062208.213017751479338th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958546th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124155th278.704195804195895.786982248520765th332.0958041958041395.786982248520775th385.487412587412595.786982248520785th438.8790209790209495.786982248520795th492.2706293706293695.7869822485207106th545.6622377622377118.27218934911241115th599.05384615384695.7869822485207122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557619th65.13776223776223185.7278106508876211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958546th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124155th278.704195804195895.786982248520765th332.0958041958041395.786982248520775th385.487412587412595.786982248520785th438.8790209790209495.786982248520795th492.2706293706293695.7869822485207105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207115th599.05384615384695.7869822485207122nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207139th171.92097902097902185.727810650887647th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041556th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124166th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124176th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124186th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124195th492.2706293706293695.7869822485207107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415117th599.053846153846140.7573964497041512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Adrian Peterson RB
2.06 20 Larry Fitzgerald K WR
3.09 37 Dez Bryant WR
4.06 48 Percy Harvin WR
5.09 65 Jermichael Finley TE
6.06 76 Kevin Smith RB
7.09 93 Darren McFadden K RB
8.06 104 Alex Smith QB
9.09 121 Houston DEF
10.06 132 Owen Daniels TE
11.09 149 Rueben Randle WR
12.06 160 Ronnie Brown RB
13.09 177 Leonard Hankerson WR
14.06 188 Dan Bailey K
15.09 205 John Skelton QB
16.06 216 Brandon Jacobs RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.85025.99487179487179582.3703830640797210.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.519131.37948717948717105.3260878976571740.763166.507692307692388.4275071612563350.755201.6358974358974588.9957176769389560.502236.76410256410256106.4625089290223970.727271.8923076923076790.9276334302598280.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.699342.1487179487179492.8368207629534100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179523.5099968973902110.06461.12307692307692136.770857835532820.40996.25128205128203112.8832877562358930.000131.3794871794871769.4214065645451140.000166.507692307692335.6242450917434550.000201.6358974358974536.7606661231086860.000236.7641025641025671.6942486272755470.000271.8923076923076740.6244976297504280.257307.0205128205128123.4065465066778190.000342.1487179487179444.44287229513756100.062377.2769230769231136.95268520055126110.693412.405128205128293.2459323342448712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121227.06217948717948577.325443786982251063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692336136.77371794871794109.27810650887574411173.344230769230782.6508875739645510209.9147435897435887.9763313609467468246.485256410256498.62721893491124710283.055769230769287.9763313609467480319.62628205128203141.23076923076923911356.1967948717948582.6508875739645100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948513.420118343195271063.6326923076923141.2307692307692328100.2032051282051198.6272189349112430136.7737179487179477.3254437869822540173.344230769230724.07100591715975250209.9147435897435834.7218934911242560246.485256410256456.0236686390532470283.055769230769234.7218934911242583319.62628205128203125.2544378698224890356.1967948717948524.071005917159752103392.7673076923077125.25443786982248118429.337820512820598.6272189349112412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Derrek 7-5 5th 96.34 0.525 19.19 8-5 5th 5th place
1 985 2008 Derrek 6-6 6th 94.45 0.528 18.08 6-7 7th
2 976 2010 Babel 7-5 4th 99.78 0.530 19.17 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 974 2014 Matt 6-6 6th 100.98 0.522 19.67 7-6 6th 4th place
4 973 2013 Kevin 6-6 7th 96.03 0.525 31.79 6-7 8th
5 971 2020 Babel 7-5 5th 101.67 0.524 16.08 8-5 3rd 3rd place
6 971 2020 Derrek 7-5 6th 100.21 0.528 23.31 8-5 5th 5th place
7 970 2020 Pulley 7-5 4th 102.06 0.526 16.22 8-5 4th 4th place
8 969 2016 Ed 6-6 8th 99.54 0.517 17.79 6-7 9th
9 967 2011 Mike R. 6-6 8th 103.36 0.523 18.02 6-7 9th
10 964 2009 Allen 6-6 5th 99.99 0.517 16.04 6-7 7th