2020 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

7-5 (0.583), 1,202.51 points

6th place

6.33 expected wins (0.528)

86-70 all-play record (0.551)

-6.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 L 72.78 94.18 Babel -21.40
6 W 117.52 105.43 Pat 12.09
7 W 79.49 65.33 Dave 14.16
8 L 53.06 87.50 Kevin -34.44 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 102.33 115.69 Matt -13.36
10 W 121.37 73.31 Richie 48.06 Team Blangums
11 W 128.93 107.06 Schertz 21.87
12 W 113.84 85.57 Scott 28.27
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.23076923076923627.2%307.6449704142011775.2338230451235470.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2296041259376700.0%69.77514792899409141.1938777345897610.2%109.42011834319527140.7397032503347721.5%149.06508875739644137.6437059019666536.5%188.71005917159763125.51766264831171417.5%228.3550295857988398.9064830458594528.6%268.072.0000000000000160.0%307.644970414201179.23687685947786714.3%347.28994082840245106.6733265974973283.8%386.93491124260356131.9906632764121490.5%426.5798816568048140.05211231690754100.0%466.2248520710059141.17325521000794110.0%505.8698224852071141.2306055652950412Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd65.1377622377622328.33136094674557625th118.5293706293706295.7869822485207310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272911th492.27062937062936230.698224852071109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876116th599.053846153846118.27218934911241122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st65.137762237762235.84615384615381125th118.5293706293706295.786982248520738th171.92097902097902163.24260355029585411th225.3125874125874230.69822485207159th278.7041958041958185.727810650887666th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124179th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876811th438.87902097902094230.69822485207199th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415116th599.053846153846118.27218934911241122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728425th118.5293706293706295.7869822485207310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272911th492.27062937062936230.698224852071109th545.6622377622377185.72781065088761110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.82325.99487179487179584.2233581421861110.82561.1230769230769284.0869876184222820.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.790201.6358974358974586.5643854667984760.184236.76410256410256128.4642288932341570.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.834342.1487179487179483.47332026148507100.890377.276923076923179.60948875484331110.744412.405128205128289.73500014430743120.00025.99487179487179527.21594705360300310.00061.1230769230769226.94320600607534320.42496.25128205128203111.9065744662428930.162131.37948717948717130.043854126831840.109166.5076923076923133.657673006573250.000201.6358974358974531.89800170282771360.000236.76410256410256115.6976885556990770.003271.89230769230767141.021681289819880.546307.0205128205128103.4175093619446890.000342.1487179487179425.7158712922009100.000377.276923076923117.988208278917398110.000412.405128205128238.2392310578456312Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121227.06217948717948577.325443786982251963.632692307692393.3017751479289920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.23076923076923512209.9147435897435877.3254437869822563246.4852564102564125.2544378698224870283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.23076923076923913356.1967948717948572.01012392.767307692307777.325443786982251110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412027.06217948717948513.420118343195271063.632692307692345.37278106508874524100.20320512820511119.9289940828402331136.77371794871794135.9053254437869841173.3442307692307135.9053254437869850209.9147435897435813.4201183431952760246.4852564102564109.2781065088757470283.0557692307692141.2307692307692389319.6262820512820393.3017751479289990356.196794871794852.7692307692307736100392.767307692307713.42011834319527110429.337820512820534.7218934911242512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 7-5 6th 100.21 0.528 23.31 8-5 5th 5th place
1 986 2010 Babel 7-5 4th 99.78 0.530 19.17 8-5 3rd 6th place
2 981 2021 Dave 9-3 4th 101.36 0.525 28.26 10-4 4th Blingabowl XIV champion
3 977 2014 Matt 6-6 6th 100.98 0.522 19.67 7-6 6th 4th place
4 977 2024 Kevin 4-8 11th 103.29 0.529 18.87 5-9 11th
5 974 2020 Pulley 7-5 4th 102.06 0.526 16.22 8-5 4th 4th place
6 972 2020 Babel 7-5 5th 101.67 0.524 16.08 8-5 3rd 3rd place
7 971 2012 Derrek 7-5 5th 96.34 0.525 19.19 8-5 5th 5th place
8 968 2020 Matt 7-5 3rd 103.14 0.536 21.55 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 968 2011 Mike R. 6-6 8th 103.36 0.523 18.02 6-7 9th
10 967 2022 Matt 6-6 8th 100.68 0.514 21.63 6-8 11th